Reality Check

Screen shot 2012-09-18 at 7.43.40 PM

Gallup's bounce has faded for Obama. Ditto in the poll of polls. RCP still gives him a 3 point national lead. And David Rothschild sees Obama with his highest odds of winning since hr race began. The newest big media likely voter poll – NBC/WSJ – gives him a 5 point lead. None of this reflects the latest news. But look: on Gallup, Obama has got the parasite 47 percent, just as Romney predicted.