Marco Rubio, False Prophet

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Nate Cohn is leery of the young Senator:

In the best-case scenario, Rubio’s attractive candidacy and appeal among Latinos might allow the Republican nominee to match Romney’s historic performance among white voters and exceed 40 percent of the Latino vote. But while that would have given George W. Bush a clean win eight years ago, a similar performance might only allow Rubio to win by an extremely narrow margin. Demographic changes have shifted in the Democrats’ favor, and even exceptional performances by candidates attempting to reassemble the Bush coalition may no longer prove sufficient to win national elections. From this perspective, Rubio’s electoral appeal isn’t just limited, but dangerous to Republicans. It threatens to stifle the GOP’s incipient reckoning with the party’s appeal and its attempt to build a new and more viable electoral pathway for Republicans.

Yesterday, Silver calculated that, among “Republican presidential nominees since 1960, in fact, only the extraordinarily conservative Barry Goldwater … rates as being more conservative than Mr. Rubio.”

Who Wanted The Sequester?

Avlon dug up evidence that it was the GOP:

I happened to come across an old email that throws cold water on House Republicans’ attempts to call this “Obama’s Sequester.”

It’s a PowerPoint presentation that Boehner’s office developed with the Republican Policy Committee and sent out to the Capitol Hill GOP on July 31, 2011. Intended to explain the outline of the proposed debt deal, the presentation is titled: “Two Step Approach to Hold President Obama Accountable.”

It’s essentially an internal sales document from the old dealmaker Boehner to his unruly and often unreasonable Tea Party cohort. But it’s clear as day in the presentation that “sequestration” was considered a cudgel to guarantee a reduction in federal spending — the conservatives’ necessary condition for not having America default on its obligations.

In another outbreak of sanity on this issue, Byron York asks a pretty obvious question:

Could the GOP message on the sequester be any more self-defeating? Boehner could argue that the sequester cuts are necessary as a first — and somewhat modest — step toward controlling the deficits that threaten the economy. Instead, he describes them as a threat to national security and jobs that he nevertheless supports. It’s not an argument that is likely to persuade millions of Americans.

Meep meep.

Protesting With Corpses

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After Sunni militants killed nearly 90 people of the Shi’a Hazara minority in a Quetta market on Saturday, mass protests erupted among Pakistan’s Sh’ia population:

From Karachi to Parachinar, and Hyderabad to Multan, Rawalpindi and Islamabad, people staged sit-ins, blocking main thoroughfares. The protesters’ demand at all these places was the same: call in the army in Quetta and take immediate action against the extremist militant group, Lashkar-i-Jhangvi [LeJ], which in recent months has played havoc with Shias, mainly the peaceful Hazara community of Balochistan, through a string of attacks.

In Quetta, as seen above, thousands of Hazaras protested by refusing to bury those killed on Saturday, sitting next to the bodies of their friends and family members for three consecutive days until the government finally agreed to the majority of their demands. AJE has more:

On Tuesday, Information Minister Kaira announced that the government had arrested 170 suspects in connection with the attacks, and that the army would not be deployed. Four LeJ fighters were also killed on Tuesday in a suburb of Quetta, the government said. Seven of their comrades were arrested in that operation.

Hazara Shia community leaders, however, have told Al Jazeera that they believed the police and paramilitary Frontier Corps (FC) were complicit in the attacks on their community. Last year was the bloodiest in recent history for Pakistan’s Shia Muslims, who account for about 20 percent of the population, according to Human Rights Watch. More than 400 were killed in targeted attacks across the country, at least 125 of whom were died in Balochistan.

And only one month ago there was a similar bombing in Quetta that killed more than 100. Jamila Shamsie notes that almost identical protests that followed that attack clearly did nothing to prevent the one on Saturday. She has trouble imagining a solution to the sectarian violence:

Everyone in Pakistan has their theories [about who is promoting the religious divide which is fueling the attacks]: it is the deal the intelligence agencies have made with militants in exchange for support in Kashmir; it’s an attempt to derail forthcoming elections; it’s linked to the army’s struggle against Baluch nationalists; it’s “the foreign hand” causing instability; it’s the Saudi influence; and on and on. But what will it take for the civilian government and – more importantly, the military – to do what is necessary to make it stop? This is the question that makes Pakistanis, uncharacteristically, fall silent.

(Photo: Pakistani Shiite Muslims gather around the coffins of relatives during a mass burial ceremony in Quetta on February 20, 2013. Mass burials for 89 victims of a bomb attack targeting Pakistani Shiite Muslims began after three days of nationwide protests at the government’s failure to tackle sectarian violence. By Banaras Khan/AFP/Getty Images)

China’s State-Sponsored Hackers

Kim Zetter goes over the new report from security firm Mandiant, which appears to have caught the Chinese army initiating a wide range of hacks into American companies:

Victims have included the security firm RSA, Coca-Cola and the maker of equipment used in critical infrastructure systems. Multiple industries have been targeted, including the aerospace and high-tech electronics industries as well as transportation, financial services, satellite and telecommunications, chemical, energy, media and advertising and food and agriculture.

Dan Goodin explains further:

According to Mandiant, [Comment Crew, the group behind the hacks,] has for years vacuumed up the proprietary secrets of more than 100 targets, including technology blueprints, manufacturing processes, clinical trial results, pricing documents, and negotiation strategies. Of more concern, Comment Crew hackers have most recently tuned their focus to computer systems used to control dams, gasoline refineries, and other critical infrastructure.

Goodin adds that, “[g]iven the IP addresses and clues gleaned from individual members with hacker handles including UglyGorilla and DOTA, the authors conclude that the campaign is almost surely sponsored by the Chinese government or military.” Evan Osnos’s perspective:

Mandiant and the Times stop short of saying [Chinese military] Unit 61398 was directly in charge; “the firm was not able to place the hackers inside the twelve-story building, but makes a case there is no other plausible explanation for why so many attacks come out of one comparatively small area.” Caveats aside, the accumulated evidence should retire the old notion that China’s most sophisticated hackers are just patriots freelancing from their parents’ basements.

When The Cuts Become Real

Stan Collender recalls, during the 1995 government shutdown, watching a TV report that “showed a video of cars, vans, and campers not being allowed to get into a national park … because, like other federal offices not deemed essential, the park was closed”:

As I remember, the video showed two things. First, the lines were long because, even though the shutdown was widely reported, many people didn’t realize that national parks would be affected. Many of those shown said that they didn’t know the national parks were federal facilities. Second, to put it mildly, the people shown on camera were irate. The government shutdown that was just an abstraction to most people up to that point immediately became very real and personal.

Jonathan Bernstein predicts that such disruptions would favor the Democrats:

Obama can argue that he wants to restore what’s been cut; Republicans can only offer … more cuts.