The Perfect Climate For Crime

To track how global warming affects crime rates, Matthew Ranson examined 50 years of weather data around the country and corresponding crime statistics. Emily Badger summarizes his predictions:

By Ranson’s calculation, if global temperatures rise between now and 2099 by about 5 degrees Fahrenheit, as the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has predicted, that could result over the next 90 years in an additional 30,000 murders in America (compared against a future in which climate change did not exist). Likewise, we could see 200,000 more rape cases, 1.4 million more aggravated assaults, 400,000 more robberies and 3.2 million burglaries.