Von Hoffman Award Nominee, Ctd

by Zack Beauchamp

A reader writes:

I wanted to take issue with the Von Hoffman Award nomination that was bestowed on Matt Yglesias on August 22nd. Matt does not deserve a nomination because he is ineligible: the campaign that NATO conducted against Qaddafi’s forces does not qualify as strategic air power. For the most part, the operations that NATO carried out could better be described as "tactical bombing."

NATO sorties did target command and control centers, but the traditional idea behind strategic bombing is to destroy the economic and industrial power of a state in order to compel them to surrender or at least come to the bargaining table. There is a second method of strategic bombing as well: inflicting pain directly on a state's civilian population to accomplish the same goals. Obviously we were not going to do that… the whole reason NATO got involved in Libya in the first place was to prevent civilian atrocities.

Obviously it will be quite some time before we can step back and do a full postmortem of this war. However, two things are clear. First, most of NATO's success seem to have come from attacking Qaddafi’s ground forces, which historically has been more successful. Second, air power alone did not win the war, rebel troops on the ground did. They could not have won without NATO assistance, but NATO bombing alone probably would not have driven Qaddafi out.

So Matt is wrong: what NATO did in Libya does not really seem to qualify as "strategic air power." He is correct concerning one thing: strategic air power still does not work.

Von Hoffman Award Nominee II

"Over the past week, my colleague in Austin and Andrew Sullivan have been discussing whether there is a Rick-Perry-sized hole in the race. With respect to Mr Sullivan I side with E.G.; while Mr Perry might choose to enter the race and might do quite well, there is no sizable bloc of Republican voters who would be unrepresented or left without a choice should he decide to remain in Texas. The hole in the race is now perfectly Pawlenty-sized: mainstream Republicans need a port in the storm, and it looks like he's the only port available." – Economist blogger J.F. His mea culpa here.

Von Hoffmann Award Nominee II

“The perpetrators of these attacks have not yet been identified, but they likely were Muslim terrorists. News reports indicate that earlier this week, a prosecutor filed terror-related charges against an Iraqi-born cleric who threatened to kill Norwegian politicians. It is not yet known whether those charges are related to today’s attacks,” – John Hinderaker.

Von Hoffmann Award Nominee

"There is a specific jihadist connection here: “Just nine days ago, Norwegian authorities filed charges against Mullah Krekar, an infamous al Qaeda-affiliated terrorist who, with help from Osama bin Laden, founded Ansar al Islam – a branch of al Qaeda in northern Iraq – in late 2001.” This is a sobering reminder for those who think it’s too expensive to wage a war against jihadists," – Jennifer Rubin, responding to the Christianist mass murder in Norway.

Rubin subsequently had to retreat some, without fully copping to her direct assertion that Islamism, rather than Christianism, was behind the attack.

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Von Hoffmann Award Nominee

"The toppling of the Tunisian regime led by Zine el-Abidine Ben Ali has led a lot of smart people  — including my FP colleague Marc Lynch – to suggest that this might be the catalyst for a wave of democratization throughout the Arab world. The basic idea is that events in Tunisia will have a powerful demonstration effect (magnified by various forms of new media), leading other unhappy masses to rise up and challenge the stultifying dictatorships in places like Egypt or Syria. The obvious analogy (though not everyone makes it) is to the velvet revolutions in Eastern Europe, or perhaps the various "color revolutions" that took place in places like Ukraine or Georgia.

Color me skeptical. In fact, the history of world revolution suggests that this sort of revolutionary cascade is quite rare, and even when some sort of revolutionary contagion does take place, it happens pretty slowly and is often accompanied by overt foreign invasion," – Stephen Walt, Foreign Policy, January 16th, 2011.

New York Daily News also deserves a whack. Awards glossary here.