Dogs vs Cats: Let The Great Debate Begin, Ctd

A reader is on the same page as De Niro, seen above:

I am a life long “dog person” who has been going through a conversion. I am pretty sure I own my last dog precisely because one day the amount of basic existential dependency my dog has on me stopped affirming me and started making me feel guilty and needy. He’s a great dog! But he has no independent purpose beyond me. His work is to do what I’m doing – to follow me to work, where he lays at my feet. And to the dog run, where he will only play with other dogs when I am watching. And to my errands, where if he’s lucky he gets treats and when he’s not he gets tied up outside.

From a resource allocation perspective, my dog is my personal sidecar that eats meat, shits into plastic bags, pees on trees sometimes despite my best efforts, and occasionally needs a car. This bugs me. But what really bugs me is that he wakes up every morning and devotes his life to me for no clear purpose beyond keeping me company. I feel sad and needy when I think about this.

Previous thoughts from readers here.

What Should Count As Drunk Driving?

The National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) wants to lower the legal limit:

Currently, the threshold is set at a blood alcohol content of 0.08 percent, as a result of a transportation bill signed into law by President Clinton in 2000, which stated that states had to adopt the 0.08 threshold by 2004 or else have their highway funding revoked. But in a new report, the NTSB argues that this threshold is too high, and that it should be reduced further to 0.05. For reference, the average woman weighing 165 pounds would have to consume three beers to top 0.05, four to top 0.08, and five to top 0.10 (change that to four, five and six for the average man weighing 195 pounds).

Kathryn Stewart supports the change:

The United States is among a handful of countries that sets the illegal blood alcohol concentration as high as 0.08 percent. Perhaps that is one reason we trail behind many other developed countries in our traffic safety record. In virtually every country where the illegal level has been lowered, lives have been saved.

When several European countries lowered their levels to 0.05 percent, researchers tallied the reductions in traffic deaths to be somewhere between 8 percent and 12 percent among drivers ages 18 to 49. And in Australia, fatal crashes decreased by 18 percent in Queensland and 8 percent in New South Wales after those states lowered their limits to 0.05 percent. In Sweden, when the illegal level went from an already-low 0.05 percent to 0.02 percent in 1990, the proportion of alcohol-related fatalities declined sharply, from 31 percent in 1989 to 18 percent in 1997. In our own country, lowering the limit from 0.10 to 0.08 was associated with reductions in impaired driving crashes and fatalities from between 5 percent and 16 percent.

The Climate Change “Debate” Is Over

A recent study reviewed the published literature and talked to climate scientists about whether human activities are driving climate change. Their results indicate a general consensus in the scientific community:

An international team of scientists analyzed the abstracts of 11,944 peer-reviewed papers published between 1991 and 2011 dealing with climate change and global warming. That’s right — we’re talking about 20 years of papers, many published long before Superstorm Sandy, last year’s epic Greenland melt, or Australia’s “angry summer.”

About two-thirds of the authors of those studies refrained from stating in their abstracts whether human activity was responsible for climate change. But in those papers where a position on the claim was staked out, 97.1 percent endorsed the consensus position that humans are, indeed, cooking the planet.

The scientists involved with the new study also asked the authors of the peer-reviewed papers for their personal reflections on the causes of global warming. A little more than one-third expressed no opinion. Of those who did share a view, 97.2 percent endorsed the consensus that humans are to blame. Out of the 1,189 authors who responded to the survey, just 39 rejected the idea that humans are causing global warming.

But the main reason many Americans still refuse to believe it is religious fundamentalism. That is immune to science and reason. But it is the bedrock belief of one of our political parties.

The Shelf Life Of Dunder-Mifflin

Kevin Craft opines that the finale of The Office is long overdue, since “the original theme it explored—office work sucks—is only funny if the characters never grow”:

So The Office‘s characters developed, and their individual stories gradually outshone the show’s focus on survival in a corporate setting. By Season Five, the show was struggling to transition from a narrative about a listless workplace to a comedy that just happened to be set in an office. … Thus, throughout its long autumn, The Office often came across as the shell of something once great. (Perhaps this is why Ricky Gervais pulled the plug on his Office after only three seasons.)

This is one effect of purely commercial broadcasting. If your primary goal is money and your secondary goal is creative integrity, then you will get what we see so often: TV series that do not know when to stop, and ghastly endless piss-poor sequels to cash in on an original hit. Because a lot of British TV is directly subsidized by a government tax, there’s less pressure to milk something until it’s truly a dead show walking.

Gervais, for his part, doesn’t seem to mind: “It’s the gift that keeps on giving, syndication.”

Quote For The Day II

“There are all kinds of ways to argue about what the original gay rights movement was about. But if you look at it collectively from the buttoned-up Mattachine Society to the hippie drag queen kids who threw bottles at Stonewall and you put them all together I think they could all come to the conclusion that, yeah, marriage should be an option for us because what’s at the core of this?   “Oh, my full citizenship,” some would answer.  Yes, there’s that. But what is at the even deeper core?  “My romantic heart,” is my answer.  It’s all about who you love.  At its core, the gay rights movement is the most romantic revolution of all time,” – David Drake, whose 1993 play, “The Night Larry Kramer Kissed Me” is being revived for a one-night charity event for Broadway Cares/Equity Fights AIDS and the Sero Project next Monday night.

(Full Disclosure: Aaron’s in it.)

The View From Your Weirder Windows

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“It’s from the floor of a yurt, an hour’s ski into a forest near Flagstaff, Arizona.” Several more after the jump:

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Stockholm, Sweden

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The ferry from Flam, Norway to Bergen, Norway

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Heceta Head lighthouse, in an RV between Yachats and Florence, Oregon, 3 pm

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Glencoe, Illinois

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Wasilla, Alaska

What IQ Tests Measure

Brink Lindsey makes some important points about IQ scores. They are designed to predict outcomes in a post-industrial advanced society:

IQ scores clearly tell us something of genuine importance. They are a reasonably good predictor not only of performance in the classroom but of income, health, and other important life outcomes.

Then this qualifier:

IQ tests are good measures of innate intelligence–if all other factors are held steady. But if IQ tests are being used to compare individuals of wildly different backgrounds, then the variable of innate intelligence is not being tested in isolation. Instead, the scores will reflect some impossible-to-sort-out combination of ability and differences in opportunities and motivations.

I’m pretty sure that’s true. The trouble is: IQ researchers are not dumb. And they have done their best to control for background, culture, education, wealth, etc. And when they do, the differences between population subgroups of different ancestries do not go away completely. Brink is dead-right that upbringing is a big deal and can greatly affect the result. But those results tend to start at 8 years’ old and are hard to budge thereafter.

Leaving immigrants aside, in the US, we have not seen among longtime residents what we would expect: a convergence of IQ among all population subgroups. We do have rising IQ rates in general – as our brains adjust to the new and more complex set of tasks our modern society has created for them. There’s no reason to believe that immigrants of one population subgroup won’t rise in IQs over generations – and they have. But the other subgroup populations have rising IQs as well – and the differences do not go away.

Why else do they have a de facto Asian quota at Harvard?  Why else did they once have an explicit Jewish one? That’s one of the ironies of affirmative action. The very liberals who deride “race” as a category, use it reflexively all the time in the case of affirmative action. And the upshot of their use is direct discrimination against population subgroups because of their higher scores. Accusations of racism cuts both ways. If the Supreme Court strikes down affirmative action this year, as seems likely, how will resilient differences in IQ between subgroups of differing ancestries be hidden?

Another important bit of Lindsey’s argument, with which I fully agree, is that the kind of intelligence measured by IQ is a very specialized and post-industrial-specific one. It has, as I’ve repeatedly, said, no intrinsic value, morally or otherwise. It’s entirely contingent on our particular kind of society and what kind of brain succeeds best in it on its own terms (of socio-economic advantage). There are many other just as valuable (in my view more valuable) forms of intelligence.

IQ tests reward the possession of abstract theoretical knowledge and a facility for formal analytical rigor. But for most people throughout history, intelligence would have taken the form of concrete practical knowledge of the resources and dangers present in the local environment. To grasp how culturally contingent our current conception of intelligence is, just imagine how well you might do on an IQ test devised by Amazonian hunter-gatherers or medieval European peasants.

The mass development of highly abstract thinking skills represents a cultural adaptation to the mind-boggling complexity of modern technological society. But the complexity of contemporary life is not evenly distributed, and neither is the demand for written language fluency or analytical dexterity. Such skills are used more intensively in the most advanced economies than they are in the rest of the world. And within advanced societies, they are put to much greater use by the managers and professionals of the socioeconomic elite than by everybody else. As a result, American kids generally will have better opportunities to develop these skills than kids in, say, Mexico or Guatemala. And in America, the children of college-educated parents will have much better opportunities than working-class kids.

And yet the median score for very wealthy subgroups is often lower than the median score for poorer subgroups. That’s the truly surprising result of the research, as you will find if you ever actually bother to read The Bell Curve, rather than simply dismissing it. Reihan calls Lindsay “entirely correct”:

Yet its implications for the immigration debate are not entirely clear. As a matter of distributive justice, discriminating against a given class of persons on grounds of inherited disadvantage seems profoundly unfair. And if we collectively decide that our immigration policy ought to be crafted with global distributive justice foremost in mind, admitting large numbers of less-skilled immigrants is obviously the right thing to do, given the size of the “place premium.” But if our goal is instead to recruit immigrants who are likely to flourish in an advanced economy, the case for assessing immigrants on the basis of whether or not they possess the highly abstract thinking skills associated with success seems much stronger. This would be the case whether or not a relative lack of the skills in question reflects some intrinsic quality (which, like Brink, I’m pretty sure is not the case) or contingent historical circumstances.

That’s why I favor giving foreign grad students an automatic green card with their diploma. But there should be no IQ-based testing of immigrants. We’d be a much less rich and genuinely diverse country if we did that.

Quote For The Day

“At the moment, simply opposing gay marriage doesn’t make you a homophobe, any more than opposing affirmative action makes you a racist or opposition to settlements on the West Bank makes you an anti-Semite,” – Mike Kinsley.

I’m with Mike. I’m deeply opposed to stigmatizing people who disagree with me on this. I’m in favor of allowing them maximal free speech so I can engage their arguments. Hence my anthology, which presents both sides fairly.