Separating The Mensa From the Boys

Noah Davis narrates his attempt to ace a Mensa test:

Before the first part, the proctor reads a story and informs us that we will have to answer questions about said story at some point before the end of the test. Scrap paper isn’t allowed, nor is written note-taking of any kind; we are supposed to remember.

I try to listen. I really do. There’s a sunrise, dancing in a circle, and a Greek chorus. I know that much. But pretty soon, I notice myself not paying attention. Then I notice myself noticing my mind wandering, thus entering a non-recall vortex. Mentally, I blame the Internet. (After the test, I inquired as to whether recall rates had dropped over the past decade, but a Mensa rep said they didn’t track that type of data.) A charitable person might give me credit for trying to take mental notes about the story while simultaneously attempting to make mental notes for this story, but that would be Bill Gates—a Mensa member, for sure!—Foundation-level charitable. I am just struggling to focus.

We begin Section 1 after being given—again—instructions not to write in our test books. We don’t. Instead, we answer questions about how shapes relate to each other. Five minutes later, we move to Section 2: 15 or so questions relating to the definitions of words. Or maybe the section involving the value of coins came first. Or perhaps the one featuring groups of tiny, thumbnail images was second. There is a math one, too, which I enjoy. But the first six sections all run together: answer questions for a brief period, put the pencil down, breathe, change gears, repeat. The format lacks the instant pressure of the Wonderlic, but it’s mentally exhausting nonetheless, an 800-meter race instead of a 40-yard dash. I answer every question in the allotted time, but I get the sinking feeling that I’m just not quite smart enough. Too frequently, the definite answers lie just out of reach.

Chart Of The Day

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Joe Romm looks ahead to the future implied by Andy Haveland-Robinson’s “death spiral” chart of Arctic Ocean ice coverage over time:

If recent volume trends continue, many experts say we will see a “near ice-free Arctic in summer” within a decade. Recent research finds that may well usher in a permanent change toward extreme, prolonged weather events “such as drought, flooding, cold spells and heat waves.”

Demeaning The Friendships Of Women, Ctd

A reader comments on the video we used for this post on Hollywood’s portrayal of female relationships:

As I think I’ve written to you before, the Bechdel Test is total and complete bullshit. I’m a Hollywood screenwriter, so let me drop a little knowledge on this one. The only way a film is going to pass the Bechdel Test is if the protagonist is female, or it’s an ensemble cast with a bunch of different storylines. Anything else is bad screenwriting. Here’s why: Movies do not suffer digressions well. To be good, they have to stay on their main storyline. This is one of the structural realities that separates them from novels.

That means, in a non-ensemble movie, If two characters are talking, and neither of them is the protagonist, then those two characters have to be talking about the protagonist. If you have a scene where two non-protagonist characters are talking about something unrelated to the protagonist (and thus, to the main storyline), any writer or executive worth her salt is going to cut that scene. It’ll drag the entire movie down and make people reach for their popcorn. Thus, if the protagonist is a man, then if he’s not on screen, any characters who are on screen are going to be talking about him. It’s just good writing.

Do I wish there were more movies with a strong female protagonist? Hell yeah, I do. I’m actually returning to writing one as soon as I finish this email. But the Bechdel Test is utter hooey. It’s using a metric that fails to understand the basic principles of the thing it’s purporting to measure.

A City’s Circulatory System

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Emily Badger explains the above image:

[C]reated by Andy Woodruff of the great cartography blog Bostonography, [it] illustrates a single day’s worth of bus travel across Boston, by speed. Each little line on this map represents one bus (tracked as the crow flies between data points, not along its actual route), with red showing speeds of less than 10 miles an hour, yellow of 10-25 miles per hour, and green faster than that. …

The concept was inspired by an earlier Eric Fisher map of transit in San Francisco. … The project is primarily impressive for its design – “it’s at least half art,” Woodruff says – but these daily maps also have the potential to reveal patterns in how the system changes from day to day, between week days and weekends, between business as usual and system break-downs. If you live in Boston, they may also simply confirm your suspicions about your own commute.

A live version of the map, which shows bus speeds over the past three hours, is here.

The Tax Reform Timeline

Stan Collender expects little movement on tax reform before 2017:

The deficit is expected to continue to fall both in nominal terms and as a percent of GDP between now and 2017. That will make it even harder for Republicans to justify a tax increase deal to their base. As the projected deficit starts to rise again after 2017, the pressure to do something about it will increase. This very conveniently will begin to happen after the 2016 presidential and congressional elections are over.

That’s when the real tax reform clock will start to run. If we give Congress some credit for the hearings, etc. that will have taken place, and if you assume that some serious internal discussions will have started within both political parties by then, the process is likely to take at least two-plus years from that point. That makes 2019 the earliest tax reform is likely to be enacted with implementation for some, but not all of the changes, starting in 2020.

The Best Of The Dish Today

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How fantastic an irony it would be if anti-Obama Republicans were integral to reversing a core Bush policy on NSA meta-data gathering? But that’s the remote but intriguing possibility as the issue crosses party lines to include Rand Paul and Ron Wyden.

Readers asked and answered a few questions about the NSA “revelations”: why do we trust Google more than government? Is the FISA court effective or not? I was assailed for being an Obama-groupie; and I defended myself. Meanwhile, the public remains largely in favor of PRISM.

We also aired a gasp-inducing paper-animation short; oh, and before a boxing match, whatever you do, don’t smile at your opponent beforehand.

The most popular post of the day was “This Is Bullshit.” The second was “Enter The Media Martyr.”

See you in the morning.

Don’t Fear Government Malice, Fear Its Incompetence

A reader writes:

A little real-life experience to put the whole NSA controversy in context:

Back in the 1970s when I was 12 years old, my parents took me down to the local Social Security Administration building to sign me up, figuring that soon I might need an SSN for ID purposes at some point. A nice lady typed up my card – on a typewriter, of course– and after about 15 minutes I walked out with an SSN of my very own, number ABC-XX-XXXX. The card stayed in a desk drawer until high school, when I got my first job for minimum-wage at the local library and entered the world of payroll taxes and FICA like any other adult.

A few months later, we received a letter from the IRS saying that I owed $8,000 in back taxes. My parents contacted the IRS, who thought I was a middle-aged U.S. male citizen living in Brazil, not a high school girl reshelving Young Adult Fiction. My father went down to the IRS with a copy of their letter, my SSN card, and my birth certificate.

What happened was that I was issued SSN number ADC-XX-XXXX and the nice lady typed ABC-XX-XXXX on my card by mistake.

ABC was the tax scofflaw in Brazil, and as soon as I was ushered into the tax system with my first job, I got dinged with his fine. They issued me a new card with my real SSN on it and off I went.

This is the thing: That mistake resulted in a file folder of official correspondence between my father, the IRS, and the SSA which now sits in my home office (and has been scanned and uploaded to my back-up in the cloud). I have been carrying this info around, from my parents’ home to first apartment and every move after that, for over thirty years. Because I do not trust that this mistake has been put to rest and that it won’t come back to haunt me at some point. And this is a benign error from hitting the wrong key on an IBM Selectric – not the NSA or the TSA getting me mixed up with whatever the American, 21st century version of the Baader-Meinhoff gang will be!

I’m not overly concerned that our government will abuse the info they’re collecting (for the moment at least). As a previous commenters said about people finding themselves on no-fly lists accidentally, I’m extremely concerned that our government will confuse the info of the innocent with that of the guilty. And the innocent will have no recourse.

Consider The Octopus

What’s it like to be an octopus? Peter Godfrey-Smith explores the question in pursuit of a philosophy of mind:

Action by an octopus … would mix elements that are usually distinct in animals like us. When we act, the border between self and environment is usually fairly clear. When we move an arm, the arm can be controlled both in its general path and in the details. You can then watch your arm move, but what you are watching are the consequences of choices, or perhaps of habits that are the remnants of earlier choices. Various other things in the environment are not under your direct control at all, though they can be moved indirectly by manipulating them with your limbs. Uncontrolled movement by an object around you is usually a sign that it is not part of you at all (with partial exceptions for knee-jerk reflexes and the like). If you were an octopus, these distinctions would be blurred. Your arms would move in a way that is a mix of the centrally and peripherally controlled. To some extent you would guide them, and to some extent you would just watch them go.

Godfrey-Smith on the worthiness of “what it’s like to be X” thought experiments:

Some philosophers working within a broadly materialist framework are opposed to asking questions about “what it’s like” to have a particular kind of mind. They regard this way of setting up the issues as misguided. I think these questions are good ones, as long as they are asked in a way that does not doom them to unanswerability from the start. The divide between first-person and third-person points of view is real regardless of what minds are made of. Knowing how an animal’s body and brain are put together does not put you into a state that is similar to what is going on inside that animal, so in that sense no description can tell you “what it’s like to be” that animal. Getting a sense of what it feels like to be another animal—bat, octopus, or next-door neighbor—must involve the use of memory and imagination to produce what we think might be faint analogues of that other animal’s experiences. This project can be guided by knowledge of how the animal is put together and how it lives its life. When the animal is as different from us as an octopus, the task is certainly difficult, but it is one worth undertaking.

See also Thomas Nagel’s 1974 essay “What Is It Like to Be a Bat?” here (and a recent takedown of Nagel here). Recent Dish on “what it’s like” thought experiments here.

(Video: Moving Octopus Vulgaris, Wikimedia Commons)

The Price We Pay For Progress?

Ryan Avent puts the NSA’s data collection in historical context:

One of the interesting points in Tyler Cowen’s ebook “The Great Stagnation” is that, historically, technological advance has both created demand for and enabled growth in the reach of the state.

Air travel, for instance, generated interest in and demand for government involvement in everything from direct production of aircraft to construction of airports to management of air traffic to control over passenger security. Those demands broadened the scope of government involvment in our lives—being groped and/or photographed naked is now a standard part of life for the American traveling public—while also directly expanding the government’s reach in other ways. The same technology that allows travelers to flit off for a weekend in the Bahamas gives America the ability to project power across the globe.

Growth in Leviathan’s tentacles therefore amounts to a not-half-bad measure of technological progress in society. It is no coincidence that the period from 1870 to 1950, a remarkable era of human technological achievement, also happened to include a dizzying and unprecedented growth in the state.