George H.W. Obama?

A few weeks ago, Larison argued that Obama is no realist:

[I]ntervention in Libya was exactly what one wouldn’t expect from “a replica of the administration of George H.W. Bush.” Obama launched the Libyan war over the objections of Robert Gates, so we cannot rule out the possibility that he could do the same elsewhere over the objections of a Secretary Hagel.

Agreed. There is a bleeding heart in the midst of that platinum cool. Leon Hadar counters that Bush I was no dove:

[O]ne must explain why a non-direct U.S. military intervention in Libya should be considered more “internationalist” and “interventionist” and less “realist” than the first Iraq war, Panama, and Somalia.

Millman weighs in:

President Obama, like all post-war American Presidents, Republican and Democrat, is not an instinctive anti-interventionist. He’s an internationalist, with both liberal-internationalist and conservative-internationalist inclinations, and that’s reflected in his record. He is governing, like Nixon, in a period of retrenchment, and like Nixon he has been laboring primarily to prevent loss rather than to advance. Like Nixon as well, he makes few bones about legal restraints on his authority. But I tend to agree with Hadar that his record fits in pretty well with post-war Republican predecessors who we tend to call, rightly or wrongly, “realist.” Contra Larison, even his Libyan adventure can be understood partly in these terms.

Larison steps up once more:

I consider the Libyan war to be much more like interventions in the Balkans [than Iraq] because the U.S. had no real stake in the outcome of those conflicts just as the U.S. had no stake in the outcome of Libya’s internal conflict. In all these cases, no conceivable U.S. interests were at stake.

And Hadar goes a final round:

[B]ased on my reading of President Obama’s foreign policy, including his resistance to get drawn into intervention in Syria and into war with Iran, his muddling through or empiricist approach toward the so-called Arab Spring, his ending the war in Iraq and accelerating the withdrawal from Afghanistan, the emphasis on the U.S. relationship with other great powers and on the need to protect U.S. interests as opposed to the global promotion of democracy, I would argue that when its comes to foreign policy and national security, President Obama can be compared favorably with Republican President George H. W. Bush. And in contrast to the current Republican foreign policy agenda—with its emphasis of invading countries and doing regime change here, there, and everywhere—President Obama is at least trying to bring U.S. global commitments and power into some balance.

I think (and hope) that Hadar is basically right – which is why Chuck Hagel was picked (and Gates before him). Mali will be an interesting test-case, though. You can almost sense Larison preparing to pounce.

Cherry-Picking Climate Data

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During his inauguration, Obama cited “raging fires” as evidence of climate change. George Will protests that there “were a third fewer U.S. wildfires in 2012 than in 2006.” Joe Romm chides Will and the WaPo for taking the data out of context:

2006? Seriously, George Will — and blinkered editors at the Washpost?  If you wonder why in Hell (and High Water) Will just happens to pick the year 2006, you need look no further than the above graph of annual U.S. acreage burned from the National Fire Center (via Tamino).

Takedown Of The Day

Chait spies a self-refuting hit piece on TNR’s alleged anti-Semitism (if you live long enough …).

One tiny add: purging the contributing editors is always a touchy thing.

I took my turn, sending out personal letters to each one who hadn’t really contributed anything in decades, and avoiding any of Marty’s oldest friends (so far as one could). All went well, until a mix-up in the mail room ensured that the letters went out but each addressed to the wrong contributing editor. So each knew that someone else was being released, and inferred (correctly) that they too were on the chopping block. For a day or so, the phone wouldn’t stop ringing. I decided the whole thing was so embarrassing I’d just reinstate everyone to keep writing nothing. Ah … the days of old media.

The Scarfe Cartoon

Gerald Scarfe has been a fixture at the Sunday Times since my family used to subscribe to it when I was in my teens. He’s a genius in many ways and it speaks well of the paper that runs my weekly column in Britain to maintain a diverse set of opinionators, even if it is essentially a right-of-center and sensible paper. Anyway, here’s a link to the cartoon that appeared (apparently by accident) on International Holocaust Remembrance Day. It’s clearly about the oppression of the Palestinians by Netanyahu’s wall-building and settlement policy. Is it anti-Semitic?

I was genuinely torn about it at first blush. I don’t think Netanyahu is distorted any more than any other politician to somehow look more Jewish. And Scarfe’s brutal depictions of public figures is important context. I think Netanyahu comes off as a brutal bully, which he is – but not an anti-Semitic archetype.

The use of blood as mortar is what arguably puts the image over the edge, in my view, whatever its intent. Any depiction of Jews using the blood of other people for any project evokes the classic “blood libel” slur. On a day designed to commemorate the mass murder of millions of European Jewry? Please. But check out this recent Scarfe cartoon of Bashar al-Assadliterally drinking the blood of dead Syrian babies. I don’t think Scarfe’s intent was bigotry; I think it was outrage. In Haaretz, Anshel Pfeffer [pay-wall] defends the cartoon as not anti-Semitic. Money quote:

This is not what a blood libel looks like: Some have claimed that the blood-red cement Netanyahu is using in the cartoon to build his wall indicates a blood libel motif. Well of course it’s blood but is anyone seriously demanding that no cartoon reference to Israeli or Jewish figures can contain a red fluid? The classic European blood libel, like many other classic European creations, had a strict set of images which must always contain a cherubic gentile child sacrificed by those perfidious Jews, his blood to be used for ritual purposes. It was a direct continuation of the Christ-killer myth. Scarfe’s cartoon has blood-cement but no blood libel components – it almost seems he was careful not to include any small children among his Palestinian figures (one of the eight is arguably an adolescent) so as not to have any sort of libel scenery.

It’s not anti-Semitic to portray the Arab victims of Israel’s continued expansionism and religious and ethnic social engineering as somehow caught up in a wall (Scarfe illustrated Pink Floyd’s wall as well). But using their blood – even if it isn’t in the classic blood libel sense? Not a good idea. Netanyahu is not Assad. He may be misguided and dangerous, but he got elected in a democracy and is not busy killing tens of thousands of his own subjects.

“If We Are Truly Created Equal”

McCain says that bi-national gay spouses being ripped apart or being forced to live abroad isn’t of “paramount importance”:

Chris Geidner and Zeke Miller report that the president feels differently:

Same-sex couples will be a part of the proposal for addressing immigration reform that President Obama is scheduled to unveil Tuesday in Las Vegas, BuzzFeed has confirmed with multiple sources familiar with the White House plan. A Democratic source said: “Same-sex couples will be part of his proposal.” A second source confirmed that, unlike the Senate framework released Monday, same-sex bi-national couples — those with one American and one foreign partner — will be included in the White House principles.

That’s a huge achievement for those of us committed to Immigration Equality (I’m on the board). And a great and important statement from the president. Margaret Hartmann fears that bringing “gay rights and religious freedom into the debate sounds like a good way to make sure immigration reform never passes.” I do not see how religious freedom can in any way be affected by allowing Glenn Greenwald to live in the US with his partner. Adam Clark Estes zooms out:

No matter what happens from here on out, it’s becoming apparent that the gay rights movement is about to latch on to the push for immigration reform. And why shouldn’t they? The point of reform is to fix things that are broken, and as the country moves towards greater equality for people of all sexual orientations, why should same sex couples be left out? Well, it could get tricky. If the conversation turns too sharply in the direction of gay rights, the larger immigration reform process could get bogged down or even stuck in the mud completely.

“Latch onto”? We’ve been insisting on being included in comprehensive immigration reform for years. Comprehensive means, well, you all know what it means. And the real pain and anguish of gay binational couples, forced apart, or forced to live abroad, may not be of paramount importance to John McCain, but they are of paramount importance to someone whose marriage can be torn apart by an immigration official. John Aravosis sees a less fraught opportunity:

Republicans are desperate for immigration reform. And embracing gay rights is a political plus, not a minus, for Democrats, as the President has already learned. Combining the two is a win-win for everyone.  Does anyone really think the Republicans are going to risk killing the very thing they’re now most desperate for?

Of course, if DOMA didn’t exist, none of this would be necessary at all. But as one half of a bi-national married couple, in a Western world where almost every other country recognizes our relationship in some respect in terms of immigration, all I can say is that keeping a committed couple together in America, regardless of their orientation, should be of “paramount importance” to the government of the United States. Because family life is integral to the immigration laws in this country, and gay people are not only part of families but also makers and defenders of them. Or to put it another way:

If we are truly created equal, then surely the love we commit to one another must be equal as well.

Either we are equal as human beings and citizens or we are not. Maybe McCain does not see civil equality as important in a liberal constitutional republic. I can’t see anything more important.

Tancredo Bogarts His Pledge

Bummer:

Former Colorado congressman Tom Tancredo, who endorsed Amendment 64, his state’s marijuana legalization initiative, was so sure it would fail that he made a bet with Adam Hartle, a documentarian covering the issue. If this thing passes, the conservative Republican told Hartle, I will smoke pot for the first time in my life. Amendment 64 won by a 10-point margin, and last week Tancredo said he intended to follow through on his promise. But now ABC News reports that Tancredo, “under pressure from his wife and grandchildren,” is reneging.

But he still supports legalization, which makes the bulk of what I said here still valid, but with the thrill taken out of it. But his wife should really reconsider. She could find a whole new, mellower, love-those-Latinos hubby. For an hour or so. And it would be great live TV for Fox. Get Tancredo stoned and then get Shep Smith to grill him. I’d watch.

The GOP Calculus On Immigration Reform, Ctd

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Douthat suspects that immigration reform would be a net loss for Republicans:

By definition, creating a path to citizenship turns illegal aliens into potential voters, and any serious analysis of Hispanic opinion tells you that those new voters’ interests and beliefs will tend to align with the Democratic Party. No, not necessarily forever, but across the next few decades of American politics there is simply no plausible case that gratitude to Marco Rubio and Jeff Flake will convert a liberal-leaning voting bloc into a true swing constituency, let alone a Republican-tilting demographic. Which makes it very, very easy to imagine a future where immigration reform helps Republicans win a slightly higher percentage of the Hispanic vote, but costs them many more votes in absolute terms by accelerating the ongoing demographic shifts in the electorate.

Bouie, on the other hand, finds that immigration reform is unpopular with working-class blacks. He notes that “losing black voters—even if it’s just a few percentage points—could disadvantage the party in southern states like Virginia and North Carolina, where overwhelming black support is required to stay competitive”:

[I]f Republicans are feeling ambitious, this divide could form the basis for outreach to working-class blacks. Historically, Republicans have been able to win 10 percent of African Americans in presidential elections. A return to that performance would make several states—Ohio and Pennsylvania, for instance—far more competitive than they are at the moment. Insofar that the GOP wants to cleave the Democratic coalition, immigration might offer a way to reach one group of working-class voters.

Earlier analysis here.

(Photo: Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL) listens during a news conference on a comprehensive immigration reform framework on Capitol Hill on January 28, 2013. A group of bipartisan Senate members have reached to a deal of outlines to reform the nation immigration laws that will provide a pathway for the 11 million illegal immigrants in the country to citizenship. By Alex Wong/Getty Images)

Trashing The Treasures Of Timbuktu, Ctd

Malian Islamists on the run from French troops just torched a famed library of Islamic learning. Paula Froelich has more:

[T]hese libraries were spectacular, containing thousands of ancient leather-bound books written in Arabic, Hebrew, African tribal languages, Turkish, and many other tongues, and covering topics like astronomy, poetry, music, politics, grammar, medicine, law, conflict resolution, and women’s rights. The oldest books were from the eleventh century, when the Salt Road trading was at its peak and international traders would converge on Timbuktu. The information in these tomes was still so salient that, as the crumbling pages of the books were being preserved, people from all over the world were still trying to translate and study them to see if there was some knowledge they could use today. …

There is more than a heavy dose of irony about the book burnings, especially since many of the books burned by Islamists were Korans, and worth millions of dollars. Why burn the books when selling them could’ve been so much more profitable and at least kept the artifacts intact?

Walter Russell Mead curses the cultural vandalism:

People sometimes talk about the war against radical Salafi jihad groups as a clash of civilizations. In reality, as the torching of the great library of Timbuktu, a world class repository of Islamic history, religious writing and culture, shows, this is a war against civilization being waged by barbarian know-nothings.

Dish coverage of the destruction from last fall here.