The GOP House Advantage

Democrats need to gain 25 seats in order to take back the House. Kornacki doubts it's possible:

What Democrats really need to get anywhere near 25 seats is a wave election similar to 2006 and 2008. But with the presidential race likely to be close, it’s hard to imagine something similar taking shape this fall. The example of 1996, the last time a Democratic president sought reelection, is worth keeping in mind here. Bill Clinton was in much stronger political shape that year than Obama is today, while the image of the Newt Gingrich-led House GOP was at least as battered as that of today’s House Republicans. Clinton ended up beating Bob Dole by eight points that fall, but Democrats only picked up nine seats.