Month: January 2013

Zack Beauchamp adds to the conversation about Jesus and the Second Amendment. He makes a key point about Hobbes and Locke (but especially Hobbes): self-defense was indeed the basis of a Hobbesian political order and the defense of private property integral to Locke’s. But the idea – asserted by David Mamet in an embarrassing screed – that Hobbes did not for those reasons establish a Leviathan with a monopoly of force is preposterous. That was the whole point. Hobbes emerged from Mamet’s paradise: a polity with no police force in which self-defense was critical and when political differences emerged, civil warfare was the natural response. Hobbes lived through Mamet’s moronic utopia and found it so terrifying he changed global consciousness to rein it back in.

More on the Mamet piece soon. God it was awful.

In an interview with TNR, Obama discusses his foreign policy philosophy:

I am more mindful probably than most of not only our incredible strengths and capabilities, but also our limitations. In a situation like Syria, I have to ask, can we make a difference in that situation? Would a military intervention have an impact? How would it affect our ability to support troops who are still in Afghanistan? What would be the aftermath of our involvement on the ground? Could it trigger even worse violence or the use of chemical weapons? What offers the best prospect of a stable post-Assad regime? And how do I weigh tens of thousands who’ve been killed in Syria versus the tens of thousands who are currently being killed in the Congo?

Those are not simple questions. And you process them as best you can. You make the decisions you think balance all these equities, and you hope that, at the end of your presidency, you can look back and say, I made more right calls than not and that I saved lives where I could, and that America, as best it could in a difficult, dangerous world, was, net, a force for good.

And some thought he is a liberal. George W Bush was a utopian liberal. This dude’s a pragmatic, small-c president. But he still couldn’t resist Libya and the still-unfolding consequences – like a new safe harbor for Jihadists. Drezner unpacks the quote:

Obama looks at Syria and sees a grisly situation where the status quo doesn’t hurt American interests — in fact, it’s a mild net positive. Given that situation, Obama’s incentive to intervene is pretty low.

Does this mean Obama is amoral or un-American? Hardly. That answer suggests two things. First. liberal values do matter to Obama — they just don’t matter as much as other things. Second, to be fair, contra academic realism, there is a set of ethical values that are attached to realpolitik, and I think they inform Obama’s decision-making as well. It seems pretty clear that Obama’s first foreign policy instinct after advancing the national interest is the foreign policy equivalent of the Hippocratic oath: first, do no harm.

(Photo: A Rebel fighter tries to locate a government jet fighter in the city of Aleppo on January 18, 2013)

Bruce Bartlett claims that “our long-term deficit situation is not nearly as severe as even many budget experts believe”:

[I]t is silly to obsess about near-term nominal budget deficits. What matters is the deficit as a share of GDP minus interest spending, which economists call the primary deficit. On that basis, we are much closer to fiscal sustainability than even most economists realize.

Relatively small adjustments to the growth path of federal revenues and Medicare would be sufficient to eliminate the primary deficit. Taking a meat ax to every federal program, as Republicans demand, is neither necessary nor desirable.

The always-worth-reading Martin Wolf at the FT comes to the same conclusion (the above graph is from Wolf and the FT). Stan Collender seconds him:

What Bruce shows — convincingly — is that, contrary to those that say federal “spending” is the long-term problem, the real problem is spending in just one area — interest payments on the national debt. Spending on virtually every other area of the budget is flat over the long term while interest starts to rise precipitously in 2020 and keeps rising over the next 60 years.

Collender think that “this situation argues persuasively for the government to convert its debt from short- to long-term so that the current low interest rates can be locked in for as long as possible.” I have to say that as the years have gone by since the 2008 crash, I find it hard to judge the British experiment in austerity-now over the American experiment of stimulus-now-austerity-long-term, without losing one more sliver of my fiscally conservative bona fides. Of course, the American version was not some act of genius: it’s the result of an overly-rosy administration assessment of things in January 2009, and the GOP take-over of the House in 2010. But that combination sure turned out better than what could now be a triple-dip recession in the UK.

Nonetheless, the long-term spending situation, especially on Medicare, requires urgent attention.

The slow-cost “easter eggs” in the ACA are not working very well – either RAND’s projection of huge potential savings of medical electronic records (so far) or paying-for-quality. At some point, IPAB is going to have to get real powers, or Medicare power-of-attorney conversations need to be recovered from Palinland, or the simple massive costs of medical devices and practices in America are going to have to be driven down by a single payer system. Or millions of seniors are going to have to go without comprehensive healthcare. I’m not an optimist on this, although I second Bruce’s point about excessive alarmism. I just don’t want Obama to be lax on Medicare spending. The future debt projections are a key part of his legacy, as The Economist reminded us here.

The leading Italian newspaper, Corriere della Serra, has just published its piece on the Dish and “post-industrial journalism” in English.

New Aaron Swartz mural in Greenpoint, just above Bradley Manning mural: twitpic.com/byq4ry

— Michael Calderone (@mlcalderone) January 27, 2013

Declan McCullagh passes along the latest:

State prosecutors who investigated the late Aaron Swartz had planned to let him off with a stern warning, but federal prosecutor Carmen Ortiz took over and chose to make an example of the Internet activist, according to a report in Massachusetts Lawyers Weekly. Middlesex County’s district attorney had planned no jail time, “with Swartz duly admonished and then returned to civil society to continue his pioneering electronic work in a less legally questionable manner,” the report (alternate link) said. “Tragedy intervened when Ortiz’s office took over the case to send ‘a message.'”

The report is likely to fuel an online campaign against Ortiz, who has been criticized for threatening the 26-year-old with decades in prison for allegedly downloading a large quantity of academic papers. An online petition asking President Obama to remove from office Ortiz — a politically ambitious prosecutor who was talked about as Massachusetts’ next governor as recently as last month.

Sign that petition here. Earlier coverage here.

(Hat tip: Jay Rosen)

Believe it or not, that’s what a National Review writer actually wrote. Believe it or not, I replied.

Emily Anthes is against the practice of surgically shortening a dog’s tail for aesthetic reasons:

A fast, wagging tail can signal excitement and playfulness, whereas a tail tucked between the legs is a sign of submission. A dog that’s feeling aroused, confident, or aggressive may hold his tail up high, while a relaxed pooch lets his tail hang down lower and looser. These tail movements provide important clues about how a dog is feeling–especially to other canines that may be sharing the same sidewalk or dog park.

She summarizes a study that tested robotic dogs, pictured above, in dog parks:

Large dogs approached a short-tailed robot with a wagging tail just as often as one with a motionless tail (85.2% and 82.2% of the time, respectively). These findings suggest that the dogs were less able to discriminate between a tail that’s wagging playfully and one that’s standing still and erect when the tail itself is short.

Readers sound off on a recent post:

Alexis Madrigal doesn’t actually rebut Dan Slater’s piece. I don’t believe Dan is arguing that online dating allows for superficial connections that diminish each dater’s need to put in much effort.  He was saying that it makes it so easy to meet someone new who might be more compatible that it diminishes one’s desire to stop the searching process once one has merely found someone they “like” rather than “adore.”  He isn’t saying that it makes it superficial; he’s saying it makes it too easy to find someone new.

Do any of you watch How I Met Your Mother?  There is an apropos episode where Barney (Neil Patrick Harris) puts his phone number on a sign that is shown on the TV during the Super Bowl.  Throughout the ensuing episode he receives call after call from similarly hot women while he’s entertaining the previous caller. He always rushes to meet this “new” object of his attention because she simply may be “better.”

This is a common phenomenon in the online dating world.  A close friend of mine started dating a perfectly attractive, entertaining and intelligent woman who he met through OKCupid.

Continue reading Does Online Dating Offer Too Much Choice?

Pivoting off of a NYT piece on Kabul’s pollution problem, Matthieu Aikins elaborates on the city’s other ecological and infrastructure issues:

[T]he water table is both contaminated and dropping. Neighbors race against one another, boring deeper and deeper wells. The only place in the city with an underground sewer system is Microrayon, a neighborhood the Soviets built in the 1960s and ’70s. The rest sends its sewage into open gutters or poorly built septic tanks that further pollute the groundwater.

On a related note, Jonathan Gourlay finds a model for our exit:

Afghans who wonder what life will be like after the U.S. leaves should look to Micronesia, which the U.S. never really left after the end of the Cold War brought an end to its military significance. Basically: more political independence and more economic dependence. The Federated States of Micronesia is a constitutional democracy whose economy is now run by a five-member board—three Americans, two Micronesians.

(Photo: A school boy residing in the hillside neighborhood of Jamal Mina high above Kabul walks to school past an open sewer on September 27, 2012. By Roberto Schmidt/AFP/Getty Images.)

A reader softens the “Fuck Old Media” thread:

Let me say first that for years I was opposed to charging for obituaries. I think obituaries are a public service. At least newspapers in the area where I live will publish short obits for free, although I think the number of lines allowed for the obit are too short – 12 to 16 lines as I recall, based on the standard column width at the paper.

However, having dealt with some difficult relatives and having seen other newsroom employees deal with toxic families and their obituary issues while I worked as a reporter and editor, I now think papers should offer a decent free alternative (more like 20 to 26 lines) and a paid option. This is because families have gotten increasingly controlling about the information presented.

Many families object to standard Associated Press edits – or at least the funeral director claims the family does. In addition, some resist fact-checking. For instance, the family members put in the current name of the high school when the 80-year-old deceased graduated from its predecessor with a different or simpler name. Military details and rank may be garbled. Often the cause of death is omitted these days. The names of former employers may be misspelled. The newspapers I have experience with have had first wives storm into the newsroom because the second wife or current girlfriend left the first wife out of the obituary. In the days before paid obits when pets were not included, people had tantrums because the list of survivors didn’t include Fluffy or Rover.

Continue reading The Obit Debate