How Will Sandy Affect Turnout? Ctd

A report of the “voting chaos” in New Jersey:

Meanwhile, displaced New Yorkers will be able to vote from any polling site today, but only for statewide and presidential candidates:

New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo issued an executive order Monday allowing New York voters displaced by superstorm Sandy to cast affidavit ballots at polling sites outside their voting districts. In New York City, officials said as many as 143,000 people wouldn’t be able to vote at their designated polling sites on Tuesday. … [The affidavit voting] could complicate several closely contested races for U.S. Congress, New York State Senate and Assembly, as voters fill out affidavits on ballots printed with candidates for districts that aren’t their own.

Not an auspicious start in New York so far:

Though the region hit by Hurricane Sandy is not expected to be in play in the presidential election, the combination of the storm and heavy morning turnout yielded long lines, confusion, frustration and anger. At several polling sites in New York City the vote scanning machines being used for the first time in a presidential election malfunctioned, forcing workers to resort to paper ballots and slowing the process even more.

More reports around the area:

Flares were lit at the entrance to Public School 52 in the Midland Beach neighborhood an hour before the site opened at 6 a.m. And since there was no light, police helped workers get gas for a generator. Voting machines, meanwhile, had to be moved from inside the school into tents, where heaters were stacked on tables. …

Sandy even threw some kinks in the voting process in parts of New York City where the lights stayed on throughout the storm. In Park Slope, voters who usually cast their ballots at John Jay High School, now serving as an shelter for storm evacuees,  were directed to PS 282, more than a half a mile away.

Earlier Dish coverage here.

Do. Not. Ask. Romney. About. Mormonism. Ctd

Readers have a wide range of reactions to this remarkable video. One writes:

Romney gets as prickly about his Mormonism as Tom Cruise gets about Scientology.

Another:

The most disturbing thing about that clip isn't the content of the discussion; it's how quickly Romney became angry and aggressive.  Is this how he will react to threats from Iran?

On the other hand:

As an atheist Democrat skeptical of religion and Mormonism, I found the whole video in context to be much more balanced and makes Romney seem far more reasonable and human than the shorter version.  The radio host was clearly being antagonistic, especially by quizzing Romney on a book the host says he hasn't read.  It's not shocking Romney was flustered by the end of it.  I'm still not voting for him, but after having jumped to the same conclusion having seen the short version, I found my own biases challenged.

Another is on the same page:

As someone who is terrified by the prospects of his presidency and who has been bolstered by the recent polling surge for Obama, I was touched to see Romney defend Mormon Democrats. His frustration with the intransigence and bigotry of that Christianist talk radio host echoes my own. I feel for the guy. It sounds like he actually has a quite nuanced view of his faith in politics and a conciliatory attitude towards those in his church who are of different politics from him.

It's a shame that his party is more radical, destructive and bigoted than his faith and it's a shame that he feels the need to dance to their tune. He's wasted six years of what could have been a much more productive life in this futile quest for the office, perpetuating his party's worst tendencies. I almost pity him.

Another:

I most say that as an ardent Obama supporter and agnostic lapsed Catholic who really couldn't care less about religion, I've never been more impressed by Romney during this entire campaign than seeing him candidly discuss his personal faith in this video.  Sure I think he totally misunderstood where the host was coming from (he's probably used to people being misinformed or simply attacking his faith), but could you imagine if he produced this kind of passion on ANY other topic during the last year?? We'd likely be preparing for four years of President Romney.

Instead, to the public he has presented nothing but his creepy-smiled, soulless-eyed, Ken Doll-meets-Ward Cleaver persona.  In the video, he actually looked, sounded, and acted human! 

Unfortunately, political strategists and consultants will probably point to this video as Exhibit A of what not to do, when in my opinion it should be required viewing for anybody who wants to run.  If you can't show this kind of passion for every aspect of your platform, you shouldn't be running for elected office.  Period.

A final reader tackles the substance of the video:

As a Mormon who sports a "Mormons for Obama" bumper sticker, I appreciate the attention you have continued to place on the role of the LDS Church in Romney's life and the formation of his character. Mormonism is THE central defining aspect of everything he is – as it is with me.

That being said, I understand Romney's frustration in the video of his radio apperance over the wide misunderstandings of Mormon theology. He is absolutely correct when he tells the radio show host that Mormons believe Christ will return to Jerusalem – in particular to the Mount of Olives – NOT to Missouri as is usually reported in the press. A literal interpretation of LDS Church theology places Jesus's return and reign in Jerusalem while a New Jerusalem is built in Missouri and ruled over by others (Adam – who is, according to Mormon theology, really Michael the archangel) under Christ's authorization.

It should be noted, too, that Mormons reject the entire Anti-Christ, seven years of tribulation, and Rapture theology that has been central to the Evangelical Right since the publication of "The Late Great Planet Earth" in the late 1960s and early '70s. So the narrative of events leading up to the Second Coming is completely different in Mormonism than in Christianity. (As a Mormon, I consider Mormonism a religion distinct from Christianity.) According to the LDS Church, the world has been ready for Christ's return ever since the establishment of the LDS Church and its Priesthood. Mormons do not await the appearance of an Anti-Christ or any of the garbage contained in Evangelical popular fiction, such as the awful "Left Behind" series.

Perhaps if more Evangelicals realized that the Mormon end-times narrative contradicts the Evangelical narrative, they'd be less inclined to vote for Romney.

Praying For Resolution Tonight

Well I am, at least. But this has me worried:

The latest data show approximately 230,000 [Ohio] absentee ballots that have not been returned, which, if postmarked by today, can arrive as late as ten days after the election. The margin of victory in 2008, a landslide by modern standards that no one expects to see repeated in this election, was 262,224 votes.

Catch me live-blogging on live TV tonight at 11.30 pm on the Colbert Report. It’s all getting very meta, innit?

Ask Charles Murray Anything: What Changed Your Mind On Marriage Equality?

Because of Hurricane Sandy we are still unable to process new videos for the series, so we dug into the archive and found this one from April 10:

From today:

The Buckeye Stops Here

Walter Kirn, an Ohio native, dyspeptically analyzes what it means to have Ohio decide who will be the leader of the Free World, claiming that "the only extraordinary individuals who rush toward Ohio, and not away from it, are presidential candidates":

One aspect of the Ohio character that ought to prove comforting to the rest of us as we await their decision about our lives is that they usually try to do their best, at least under the circumstances. By this I mean if they’ve managed to rake their leaves that week, their aunt doesn’t need a ride to bingo night, their dog isn’t coughing up wormer on the front porch, and they have correct change for a pack of Camel Lights. Short of these distractions, Ohioans make an effort. They show up. They apply themselves. Unless they’re drunk. And even then, unless they’re very, very drunk, they give things an honest shot. So here’s to them. They didn’t ask for this awesome challenge, remember, and though they might have whined about it, they haven’t. So whatever they choose, I plan to be content with it. Or, if that should prove impossible, numbly, quietly resigned.

The View From Your Election

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As in 2008, we're inviting readers on this secular sacred day to email us photos, anecdotes, feelings, experiences and anything that surprised you when voting today. Just email us if you have a story you think would really interest fellow Dishheads – we have a tiny staff and a long day ahead and that in-tray can get overloaded. Beast email is still down because of Hurricane Sandy, so be sure to use our makeshift address, andrew@dishemail.com. We'll keep updating through the day. An early voter writes:

At my precinct polling place by 7:30 a.m. Fairly long line. It turned out that all the voting machines were broken. So we all had to vote by provisional ballot. Ridiculous. The lady just behind me in line brought along her daughter, I'd say she was about 8-10, certainly an elementary school student. Mom starts to fill out the ballot and the child shrieks, "No, not him! Nooooo!" Then she takes up a chant "Ba-rack O-bam-a, Ba-rack O-bam-a, Ba-rack O-bam-a!" Mom is perplexed, hushing her, and then finally "Alright, alright." "Ma'am can I have another ballot?" She hands back the one she started, fills out a new one, and the kid starts applauding "yeah!"

A voting booth conversion? A juvenile act of extortion? Pretty bizarre incident. In any event, I'd say it was the kid who effectively cast that ballot. But why not? It's about her future.

(Photo: Election Inspector Jim Nodorft unfurls the American flag to hang it up outside the Smelser Town hall as the polls opened at 7 a.m. on November 6, 2012 in Georgetown, Wisconsin. By Mark Hirsch/Getty Images)

Obama’s Closing Argument

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"This is essentially a People’s contest. On the side of the Union, it is a struggle for maintaining in the world, that form, and substance of government, whose leading object is, to elevate the condition of men – to lift artificial weights from all shoulders – to clear the paths of laudable pursuit for all – to afford all, an unfettered start, and a fair chance, in the race of life. Yielding to partial, and temporary departures, from necessity, this is the leading object of the government for whose existence we contend," – Abraham Lincoln, Special Message to the People of the United States, July 4, 1861.

May all true Lincoln Republicans support the president in voting today.

(Photo: U.S. President Barack Obama speaks during his last rally the night before the general election November 5, 2012 in Des Moines, Iowa. By Chip Somodevilla.)

Wrecking The Vote

Frum criticizes the American voting system:

[H]ere's what doesn't happen in other democracies: Politicians of one party do not set voting schedules to favor their side and harm the other. Politicians do not move around voting places to gain advantages for themselves or to disadvantage their opponents. In fact, in almost no other country do politicians have any say in the administration of elections at all.

He goes on:

The United States is an exceptional nation, but it is not always exceptional for good. The American voting system too is an exception: It is the most error-prone, the most susceptible to fraud, the most vulnerable to unfairness and one of the least technologically sophisticated on earth. After the 2000 fiasco, Americans resolved to do better. Isn't it past time to make good on that resolution?

Chart Of The Day

Silver_Update

Silver's projection has become more favorable for Obama:

If the national popular vote winds up roughly tied, instead of favoring Mr. Obama by two points or so, then Mr. Romney could claw back to win Florida, Colorado and Virginia, and perhaps Iowa and New Hampshire. But Mr. Obama’s lead in Ohio, Wisconsin, Nevada and Pennsylvania is clear enough to withstand some underperformance in the polls, and his margins in the polling averages there have converted into a victory on election night a very high percentage of the time historically.

In order for Mr. Romney to win the Electoral College, a large number of polls, across these states and others, would have to be in error, perhaps because they overestimated Democratic turnout. It’s this possibility, more than the chance of a successful hail-mary in a state like Pennsylvania, that accounts for most of Mr. Romney’s remaining chances of winning the Electoral College.

Wonkblog and Daily Intel have rounded-up predictions from various pundits.

How The Obama Campaign Sees The Race

John Heilemann checks in with David Plouffe and other Obama advisors:

The Obama campaign's confidence extends well beyond Pennsylvania. In conversations with an array of top advisers this morning, a clear picture emerged that Chicago believes it has Nevada, Iowa, Wisconsin, and New Hampshire more or less in the bag; that it feels nearly as certain of carrying Ohio; and that Obama is just a tad ahead in Virginia. As for Colorado and Florida, Team Obama believes they are both too close to call, but thinks they could well win both; they are forthrightly pessimistic only about North Carolina among the nine battlegrounds. This could all just be spin, of course — or they could simply be proven wrong. But having known and reported on these people for a solid six years now, my sense of their tone and body language is that their self-assurance is for real.