A Lyric For Today

Aidsdaywinmcnameegetty

Many words may make it sound contrived
But somehow we’re alive

The survivors – Our heads bowed
The survivors – At memorials for other faces in the crowd

Teachers and artists
And Saturday girls
In suits or sequins
Or twinsets-and-pearls

If life is worth living,
It’s got to be run
As a means of giving,
Not as a race to be won
Many roads will run through many lives
But somehow we’ll arrive.

– "The Survivors", by Neil Tennant and Chris Lowe.

Is Clinton Collapsing In New Hampshire?

The new Rasmussen poll can’t be encouraging for her. The trend is looking brutal:

Clinton’s seven-point advantage is down from a ten-point lead in early November. In October, Clinton held a sixteen-point advantage over Obama. A month earlier, Clinton was ahead by twenty-three percentage points.

Opinion Dynamics sees the same:

A FOX News poll of likely New Hampshire Democratic voters finds that Clinton has the support of 30 percent followed by Obama at 23 percent. Edwards comes in third with 17 percent, Richardson receives the support of 12 percent.

Now imagine if Obama wins Iowa. New Hampshire happens very shortly thereafter. Independents can vote in either primary. I’ve always thought that Obama is an obvious New Hampshire candidate: an insurgent, a straight-talker, with far more independent appeal than Clinton. If Iowa and New Hampshire fall to him, black voters in South Carolina could realize he’s viable and flock from Clinton. If that happens, Mrs Inevitable is in big trouble. (I’d add that an Obama surge in New Hamsphire among Independents could finish off McCain – because, unlike 2000, they won’t be voting in the Republican primary.)

National Review Fabulist Update

A reader writes:

This is David Kenner. I’m an American journalist living in Beirut who writes for NOW Lebanon. Broadly speaking, I’m in Mr. Smith’s "political camp" (supporting the pro-Western government, opposing Hezbollah). That said, Mr. Smith’s writing on Lebanon is atrocious, and the "facts" that he reported never happened, as anyone living in Beirut could tell you. Really, it’s not even a close call. If 4,000 – 5,000 Hezbollah gunmen deployed to Christian Beirut, the country would be descending to civil war. The idea that only Mr. Smith would have noticed this is absurd – somebody is feeding him fake news, and hoping he transmits it back to his readers in the States.

I actually criticized Smith from my blog, which covers Lebanese politics, in October. I suspect that is what he is responding to when he complains that people criticized him for calling Beirut’s southern suburbs a Hezbollah "stronghold."  Really, this sort of thing makes me very angry… Hezbollah does so much that is truly damaging to Lebanon, journalists shouldn’t let them off the hook by making up things that never happened.

Kenner’s response to the NRO spin can be read here. My summary of the charges here. The alleged factual inaccuracy – reporting 4,000 Hezbollah gunmen when they didn’t exist – dwarfs any alleged incident Beauchamp reported for TNR.

National Review’s Fabulist Scandal

What goes around, I guess … My take on the story they buried on a Friday afternoon can be read here. Kevin adds:

Well, we all make mistakes. Live and learn, eh? Whether the New Republic will be so charitable remains to be seen.

Insta-silence, natch. But he does manage to attack The New Republic again this morning!

The Environmental Consciousness of Hunters

Frank Miniter explains:

Many nonhunters think hunters are simply bloodthirsty. I dare any nonhunter who feels that way to go to a hunting club, lodge, or hunting show and meet hunters, or simply to read a hunting magazine. If they do they’ll find that hunters care deeply about our natural resources. I’m a bird-watcher, hiker, kayaker, wildlife photographer, and yes, hunter.

Another underlying myth about hunting is that if you don’t hunt, eat meat, or wear leather products you are somehow beyond reproach. This myth falls apart when you realize that every farmer-and this goes double for small organic farms-has to control wildlife populations lethally in order to have crops left to harvest. If farmers don’t use hunting to control deer, elk, geese, and other wildlife populations then those species propagate to the point and eat their crops. When you step back and look at the big picture you realize wildlife and humans are living in the same ecosystems. We’re all competing for the same resources. We have to balance our needs with those of the wildlife around us. This is why farmers need hunters and why even vegetarians owe hunters.

Banksy Does New York

Banksy

A London hipster opens in Chelsea next week. One critic laments:

It’s hard to know which celebrity artist to dislike more, sculptor Damien Hirst and his  jackass affinity for labeling every new work, “his most mature yet”, or graffiti artist Banksy and his seemingly endless juvenile commentary on art.  In a head to head match, it’s unclear who would win, though Banksy’s splash page directed at the collectors who recently purchased he work at record breaking prices reading  “I can’t believe you morons actually buy this shit.” certainly gives Hirst a run for his money.

But Brad Pitt loves him!

(Image from Vanina Holasek Gallery.)

Monopoly and WWII

For all you war-history buffs, a classic tale:

During World War II, the British secret service hatched a master plan to smuggle escape gear to captured Allied soldiers inside Germany. Their secret weapon? Monopoly boxes. The original notion was simple enough: Find a way to sneak useful items into prison camps in an unassuming form. But the idea to use Monopoly came from a series of happy coincidences, all of which started with maps.