"Why not predict? Clinton by 8 in Indiana. Obama by 3 or less in N.C. …" – Mickey Kaus, who predicted that John Kerry would be humiliated by early defeat in the 2004 primary election and that 9/11 would be out of the headlines by Thanksgiving of the same year.
Category: Dick Morris Award Nominee
Von Hoffmann Award Nominee I
"’Obama by double digits’ in N.C.: Predicted by a blogger using a sophisticated model that ignores … what’s been happening in the campaign. Like Rev. Wright. I predict this person is wrong!" – Mickey Kaus, Monday, who predicted that John Kerry would be humiliated by early defeat in the 2004 primary election and that 9/11 would be out of the headlines by Thanksgiving of the same year.
Von Hoffmann Award Nominee
By Patrick
"[Obama] has just suffered too severe a blow with the white, progressive creative class that he needed to win [Iowa]. After five months of losing ground among this group, the vicious, deserved, and nearly blogosphere-wide criticism of Obama today seems like too much to overcome. It is the nail in the coffin for his campaign. He just can’t win the primary without those voters, and I don’t see how he gets them back now. It is ironic, really. During 2006 and early 2007, I always thought that the netroots would end up being the downfall of Hillary Clinton’s campaign. However, it turns out that losing the netroots has been the downfall of Barack Obama’s campaign…Hopefully, at the very least, the downfall of Obama’s campaign will serve as a warning to anyone else in the Democratic Party who wants to harness the activism of the netroots to win, but who distances him or herself from the netroots in order to look palatable to the establishment," –Chris Bowers, October 29, in response to the fallout over Mcclurkin.
Von Hoffmann Award Nominee
"The fact is that U.S. Marines will find more deadly weapons in the first hours of war than the U.N. did in three months," – Victor David Hanson, March 18, 2003. Yes, this is an old one, but this week’s five year anniversary makes it more relevant.
Von Hoffmann Correction?
A reader writes:
Cramer is RIGHT. The caller had an ACCOUNT at Bear Stearns. His question was, “should I take my money out?” Cramer’s answer was: “don’t be silly.” There’s no reason to do that. And Cramer was right about that. The caller doesn’t go down with BSC, if it goes bankrupt. He still owns what he owns. He would just have to move his portfolio over to Fidelity. Now, his portfolio is with JPMorganChase.
Cramer was NOT advising him to stay in BSC stock.
Von Hoffmann Award Nominee
A Dish award glossary can be found here.
Von Hoffmann Award Nominee
"It’s over. The Clintons have defeated him already, because he is leaving South Carolina as "the black candidate." He won’t win another state," – Michael Graham.
Von Hoffmann Award Nominee
"I am so confident of both a Patriots win today and a Romney win in Massachusetts on Tuesday that I made this pledge on the air Friday: ‘If the NY Giants beat the Patriots in the Super Bowl, I will vote cast my Super Duper Tuesday primary vote for (shudder) John McCain.’" – Michael Graham, NRO. (Hat tip: Josh P.) Award glossary here.
Von Hoffmann Award Nominee
"For all intents and purposes, McCain’s campaign is over. The physicians have pulled up the sheet; the executors of the estate are taking over. Paying bills and winding down – not strategizing, organizing, and getting the message out – will be the order of the day," – Charlie Cook, National Journal, last July.
I actually saw the logic of McCain’s victory back in November. My Times of London column holds up pretty well:
The odds against McCain are still high. But he is not unimaginable as the nominee. It’s worth recalling that in December 2003, at about this time in the primary cycle, John Kerry had a national rating of 4%. If one establishment Vietnam vet can come back from the political dead to win the nomination it can happen again.
An Awards Glossary is here.
Von Hoffmann Award Nominee
"[Bill] Clinton doesn’t like to play an overtly political role anymore; he enjoys the statesmanlike aura that surrounds any ex-president, and he is not about to undermine it, even for his wife’s campaign," – Matt Bai, New York Times Magazine, December 23, 2007.
He admirably cops to it here. Glossary for Dish award criteria here.
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