A Private Navy

Ackerman profiles Anthony Sharp, whose new private security firm Typhon will take to the seas to defend commercial tankers from pirates. It’s a tough market:

[H]e might be too late. Without much notice, piracy actually declined in 2012, bringing down the high insurance rates that send shipping companies running for armed protection. Meanwhile, the market for such security is being filled by companies that station armed guards aboard commercial ships to deter or combat pirates. That practice, known as “embarked security,” follows years of security firms, including Blackwater itself, trying and mostly failing at amassing fleets to escort commercial ships — Typhon’s model.

Freezing As The Planet Overheats

Harry Enten uses the East Coast’s cold snap to look more broadly at climate data:

It’s important to remember that the last few days are a very small location and sample size. While the east is a tundra, Denver, Colorado is dealing with near-record highs with temperatures in the 60s. When we expand our look to over the past month, record high maximums and minimums are running 2 to 1 ahead of record low maximums and minimums in the United States. The United States’ average temperature in 2012 was 55.3F – 3.2F above the 20th-century average and 1F above the previous record, 1998. When you drill down to specific locations, there were 356 record-high maximum temperatures compared with only 22 low maximums – a 16 to 1 ratio – over the past year. There were 105 record-high minimum temperatures against only 4 low minimums – a 26 to 1 ratio.

(Hat tip: Mark Memmott)

The Gerrymandering Old Party, Ctd

A reader writes:

As a daily reader of yours since 2008, I signed up for your site the day I found out – you should have asked earlier. There has been a lot of talk recently about the GOP subverting the traditional electoral college process. I agree that it’s a repugnant attempt to stay relevant by a dying breed (in those particular states). However, I believe that if these states are able to split the presidential electoral vote totals by congressional district, it would come back to haunt them.

Think about how state-wide elections are run right now in Pennsylvania.

Continue reading The Gerrymandering Old Party, Ctd

The Beginning Of The Horserace

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Kevin Drum thinks Jindal is already running for 2016. He takes Jindal seriously:

Will the media continue to tout Jindal as a “breath of fresh air” for the Republican Party? Or will they eventually catch on that he basically wants to turn the entire country into Louisiana? We’ll have to wait and see. But I think Jindal has more crossover appeal than a lot of pundits think. He’s got obvious appeal to the tea party base, which loves his hardnosed conservatism and really loves the idea of proving that they’re not racists by voting for a hardnosed conservative who’s also a dark-skinned son of Indian parents. (Take that, liberals!) And the press will, as usual, be wowed by the idea of a hardnosed conservative who has a high IQ and can discuss policy issues intelligently. The fact that Jindal is singing the same old tired song, and merely wrapping it in a thin fog of policy wonkishness, will take a while to sink in.

Allahpundit says it’s “all about brand-building right now for the 2016 field”:

Continue reading The Beginning Of The Horserace

Google: The Railroad Killer?

Despite being “a fan of just about any alternative to the automobile,” Felix Salmonwonders if self-driving cars might change his mind:

[T]he more developed a country becomes, the more expensive and time-consuming any new rail line will be. And if you’re looking out say 20 years, there’s a pretty strong case to be made that the kind of efficiency that we can get today only on rail lines will in future be available on roads as well — with significantly greater comfort and convenience for passengers.

He finds that this optimism presents a dilemma:

We’re not in a self-driving-car utopia yet, and the transportation problems we have are both real and solvable using rail. So do we use the tools we have, or do we wait and hope that future technology will solve our problems in a more efficient way?

Previous Dish on the self-driving car herehere and here.

Hardwired Pacifism

While rebutting the argument that women shouldn’t serve in combat roles because “men will instinctively try to protect [them],” Elspeth Reeve uncovers an interesting statistic:

[A] major part of military training is getting men and women to reverse the normal human instinct to, when things blow up all around you, get the hell out of there instead of do the fighting the military paid for. … In addition to the instinct of “not wanting to get shot at,” there’s also the instinct one might call “don’t kill people.” As Scientific American‘s John Horgan explained in 2010, “Surveys of WWII infantrymen carried out by U.S. Army Brig. Gen. S.L.A. Marshall found that only 15 to 20 percent had fired their weapons in combat, even when ordered to do so.” Marshall argued that the average Joe had “an inner and usually unrealized resistance towards killing a fellow man” and would avoid it if at all possible. In On Killing, Dave Grossman, a former Army lieutenant colonel and West Point psychology professor, wrote that Marshall’s findings were backed up by reports from World War I, the Civil War, and other wars.

Update from a reader:

You should note that S.L.A. Marshall’s work remains extremely controversial. Indeed, many would say it has been totally debunked.

Continue reading Hardwired Pacifism

Marriage Equality Update

The British government has just published their bill for full equality, exempting the established Church of England from being required to conduct the ceremonies. Other faith traditions can do as they wish – from a full embrace (the Quakers) to the coldest of shoulders (the Catholic hierarchy). Parliament could vote as early as February 5. Even though the Tory right may not vote with their prime minister, support is so solid among Labour and Liberal Democrat MPs as well as many Tories that passage is looking likely. I think America’s closest Anglophone ally permitting marriage for all – led by a Conservative prime minister – will have an impact here.

“The Sophisticated Objection” To Emissions Reductions

Cass Sunstein defines it as the idea that “if the U.S. acts on its own, it will impose costs on the American people without seriously addressing the climate problem.” He then makes the case that it should guide policymaking rather than discouraging it:

No sensible person thinks that the U.S. should spend billions of dollars to achieve small greenhouse-gas reductions. Some imaginable initiatives should be rejected because they would cost too much and deliver too little. At the same time, the U.S. should not overlook opportunities to produce significant emissions reductions at justifiable expense. Recent regulations have easily passed that test. Future initiatives should be embraced when they do so as well.

Those who make the Sophisticated Objection are correct to emphasize that to limit the risks of climate change, many nations will be required to act. But unilateral action should not be avoided for that reason. On the contrary, pragmatic steps by the planet’s most important nation are likely to help spur action by others — and to lead to technological advances that will ultimately be in the interest of the world as a whole.

Reihan offers some qualified support:

Continue reading “The Sophisticated Objection” To Emissions Reductions