The ABC/WaPo poll finds a very close, not-that-different race. All the others indicate a big shift. From the poll of polls:
I've removed Rasmussen as usual – but even they are now showing a clear Obama lead. And I've increased sensitivity to pick up small swings. But it isn't a small swing to go from 0.3 percent ahead to 3.5 percent ahead in less than a week. It will have to fade. But the first round of the fall campaign – especially if you include the money haul in August – goes to the incumbent.
The Dish 