The Decline Of Workplace Accidents

Barro hopes that the West, Texas tragedy won’t overshadow the improvements the US has made in workplace safety. He points out that “4,700 Americans died in workplace-related incidents in 2010,” which is “down from 6,200 in 1992, even though the number of employed Americans rose from 109 million to 130 million over that period”:

As Matt Yglesias notes, this isn’t an artifact of sectoral shifts away from manufacturing toward services. Manufacturing work is safer than average, and its on-the-job death rate has fallen almost by half since 1994. Construction, a relatively dangerous sector, has also gotten much safer. Sectors where safety hasn’t improved include agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting (which includes some of the most dangerous jobs in the U.S., logging and fishing), and transportation and warehousing.

The bulk of deaths are not due to “industrial accident” events of the type seen in West. In 2010, 40 percent of on-the-job deaths were due to transportation accidents, and an additional 18 percent were due to violence. America’s main workplace safety problems aren’t directly related to the workplace at all: They’re subsets of our general problems with road safety and violent crime.

The World Of Jennifer Rubin

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[Re-posted from earlier today]

Come join me, for a while, in an alternative universe. In this universe, Obama is clearly a worse president than George W. Bush. Now how do we get there? Here’s a start:

Many of [Bush’s] supposed failures are mild compared to the current president (e.g. spending, debt).

But by far the biggest factor in today’s debt are the unfunded wars Bush launched and lost, the massive tax cuts which took us from surplus to deficit, a spending spree on Medicare, and a collapse of the economy which occurred on Bush’s watch after eight years of negligent regulation of Wall Street. This sentence is therefore almost perversely deceptive.

Unlike Obama’s tenure, there was no successful attack on the homeland after 9/11.

Does 9/11 not count? The biggest national security failure since Pearl Harbor – resulting in more than 3,000 deaths? After the president was explicitly warned about its likelihood a month before it happened? Can you imagine what Rubin would be saying if a Democrat had presided over that?

People do remember the big stuff — rallying the country after the Twin Towers attack, 7 1/2 years of job growth and prosperity, millions of people saved from AIDS in Africa, a good faith try for immigration reform, education reform and a clear moral compass.

Credit where it’s due: Bush’s speech to Congress after 9/11 was extraordinary. The original reaction? Not so much. He didn’t return to Washington in that crisis. He panicked. And Cheney went bonkers. Yes, his record on AIDS in Africa remains a great legacy. But the economic growth under Bush was relatively anemic, despite the huge increase in demand caused by the tax cuts. He failed on immigration reform and on social security reform. His education reform has not survived. And the first American president to authorize and defend torture is not a man I would regard as in possession of a “clear moral compass.” Then this:

To the left’s horror, it turns out that most of his anti-terror fighting techniques (e.g. the Patriot Act, enhanced military commissions, Guantanamo) were effective and remain in place. Even the dreaded enhanced interrogation, according to two CIA agents and the former attorney general, contributed to our locating and assassinating Osama bin Laden.

Seriously?

As Emily Bazelon noted, the rigged military commissions have managed to prosecute 7 terror suspects successfully. The civilian courts – which Bush disdained – have convicted almost 500 in comparison. 84 prisoners at Gitmo are on hunger strike; and it has become a rallying cry for Jihad across the globe. Prisoners there were subjected to brutal torture, their meetings with lawyers are bugged and secretly recorded, and the reputation of the United States as a civilized country has been for ever tainted. Maybe soft power doesn’t exist in the mind of Rubin. But Bush did more to destroy America’s soft and hard power by trashing one and over-using the other – and failing to achieve anything of value in return.

Then torture. Note the lack of any discussion about its morality. Note the absence of any mention of the Constitution Project’s report that definitively found that Rubin’s term “enhanced interrogation” meant without question torture. Note the refusal to acknowledge that those with the most information, the Senate Intelligence Committee, have emphatically denied that torture helped get bin Laden. Note also no mention of the fact that Bush had eight years to find and capture or kill bin Laden and failed. Obama found and killed him in three years. We get two CIA agents and an attorney general arguing that their own torture worked. And they have no vested interest in believing or saying that, do they?

As for the surge? It failed dismally on its own terms, but succeeded in getting us out of there. Its own terms were a solid non-sectarian representative government in place to leave behind. Instead, we have a return to brutal sectarianism – only this time with the Shiites in charge. 33 Sunnis were murdered today by government forces – and elections in Anbar and Nineveh, Sunni areas, did not take place.

The country Bush broke is still broken. And the cost in terms of human life and tax-payers’ dollars still looms over us all. And yet some like Rubin still do not see the failure staring at them in the face. Because they cannot. Late-era neoconservatives can never admit error. They do not have the intellect for it.

(Above screenshot from Rubin’s “Ask Anything” series – all five videos are here.)

The Daily Wrap

Today on the Dish, Andrew pushed further in the debate over terror and America’s PTSD, rebuking arguments that deemphasize the Tsareav brothers’ jihadist motivations and taking on readers’ dissent. He also pointed to the fruits of Christian fundamentalism in the new, pro-confederate arguments of Douglas Wilson, ventured into strange and wondrous world described in Jennifer Rubin’s latest column, and noted the Dish’s latest honor. Later, Andrew revisited the hypothesis of gay overachievement in light of new evidence, sounded off on the difference paths toward coming out in the world of sports and noted Rhode Island and Nevada appear ready to legalize gay marriage quite soon.

In political coverage, we traced the origins of the West, Texas explosion, analyzed the markets’ reaction to the fake AP doomsday tweet, and kept a tab open on immigration reform, which Ramesh claimed still carries one huge defect. Ackerman took note of the insta-Truthers over the Boston bombings, Emily Bazelon summed up truth about the rule of law in the face of terrorism, we separated Islamophobia from genuine criticism, and got a whiff of a genuine lead as to who radicalized the older brother Tamerlan.

Elsewhere, we felt the burn of sequestration intensify and learned of the enormous size of America’s off-the-books economy as readers asked Steve Brill what surprised him reporting on our bloated healthcare industry. Nate Cohn envisioned gun control as a strong campaign issue for Democrats in 2016, Nathan Hegedus emphasized the physical staying power of firearms and we debated the correlation between crime and gun ownership. Finally, we sized up the new cyber-security bill CISPA that just made it out of the House, Ambers issued some rules of thumb for journos using police scanners and Chris Mooney explained why academia skews liberal.

In assorted coverage, Cornell researchers studied mosh pit mumurations, The Smiths embodied the best in angsty adolescent love as Rebecca Makkai scribbled books within books. Readers toughed out another challenging VFYW contest, we surveyed American laws allowing roadkill cuisine, the anxious and needy among us performed better in poker and Stanford and MIT made sure the first ever transaction online was a drug deal. Lastly, we spent a moment with some young Parisians celebrating the legalization of same sex marriage in France, caught a striking sunrise in Decatur, Indiana for today’s VFYW, and set off the mother of all mouse traps in the MHB.

–B.J.

Quote For The Day III

“I think there’s a really easy caricature that some people have bought into, of the bitchy woman character and the guy who is sort of calmer. That, I think, is a little bit of an unfair caricature,” – NYT managing editor, Dean Baquet, about his relationship with NYT executive editor Jill Abramson.

A “little bit” unfair? And giving that quote to Politico? I guess it’s on now.

Quote For The Day

“Misha was important. Tamerlan was searching for something. He was searching for something out there,” – Elmirza Khozhugov, 26, the ex-husband of Tamerlan Tsarnaev’s sister, Ailina.

No one has yet figured out who Misha is. The best Khozhugov gave the AP is “a slightly older, heavyset bald man with a long reddish beard.” Also: an Armenian native and a convert to Islam. He seems to have been the key factor in Tamerlan’s radicalization.

Marriage Equality Update

Promising news out of Rhode Island:

All five Republicans in the 38-member Rhode Island Senate – including Minority Leader Dennis Algiere of Westerly – plan to support the same-sex marriage bill backed by supporters of the issue, RIPR has learned. … [It] reportedly marks the first unanimous backing from a partisan legislative caucus in the US for same-sex marriage.

The state Senate’s judiciary committee this afternoon voted to allow the bill to reach the floor tomorrow. A reader adds:

If the Senate passes the bill, Rhode Island will be the next state to legalize marriage for all.  The Senate President is opposed to the bill but has indicated that she will still allow it to come to the floor, and it is expected to pass overwhelmingly.  Still, the big news is that it has the support of all GOP Senators.  As you always say, know hope.

Also, from Nevada:

Monday night, the Nevada Senate voted 12-9 to repeal the state’s constitutional amendment banning the recognition of same-sex couples’ marriages. That language would be replaced to recognize all marriages between two people, “regardless of gender.” As BuzzFeed’s Chris Geidner points out, the Senate is the first legislative chamber in the country to affirm the overturn of a marriage amendment.

The debate lasted over an hour, during which one Senator came out for the first time. Sen. Kelvin Atkinson (D) announced, “I’m black. I’m gay… I know this is the first time many of you have heard me say that I am a black, gay male.”

Update from a reader on late-breaking news out of Delaware:

You left out the Delaware House vote: 23 – 18 in favor! On to the Senate!

Faces Of The Day

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People celebrate in front of the Paris City Hall on April 23, 2013, hours after the French National Assembly adopted a bill legalizing same-sex marriages and adoptions for gay couples, defying months of opposition protests. In its second and final reading, a majority of lawmakers approved the bill by a vote of 331 to 225. By Bertrand Guay/AFP/Getty Images.

Running On Gun Control

Nate Cohn expects it will become a wedge issue beneficial to Democrats:

It’s easy to envision the next Democratic presidential candidate campaigning on gun control—and winning. Thirteen years ago, Democrats needed rural Ohio, West Virginia, or Missouri to win the presidency. Today, Democratic presidential candidates are less reliant on rural, conservative gun owners than at any time in the history of the party. Democrats win with big margins in cities and suburbs, where support for gun control is an asset, not a hindrance. This is even true in Ohio, where Obama won twice despite losing additional ground in the traditionally Democratic, gun-toting, southeastern part of the state. Now Republicans find themselves in the place that haunted Democrats in the early part of the last decade: To win, Republicans need to reclaim the socially moderate suburbs around Denver, Washington, and Philadelphia, where gun control is a real asset to Democratic candidates.

Could The West Explosion Have Been Prevented?

Fertilizer Plant Explosion In West, Texas

In the wake of last week’s tragedy, the regulatory framework that governs fertilizer plants is getting increased attention. Terrence Henry describes the outcome of a 2006 investigation of the West facility by the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality (TCEQ):

The Commission doesn’t generally pay a visit to facilities like the one in West unless someone complains. “Historically, fertilizer plants have not been given the level of attention of scrutiny that other industrial or petrochemical facilities have received,” Craft says. The plant was also regulated by other state and federal agencies, a gallimaufry of acronyms like PHMSAOSHA, DSHS, and others, but there appears to have been little communication and coordination among them. …

In its report to the EPA in 2011, West Fertilizer said its worst-case scenario was a release of one of its storage tanks of anhydrous ammonia “as a gas over 10 minutes.” It said nothing of fire risk. It also said nothing of ammonium nitrate at the site. But according to records from the Texas Department of State Health Services obtained by StateImpact Texas, the plant had as much as 270 tons of ammonium nitrate at the site in 2012. To put that in perspective, the bombing of a federal building in Oklahoma City on April 19, 1995, which killed 168 and injured hundreds, used 4,800 pounds of ammonium nitrate mixed with other chemicals and diesel fuel, or about 2.4 tons.

Bill Buzenberg places some of the blame on the Chemical Safety Board:

Each year there are some 200 serious industrial accidents like the fertilizer plant explosion that are deemed to be of “high consequence.” Yet the Chemical Safety Board — modeled after the National Transportation Safety Board — is able to investigate only a handful, and then often takes years more to issue a report.

Tim Murphy worries that a House bill proposed in February will take away one potential avenue for regulation:

[The fertilizer industry] introduced a bill to formally prohibit the EPA from using the Clean Air Act to regulate security and safety at chemical production and storage sites, by mandating that any such inspections be carried out by the Department of Homeland Security instead. Their bill also left it up to manufacturers to determine whether or not to make improvements to the safety of their workplace. … “Dividing safety and security has been a game that the chemical industry has tried to play for many years,” [chemical safety consultant Paul] Orum says. “That’s the point of the Pompeo bill—divide safety from security. But they’re not separable.”

(Photo: Search-and-rescue workers comb through what remains of a 50-unit apartment building the day after an explosion at the West Fertilizer Company destroyed the building on April 18, 2013 in West, Texas. According to West Mayor Tommy Muska, around 14 people, including 10 first responders, were killed and more than 150 people were injured when the fertilizer company caught fire and exploded, leaving damaged buildings for blocks in every direction. By Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)