THE RISK IN FALLUJA

I can’t be the only one troubled by the apparent decision to hand over the pacification of Falluja to some kind of Sunni/Iraqi force. Rumsfeld suggests that this is a recommendation from the Marines on the ground. You can certainly see why an effective Iraqi attempt to destroy the Baathist and Islamist forces in Falluja would be a good thing. But how realistic is that? And what does this sign of our retreat say to the rest of the population? Here’s a paragraph that made my stomach lurch:

And amid condemnation in Europe and elsewhere for what some leaders say are heavy-handed tactics in Falluja, American military and civilian officials in Iraq have shown much reluctance to return to all-out fighting here either, despite strong talk from President Bush and other administration officials about ending the insurgency.

Don’t get me wrong. I’m aware that we have to strike a balance here – between quelling unrest and provoking more of it. But if we had the chance to eradicate a whole swathe of Baathist/Islamist terrorists and walked away, then it would amount to a huge miscalculation. In my lower moments, it makes me worry if the Bush administration has begun to abandon Iraq to internal chaos. I cannot believe they would do that. But this Falluja reversal is mystifying, to say the least.

THE BIGGEST SURPRISE: “As a person who has followed the Iraqi situation pretty closely, the results I read in the USA Today/CNN/Gallup Poll were pretty much what I would have expected. The biggest surprise, by far, was the one about family income. I was frankly shocked to read that 84 percent said their family income was the same or better than before the war. While I know the media coverage can be slanted and misleading about many things, the impression I have seen from virtually every source about this topic has been so far off from what the poll results show that I am truly bewildered.
Could it be that media people are so jaded by the level of prosperity they enjoy that they simply cannot believe that the situation in Iraq could possibly have been this bad before the war? But since many of these same people have visited areas of the world with even more extreme poverty than they see in Iraq, I doubt this is truly the case. A more plausible explanation may be that non-Iraqis failed to understand the extreme deprivation of the quality of life that the Iraqi people lived with under Hussein. Whatever the cause I think it is a fascinating subject that really deserves a great deal of scrutiny and research.” – More feedback on the Letters Page.

A GERMAN … Takes on anti-Americanism and even defends George W. Bush!

SHARIA IN NIGERIA: Another region succumbs to theocracy.

THE NYT VERSUS STANDARDS: I’ve always failed to understand the left’s general educational policies. I’m particularly flummoxed by the horror so many feel at the thought of subjecting bad and failing schools to tough standards with consequences. Of course, the New York Times is against such standards. Eduwonk explains how they still get it wrong. (Hat tip: Mickey.)

THE GUARDIAN AND THE ENVIRONMENT: A nice tour through some truly bad journalism.

NYT DISTORTIONS I

Deborah Sontag’s defense of Jose Padilla is under blogfire.

NYT DISTORTIONS II: The New York Times’ medical correspondent still hasn’t backed away from front-page story in July 2000, predicting a “sub-Saharan” explosion in AIDS and HIV cases in San Francisco. I questioned his methodology at the time, spurred by the vigilance of Michael Petrelis, an HIV activist. Anyway, the latest data from San Francisco is now in on new AIDS cases in the first quarter of 2004. Petrelis compares them to previous first quarter results from 1999 onwards. Bottom line:

1999 = 62
2000 = 49
2001 = 56
2002 = 40
2003 = 14
2004 = 8

Now, of course, AIDS cases do not correlate with new HIV cases. Nevertheless, in five years, numbers of new AIDS cases in San Francisco in the first quarter have dropped from 62 to 8. Until the New York Times runs this astonishingly good data on its front page, its medical reporter, Lawrence K. Altman, has some ‘splaining to do.

IF IRAQ GETS MUCH WORSE

Bush could get a landslide. Dan Drezner has a point.

IT’S SECURITY, STUPID: Very sobering news from the latest big poll within Iraq. The obvious problem is that people feel less physically secure than before the invasion. Of course, some of that is inevitable. The security of a police state is not true security. The centrifugal forces that Saddam was slowly failing to control were bound to have a period when they spun out of control. Nevertheless, more troops, more focus on simple street security seems a no-brainer. Also notice the astonishing disparity between the Kurds and everyone else. The Kurds love us. But of all Iraqis, 57 percent want us out within the next few months.

A STAR IS BORN: Amazing reviews in London for a new production of Hamlet, starring an unknown 23-year-old, Money quote:

This is the kind of evening of which legends are made, one of those rare first nights that those who were present are never likely to forget… Whishaw, with his light, tremulous voice, painfully thin body, and the kind of cheekbones that will have adolescent girls swooning in the stalls, presents the most raw and vulnerable Hamlet I have ever seen.
He has all the gangliness of adolescence and the unbearable pain of a once bright and happy scholar who returns home to find that his family has imploded and nothing makes sense any more.
No wonder that this inadequate prince finds it so hard to revenge. Whishaw brilliantly captures an adolescent deep in the depths of clinical depression, whose feigned madness sometimes slips terrifyingly into the real thing.
Yet he is also the most lovable of Hamlets. During the soliloquies he genuinely seems to be confiding in us, the audience, with a rare, bruised candour that catches the heart.
“Oh that this too solid flesh would melt” is delivered through tears and snot and I have never heard “To be or not to be” – during which he contemplates knocking back a bottle of sleeping pills – spoken with such freshness and depth of feeling. You seem to be hearing it for the first time.

Enough to make me want to jump, er, hobble onto a plane. (It’s playing till August.) I had the chance to play Hamlet in grad school – bigger, longer, uncut – and ended up even more fascinated by the character than I was before. Maddeningly, purely, human thought. Unactable. And then, days after Shakespeare’s birthday, some kind of miracle happens again.

BLOGS AND 2004

Are we making a difference? George Packer thinks we are – but need to do more original reporting. Money quote:

Many bloggers emerged from the ranks of the press itself; unlike the elite press corps, though, anyone with a computer and an Internet connection can blog. This is potentially the most radical innovation of the form: It opens up political journalism to a vast marketplace of competitors, reminiscent of earlier ages of pamphleteering. It also restores unvarnished opinion, for better and worse, to a central place in political writing. Insult and invective were the stock-in-trade of the English political essayists of the 18th century, and of their American counterparts during the early years of the republic (when bimbo eruptions made their first appearance in press coverage of presidential campaigns). The explosion of blogs has blown a needed hole in the sealed rooms of the major editorial pages and the Sunday talk shows. It has also affected political reporting, by forcing Washington journalists accustomed to the caution of the mainstream to follow less traveled tributaries – for example, the examination of President Bush’s National Guard service was partly pushed along by evidence laid out for reporters by Calpundit.

Yes: pamphleteering. And why not?

EMAIL OF THE DAY: “The line that struck me as most interesting in that piece from the embedded CNN reporter is near the end where he writes ‘So it’s been surprising’. I would love for him to further explain why he finds the actions & attitudes of these men ‘surprising’. I would take a guess & say that this is this man’s first exposure to our men in the military.
I was an Army brat from the day I was born until I was halfway through college, and my father was an Airborne ranger most of those years. This reporter’s observations of our soldiers don’t surprise me at all. Anyone who has spent anytime around our soldiers would not have expected anything different. These men take their code and their duty seriously. The fact that the reporter is ‘surprised’ I think reveals more than anything his (and no doubt a significant number of media people’s) disconnect from what most people know, either first hand or instinctively, about our military personnel. We have the best military known to mankind and one of the primary reasons is the simplest one: The people who are in it.” – more feedback on the Letters Page.

THOM GUNN DIES: A difficult but, at times, I’ve found a rewarding poet. In this typically rich and arch Daily Telegraph obituary, you find two other details: he met his husband, Mike Kitay, at Oxford in the early 1950s. Kitay survived him.

A MARINE COMES HOME

A simple story of a tragic return home for a fallen Marine. It says a lot about America to me.

KREEPING KAUSISM: Mickey – “The Sky Is Falling!” – Kaus has been hyperventilating (most entertainingly) for months about the execrable nature of the Kerry candidacy. Now we have the Village Voice and New York Observer piling on. What do you call post-election recriminations six months before an election?

AIMING FOR BLAIR: The Euro-left targets the British prime minister as a “neocon.”

SONTAG AWARD NOMINEE: “Tillman, probably acting out his nationalist-patriotic fantasies forged in years of exposure to Clint Eastwood and Rambo movies, decided to insert himself into a conflict he didn’t need to insert himself into. It wasn’t like he was defending the East coast from an invasion of a foreign power. THAT would have been heroic and laudable. What he did was make himself useful to a foreign invading army, and he paid for it. It’s hard to say I have any sympathy for his death because I don’t feel like his “service” was necessary. He wasn’t defending me, nor was he defending the Afghani people. He was acting out his macho, patriotic crap and I guess someone with a bigger gun did him in.” – from the Daily Collegian in New England. I feel sick to my stomach. I’m working on a piece about Tillman, and hope to publish it soon.

KERRY SUCK-UP WATCH

“YOUNGSTOWN, Ohio, April 27 – The man who would be president takes peanut butter and jelly sandwiches – on whole wheat, strawberry jelly preferred to grape – twice a day on the campaign trail. He wears $15 reading glasses, off the rack at CVS. Before bedtime, he starts but rarely finishes movies like “Seabiscuit” and “The Blues Brothers” in his hotel suite. Come morning, he leaves $20 for the maid.” – now receiving entries from some desperate liberal journalists trying to rescue the fast-flailing Kerry campaign (or grease a major source, as Jodi Wilgoren is obviously doing here.

SEMPER FI

A CNN reporter is embedded with the Marines in Fallujah. His impressions:

I have spoken to a lot [of Marines] who have been engaged in some of these firefights. In fact, I was in one of the combat surgical rooms where they were working on a couple of these guys.

Two of them had been ambushed, not where the main fight is going on tonight, but their unit had been ambushed east of Fallujah. And seven people rolled in. There were two that had gunshot wounds. And they pulled a huge slug, a bullet, out of the leg of one of the Marines. And another one had a bullet wound right through the back.

And, amazingly, they were trying to convince their commanders that they were ready to go and go back out. I have been really surprised at … the high degree of morale that these Marines have shown. Remember, they have only been here for a month and a half. Many of these units that are here now engaged in the initial invasion last year and were in Iraq for several months.

Now they’re back. But they seem to be engaged. They’re taking casualties. But it’s really surprising. You don’t see much head-dragging or anything like that. I mean, you know, what you see is kind of more encouragement for these guys.

And, for example, the one who had the gravest — the bullet in and out through his back — was trying to convince his commander that he’d be back. And his commander actually promised him that his spot was still going to be there. Another soldier who was injured in that huge firefight yesterday who I spoke to earlier this morning, he wanted to get back out there. But the only problem was, was that half his shoulder was missing around his firing arm.

But he was convinced he would be able to sit there on a roof and not have to run anywhere and he could contribute that way. So it’s been surprising. But … the Marines that are here certainly appear to be geared up for whatever the future holds.

The proud. The few. Pray for them.

GOOD NEWS IN IRAQ: From Kurdistan, of course. But Kurdistan matters for the future of Iraq – just as much as Fallujah.

MARRIAGE REALITY: “Sunday’s New York Times displayed the hypocrisy and hilarity of our nation’s marriage laws. While the paper ran a front-page story on Governor Romney’s position that he will prohibit same-sex couples residing outside Massachusetts from marrying there, it also included two particularly entertaining wedding announcements. Serving up a diptych of dysfunction, the Times Styles section prominently displayed the Massachusetts wedding of former GE-CEO Jack Welch and Suzy Wetlaufer right alongside the New York marriage of Salman Rushdie and Padma Lakshmi.
Not to pick on Welch and Rushdie, but these two bald, past-their-prime alpha males, who between them have left five wives in their wake, are not exactly poster-children for the sanctity of marriage. The facts are well-tread. This is Welch’s third marriage, to a much-younger fellow divorcee, with whom he struck up an affair after being interviewed by her, only to be caught by his second wife after finding “love e-mails” in his in-box. Rushdie wed for the fourth time, to a knockout-of-a-woman twenty-five years his junior, for whom he supposedly dumped his third wife for after reading about her in a celebrity magazine and then meeting her at the Talk Magazine launch party.
Now does Mitt Romney (on whose commonwealth’s books Welch’s indiscretion was sanctified) or George Pataki (whose state’s laws consecrated Rushdie’s folly) honestly believe that these “marriages” are any more legitimate than the ones that gay couples want to have? How exactly does Jack and Suzy’s union serve to reinforce the culture of marriage? Does Salman, with nearly as many wives as novels, understand the responsibilities of matrimony better than gay men and women yearning to embrace that responsibility?
Absurd is the only way to describe the intellectual dishonesty of our state and national leaders on this issue.” Absurd is a kind description, actually. More feedback on the Letters Page.

WHAT’S HAPPENING IN FALLUJAH

A very interesting and illuminating blog account of Marine tactics in Fallujah. So far, so good. Money quote:

Mortensen’s earlier story indicated the Marines were returning to positions north; since it is known that they already hold positions south it seems clear that the enemy is now squeezed from two sides and is probably contained in the northeast corner of Fallujah, an area full of meandering streets and mosques. The enemy would prefer a linear American advance, hoping as in the case of Jenin, to mine buildings and blow them up as Americans occupy them. Not wanting to oblige, the USMC is mounting relatively small probes forcing the enemy to react. The current Marine strategy is ripping up the mobile defense. The company plus unit which attacked the platoon is probably no more. However, it will not be long before the enemy must retreat into a continuous perimeter, as his manpower dwindles to the point where a mobile defense is no longer viable. The remaining enemy forces are probably in the battalion plus range. And then the ghost of the Shuri line will rear up, in which there were no other option but to go directly into the teeth of the defense. The density of the defense displayed in the recent encounter may mean that time is near.

I haven’t read anything as insightul as this in the mainstream press. I have a feeling that this battle will be studied for years. Worth starting to get a grip on it now.

FALLUJAH AND NAJAV

As David Brooks noticed today, these two cities contain the entire future of the attempt to break the back of Islamist terror and Muslim autocracy. Right now, they’re the only stories that really matter.

KERRY AND CUBA: Another confusing, politically self-defeating mess.

QUOTE FOR THE DAY: “I’m more old-fashioned than a lot of women … I don’t view abortion as just a nothing. It is stopping the process of life.” – Teresa Heinz Kerry, in an astonishing puff-piece/Kerry campaign ad in alleged “newsmagazine,” Newsweek. You realize just how completely in Kerry’s tank the editors are when you read the small side-bar on Kerry’s former aggrieved wife, Julia Thorne. Annulment? What annulment?

MARRIAGE WATCH: A wedding dress goes on eBay. Put up there by the groom. His comments:

I found my ex-wife’s wedding dress in the attic when I moved. She took the $4000 engagement ring but left the dress. I was actually going to have a dress burning party when the divorce became final, but my sister talked me out of it. She said, “That’s such a gorgeous dress. Some lucky girl would be glad to have it. You should sell it on EBay. At least get something back for it.” So, this is what I’m doing. I’m selling it hoping to get enough money for maybe a couple of Mariners tickets and some beer. This dress cost me $1200 that my drunken sot of an ex-father-in-law swore up and down he would pay for but didn’t so I got stuck with the bill. Luckily I only got stuck with his daughter for 5 years. Thank the Lord we didn’t have kids. If they would have turned out like her or her family I would have slit my wrists. Anyway, it’s a really nice dress as you can see in the pictures. Personally, I think it looks like a $1200 shower curtain, but what do I know about this.

Actually, I think it looks fabulous. And that has nothing to do with the Vicodin I’m on.

POO-POO PLATTER: An online compendium of toilet humor. I’m trying really hard not to laugh these days (it hurts like hell). But you might feel like a break.