by Patrick Appel
Sam Wang argues "that a major consequence of the Ryan VP nomination is not for the Presidential race, but for control of Congress in 2013":
What if the Romney-Ryan ticket causes candidates to campaign explicitly on GOP budget priorities? Imagine that slightly more voters switch their votes in one direction or the other based on what they hear. If 1% of voters flip toward Democrats, the resulting 2% swing leads to this. In this scenario, the probability of Democratic control [of the Senate] is 82%.
The Dish 