The Cost Of Universal Coverage

An interesting point from Krugman:

Take the CBO estimate of the cost of subsidies and Medicaid expansion in the Senate bill — that is, ignoring all possible cost savings. It’s $179 billion in 2018. Take the CMS projection of total health care spending in 2018: it’s more than $4.5 trillion. So the direct cost of expanding coverage — the initial bump in the blue curve above — is less than 4 percent of total health care spending. That’s the amount by which, on the current trajectory, health spending rises every 7 months.

And it's budgeted. Any Republican who voted for the unfunded Medicare Prescription Drug Entitlement has no logical standing to oppose this bill on fiscal grounds.

Quote For The Day

"With Gareth coming out publicly and our divorce being finalized in the New Year, I feel a chapter is closing and, although I feel sad and wish it could be different, it's for the best. This is who Gareth is and it is something which cannot be changed, but it has been so hard coming to terms with that…  He will always love me, but he cannot turn himself into a heterosexual. If he could, I would still be married to him. We will always be the best of friends and I couldn't feel prouder of him than I do now," – Jenna Thomas, former wife of Gareth Thomas, the Welsh rugby player who came out last week.

In 2005, Thomas captained Wales to their first Grand Slam victory since 1978 and was capped 100 times for his nation – more than any other Welshman in a country where rugby is a civil religion.

Conservatism And The 1990s

It's a revealing divide in a way: which conservatives loved the 1990s and which ones found them faintly bathetic? Here's Charles Krauthammer in a semi-nostalgic column:

Throughout the decade, and most especially as it began to wane, I returned to this theme of the wondrous oddity, the sheer impossibility of an age of such post-historical tranquility.

And inevitable ennui. So profound was that tranquility, so trivial the history of that time, that my colleague George Will and I would muse that if this kept up — an era whose dominant issue was a president's zipper problem — he might as well go back to the academy and I to psychiatry.

And that would be a bad thing because … ? There's always a paradox in professional conservatives lamenting happy times, because it both encourages less government and increases their irrelevance as public commentators. But there's a strain in some neoconservatism that can sometimes appear actually hostile to tranquillity because it is seen as a cause of what Krauthammer calls ennui, of boredom, of decadence. "Trivial history" is another term, in some ways, for peace and prosperity, in which our private lives take center stage and the tedium of politics, folly of war, and grinding millstone of poverty are kept at bay.

For my part, the 1990s were a wonderful and largely conservative achievement. I too had a political magazine to fill, but found the changing culture as fascinating as the somewhat restrained politics. This was the era, after all, of OJ Simpson and Afro-centrism, of the explosion of the gay rights movement and the evolution of feminism, of the assault on p.c. and the innovation of the Internet, of the pharmaceutical revolution and Russian …. democracy! Clinton, while a dreadful human being, was a perfectly fine, moderately conservative president. The sex and the lying were just humanly fascinating – as was the socially conservative over-reaction.

A society able to devote itself to the core question of perjury in a civil suit and to enjoy Seinfeld and the Simpsons: isn't that kind of era what conservatives really want?

Not all of them, I found out. For those conservatives deeply troubled by modernity and its pleasures, for those who see war and conflict as key motivators for civic virtue, a society pretty happy with itself, and a government actually running a surplus with no wars, is a problem. It saps "national greatness". Bush openly called for a great theme for a great moment. The tragedy of history was that he was granted his wish.

There are conservatives who are always girded for war or suspect all peace as some kind of hidden war; and those who are happy at peace, grateful for its blessings and hopeful that it will last. There are those who always see Hobbes and those who see Hobbes but are grateful for Locke. There are those who see human conduct at its height as being engaged in virtuous battle for a righteous republic. And there are those who like snow-boarding. These two groups of conservatives have very different pedigrees and philosophical mentors. In the 1990s, the distinction between the two was masked.

It is masked no more.

God, Free Will, Theodicy

Jerry Coyne returns to the theodicy debate. He quotes this Francis Collins paragraph:

The tragedy of the young child killed by a drunk driver, of the innocent man dying on the battlefield, or of the young girl cut down by a stray bullet in a crime-ridden section of a modern city can hardly be blamed on God. After all, we have somehow been given free will, the ability to do as well please. We use this ability frequently to disobey the Moral Law [note: Collins believes that the "Moral Law," the group of moral views that we all share, was instilled in us by God.]  And when we do so, we shouldn’t then blame God for the consequences.

And responds:

What Collins is implying is that the Holocaust was necessary so that Nazis could use their free will.  Can there be anything more monstrous than this — or any explanation more ludicrous? This would be simply silly if it weren’t so pathetic.  Millions of innocent people died so that a small group of anti-Semites could work out their hatred on helpless victims?  What kind of God has a plan like that? And couldn’t God have staved off the Holocaust without interfering with people’s “free will”? Couldn’t He just have prevented the conjunction of the particular sperm and egg that yielded the zygotic Hitler? Or must sperm have free will, too?

Why Montazeri Matters

MONTAZERIAP:Getty

Robert Worth explains:

Ayatollah Montazeri was widely regarded as the most knowledgeable religious scholar in Iran, and that gave his criticisms special potency, analysts say. His religious credentials also prevented the authorities from silencing or jailing him. Last month, he stunned many in Iran and abroad by apologizing for his role in the 1979 takeover of the American Embassy in Tehran, which he called a mistake. Iran’s leaders celebrate the takeover every year as a foundational event of the Islamic revolution.

Ayatollah Montazeri, who long advocated greater civil liberties and women’s rights in Iran, was angered by the bloody crackdown that followed the June election and issued a series of remarkable broadsides against the authorities. “A political system based on force, oppression, changing people’s votes, killing, closure, arresting and using Stalinist and medieval torture, creating repression, censorship of newspapers, interruption of the means of mass communications, jailing the enlightened and the elite of society for false reasons, and forcing them to make false confessions in jail, is condemned and illegitimate,” he wrote.

(Photo: Iranian mourners attend the funeral of Iranian cleric Grand Ayatollah Hossein Ali Montazeri in the holy city of Qom on December 21, 2009. AFP/Getty.)

Correction Of The Day

"The editorial ‘Sonograms, child porn’ ” which ran in (a recent) opinions section was completely inaccurate and based on false sources. No bill has been passed in North Dakota that states a picture of a fertilized egg is now considered child pornography … We wrote an editorial based on what we later learned was a satirical piece. … We at the Targum deeply regret the error…please accept our deepest apologies for not checking our sources," – The Daily Targum, Rutgers. From Regret The Error's annual list.

The Weekend Wrap

This weekend on the Dish we tracked fallout over the Senate Democrats' deal on healthcare reform. Major reax here. More reactions from Greg Sargent, David Kurtz, Austin Frakt, Timothy Noah, and Dish readers. We were also on top of news of Montazeri's sudden death and the outpouring of sentiment.

Friedersdorf reexamined the "politics of ressentiment" at length and Patrick responded again to under-blogger imbroglio.  Sprung took a long look at the cult of personality surrounding politicians. scrutinized Obama's rhetoric on Copenhagen, highlighted a Bloggingheads on Af-Pak, dug up a damning quote from Bush, presented a Christmas poem, and commented on the healthcare bill here, here, and here. His farewell here. Sully returned from his blog break to critique Palin's Copenhagen twittering and meditate over the meaning of the Dish.

In other contemplations, Jonah Lehrer turned his focus on free will, readers ran with determinism, Will Wilkinson took on moral realism, Carl Zimmer touched on consciousness, and Jonathan Safran Foer discussed the morality and mortality of eating animals.

We listened to more depressing Christmas songs from Aimee Mann, Nina Simone, Jonathan Coulton, Laura Nyro, Kyle Broflovski, John Prine, Prince, and John Eddie. More touching words on "The View From Your Window" here

— C.B.