Ask The Leveretts Anything: Is Iran’s Enrichment Legitimate?

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During the Iranian uprising of 2009, the Dish continuously clashed with Flynt and Hillary Mann Leverett, the most well-known skeptics of the Green Movement. The husband and wife team continue to blog at Going to Tehran, in addition to Flynt’s role as Penn State Professor of International Affairs and Hillary’s role as Professorial Lecturer at American University and CEO of the political risk consultancy, Stratega. In the fall of 2011, the Leveretts addressed how an IAEA report was “treated in some quarters as an effective casus belli”:

Even if every single point in the IAEA’s report were absolutely, 100 percent true, it would mean that Iran is working systematically to master the skills it would need to fabricate nuclear weapons at some hypothetical point down the road, should it ever decide to do so.  This is how we ourselves have long interpreted the strategic purposes of the Islamic Republic’s nuclear program—to create perceptions on the part of potential adversaries that Tehran is capable of building nuclear weapons in a finite period of time, without actually building them.  As [Mohamed ElBaradei, former head of the International Atomic Energy Agency] himself has pointed out, see here, having a “nuclear weapons capability” is not the same as having nuclear weapons.    

Iranian efforts to develop a “nuclear weapons capability”, as described by Baradei, may make American and Israeli elites uncomfortable.  But it is not a violation of the NPT or any other legal obligation that the Islamic Republic has undertaken.  While the NPT prohibits non-nuclear-weapon states from building atomic bombs, developing a nuclear weapons capability is, in Baradei’s words, “kosher” under the NPT, see here.  It is certainly not a justification—strategically, legally, or morally—for armed aggression against Iran.     

In the end, the United States and its allies have a choice to make.  They can continue down a path that will ultimately prompt them to launch yet another illegal and ill-considered war for hegemonic domination in the Middle East. … Alternatively, the United States and its allies can accept the Islamic Republic as an enduring political order with legitimate interests and sovereign rights, and come to terms with it—much as the United States came to terms with the People’s Republic of China in the  1970s.  In the nuclear arena, specifically, this means accepting, in principle and in reality, the continued development of Iran’s capacity to enrich uranium, while working with Tehran to put in place multilateral arrangements to ensure that the proliferation risks associated with uranium enrichment in Iran (as in any other country) are controlled. 

A round-up of favorable reviews of their new book is here. Watch their previous videos herehere and here. Read more in their new book, Going to Tehran: Why the United States Must Come to Terms with the Islamic Republic of Iran

America Has A Bad Case Of The Flu

According to Google's statistics:

Google_Flu

Madrigal captions:

2012-2013 eclipses any of the previous six seasons, and it's still very early. Of course, it could be a year the viral hit peaks high but early, a la 2009-2010, or it could have a more traditional curve like 2007-2008. If it's the latter, a lot of people are going to get sick.

Kent Sepkowitz adds:

Until we know more, we should be thankful for one thing: though nasty enough, the number of fatalities is not horrific (yet). And unlike the flu of 2009, this one is not unusually severe in the pregnant or the obese. It’s just contagious—mighty, mighty contagious. So contagious that watching it play out makes you begin to understand the concept of a magic spell, so quickly does it seem to spread.

I've been in bed for a couple of days now with bronchitis triggered by what seemed to be this, or something like it. Brutal. Hang in there if you're enduring this.

Every Now And Again, DC Can Crack You Up

This is truly special:

Dick Armey had no idea he was speaking to the left-wing Media Matters organization during an interview last week, he told The Daily Caller Tuesday. Instead, Armey thought he was chatting with the conservative Media Research Center.

Classic Armey nugget – I'm sorry but I've always had a soft spot for him:

As for who he thought he was speaking to, Armey asked the Daily Caller, "Who's the guy with the red beard that always does the show where he points out how biased the press is?" Told he seemed to be referring to the Media Research Center's Brent Bozell, who does a weekly "Media Mash" segment on Fox News, Armey said, "Yeah, I thought it was Brent Bozell."

I have memorized the face of Brent Bozell just so I can run if I see him coming down the street. But I don't blame Dick for drawing a blank.

Piers Morgan vs Alex Jones, Ctd

The second part of that "interview", if you must:

A reader writes:

Andrew, I know your bias in disliking Piers Morgan, but it colored your view here.  The Morgan interview was excellent.  The worst thing he could have done was end the interview.  He was not allowed to speak – he tried.  He tried to have a discussion and you could watch that in real time.  He was cut off repeatedly, threatened with violence, called names.  He kept his calm.  This is the debate we are trying to have, with people who are just plain nuts.  It is important to see, very important.  The rage, the anger, the violence.  The language of needing these things for defense but so obviously using them as a threat.  Piers Morgan gave the face of the other side of the debate in reality.  I needed to see that, and be frightened – horrified – by it.

Another adds, "Morgan used the brilliant maxim that made Napoleon such a successful general: 'Never interrupt your enemy when he's making a mistake.'" Another takes issue with my view that Morgan should have ended the interview:

You often show photos and videos of carnage that most American news would not touch, partly on the basis that they show an important reality that our sanitized news often ignores. Isn't the same true of Alex Jones? It wasn't Piers Morgan's job to sanitize Jones or protect his audience from this man.

Another adds, "If you shut Jones down, he will claim that you fear the truth he speaks." Another:

I watched the interview with my extremely conservative, gun-loving uncle. He has always been completely unmoved by my arguments for gun control. And he would have been even less convinced by anything Morgan would have offered. But by the end of the "freak show" he was absolutely moving towards "my side". He called Jones "completely unhinged" and said his argument were "disturbing – honestly." And he said that Jones was a "crystal clear example of the type of guy who should be prevented from owning a gun." And this is from my rabid-right, Second Amendment-loving uncle.

A few readers are taking my side:

I agree with you about this.  I saw Piers Morgan being interviewed on CNN about the interview, and he said that he had decided that absolute silence in the face of Alex Jones’ blustering was the most effective way to make the case for gun control. But when I watched the actual interview, I did not at all have the impression that Morgan was sitting back and letting Jones make an ass of himself, but rather than Morgan didn’t know what to say, and was intimidated by the guy.   

Another:

I think there may be something wrong with me, but I had the opposite reaction to the Piers Morgan/Alex Jones throwdown. Although I personally would be happy to chuck the entire Second Amendment out the window, I actually found Jones much more appealing than Morgan. And it was Jones, not Morgan, who said a couple of things that made me think. Is it really true that the overall violent crime rate in the U.K. is higher than ours? Is it possible that guns just get more attention because they are the most dramatic way of killing people, but not the most common? It would have been interesting to see Morgan discussing those points, or even directly debunking them, instead of asking Jones if he knew how to count.

Update from a reader:

You quoted a reader saying that Jones raised points that made him think such as whether the UK’s violent crime rate is higher than that the US,  and whether "guns just get more attention because they are the most dramatic way of killing people, but not the most common?" But you didn’t provide the information, which is very easy to obtain. The murder rate in the US is four times that in the UK:  4.8 vs. 1.2 per 100,000.

Update from another:

It seems unlikely that someone hasn't already sent you this follow-up from Jones after the show, where, but it is pretty amazing in its paranoia:

One more:

I've lived in Austin since 1996 and was introduced to the antics of Alex Jones early on my arrival.  He had a long playing paranoid fantasy show on local access tv.  Even the briefest of background checks on this guy would quickly discover his unhinged lunacy.  He would always have some sort of bordering on violent feud running with some particular person in Austin he would single out as one of the bad guys in his bad acid trip comic book reality.  The decision to broadcast him on CNN is the ridiculous part.  There was no right way to handle him in the interview and his performance was 100% predictable.  I can only imagine that they knew exactly what they were doing and the fallout is exactly what they wanted.  This was an entertainment event and not a debate about anything.

A Poem For Thursday

Artofpoetry

“The Art of Poetry” by Bei Dao:

in the great house to which I belong
only a table remains, surrounded
by boundless marshland
the moon shines on me from different corners
the skeleton’s fragile dream still stands
in the distance, like an undismantled scaffold
and there are muddy footprints on the blank paper
the fox that has been fed for many years
with a flick of his fiery brush flatters and wounds me

and there is you, of course, sitting facing me
the fair-weather lightning that gleams in your palm
turns into firewood turns into ash

(Translated, from the Chinese, by Bonnie S. McDougall. From The Rose of Time: New & Selected Poems, edited by Eliot Weinberger © 2010. Reprinted with permission of New Directions Publishing Corporation. Photo by Flickr user Luciano Belviso)

Counting Candles And Royalties

Mikl-Em price-checks the Happy Birthday song, which makes Warner Chappel music “$2 million a year in royalties from TV shows and filmmakers.” On the 10th anniversary of Creative Commons, WFMU and the Free Music Archive are commissioning new birthday songs that will remain free:

Songwriters can add their new birthday ditties to a national repository of alternate Birthday songs. Submissions are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution license. The deadline for submitting songs is Jan 13 at 11:59pm ET. The judges include Lawrence Lessig, Jonathan Coulton, and members of Deerhoof and Yo La Tengo. They will select 3 winners to be announced on 1/29/2013. More info here.

The Mideast’s Liberal Minority

Michael J. Totten fears that many in the West still overestimate the popularity and efficacy of Arab liberals and secularists:

The first time I went to Egypt, also in 2005, I met the same kinds of people I met in Lebanon. Cosmopolitan, liberal-minded individuals who were like Arab versions of me. Egypt had nothing like Hezbollah controlling large swaths of the country and warmongering against the neighbors. No foreign army smothered the country. Instead it had a police state. The narrative there at first seemed to be: democrats against the regime. That’s what it looked like. But my experience in Lebanon prompted me to ask a question of my liberal Egyptian friends that seems not to have occurred to some of the other journalists and Western internationalists who have been there. I asked these Egyptian liberals, "how many Egyptians agree with you about politics?" The answer stopped me cold: five percent at the most.

Canada’s Top Comics, Ctd

A reader writes:

Amusingly, none of the people mentioned in the Bruce McCall article are Canada's Top Comic (as I assume McCall is aware). That honour would currently belong to Russell Peters, who earns a ridiculous amount of money doing stand up (at least, according to Forbes). He also mentions Canada plenty in his act. I got a chance to see him early in his career when he did a show during Frosh Week at the University of Toronto, 20 years ago. Now I feel old.

Peters is seen above. Another writes:

Both of your sources neglected to mention Leslie Nielsen! He's especially relevant because (a) he's one of the few comics (or famous people in general) from the Northwest Territories, and (b) his brother was the deputy prime minister of Canada. In fact, there was a mockumentary made about this connection.

Another:

Count me in as a Dishhead – I plunked down $30 for a subscription to the upcoming Dish, which seemed a fair figure to me. But two smacks on you for the approving cite of Bruce McCall's piece.

I read his article while at my uncle's house in Toronto and it irritated me no end. It was not just the dumb and outdated stereotypes of Canadians. It was the assumption that all Canadian comics and comedy come from English-language people. Many of Canada's greatest comedians, from the late Yvon Deschamps to Louis-José Houde and Lise Dion, among others, have been French speakers, and they have exerted an influence far beyond Quebec.

What is more, because of the language and culture barriers, they tend not to move to the US. Yet the only mention McCall makes of French Canadians is as the butt of jokes. He should take to heart Prime Minister Lester B. Pearson's bon mot that "When Canadians are asked what is the difference between their country and the United States, they should answer in French."

Another:

It's no wonder Americans are so ill-informed about Canadian culture. The piece by Bruce McCall is so lazy, misguided, and just plain wrong it's hard to know where to start. "A distinctive Canadian humour style never had a chance"? I give you The Kids In The Hall. Do you think Bobby versus Satan would ever have seen the light of day on network television in America? And Stephen Leacock? Seriously? It's a very, very small group of people with English degrees from Canadian schools that have even heard of him. McCall also mentions two shows that apparently "entertain the native population" - This Hour Has 22 Minutes is about as cutting-edge as an episode of Everybody Loves Raymond, and not only has Royal Canadian Air Farce been off the air for years, one of their members is dead. 

What's so annoying is that fantastic Canadian comedy is so easy to find. Just For Laughs is the biggest comedy festival in the world, and is approaching its 30th anniversary. Mainstream Canadian comics with a wide following include Rick Mercer, Shaun Majumder, Ron James – to say nothing of one of the biggest acts in the world today, Russell Peters.  

The Dish, of course, is partial to this comic duo from Canada:

The Best Ways To Learn

A new report studied them. Annie Murphy Paul summarizes the findings:

In contrast to familiar practices like highlighting and rereading, the learning strategies with the most evidence behind them aren’t well known outside the psych lab. Take "distributed practice," for example. This tactic involves spreading out your study sessions, rather than engaging in one marathon. "Cramming" information at the last minute may allow you to get through that test or meeting, but the material will quickly disappear from memory. It’s much more effective to dip into the material at intervals over time. And the longer you want to remember the information—whether it’s two weeks or two years—the longer the intervals should be.

The second learning strategy that comes highly recommended by the report’s authors is practice testing. Yes, more tests—but these are not for a grade. Research shows that merely the act of calling information to mind strengthens that memory and aids in future retrieval.

Letting The World Make His Music For Him

Alex Pasternack contemplates Beck’s new album:

Instead of recording his new album, Beck Hansen put his new songs on paper only, leaving us to surf YouTube to hear it, giving us free license to play around with his notation too. Strange, in part because as Beck admits, he doesn’t really read music in the first place. Why did the dada of postmodern rock return from a general radio silence with such a precious-looking thing, a record that looks like it came out in 1923?

Pasternack goes on to explore various theories. Above is The Portland Cello Project’s recording of the album.