The Maine Event, Ctd

PPP warns that its new poll will show gains for the anti-marriage equality forces in Maine. It's automated, which may explain why it's different than two recent polls. People can tell recordings their real feelings. It's hard to know what to make of the polls, except that this is a close race and that the anti-gay forces have relentlessly focused on schools and kids. Any device they can find to provoke fear of gay people around children is electoral gold. You can blame California. Or you can get an email like this one in the Dish in-tray tonight:

The fact that you "see no reason why kids should not learn at some point that homosexuality is a part of the world and history, whatever people's views are on the question" is an unsurprising and totally irrelevant fact to me. You see, I am charged with raising my children and I can assure you that I am wholly unconcerned with your views on the matter. Should I be?

Stay away from my kids.

They use this tactic because it works. Stay classy, Maggie.

The Daily Wrap

Today on the Dish our coverage was especially scattered. Greenwald and Reason reacted to news of the administration's move towards decriminalizing medical marijuana, just as public support hit an all-time high. Greenwald also tackled the latest in the Binyam Mohamed case. (David Rohde, by contrast, was treated well by his Taliban captors.) We also found a translation of Mousavi's first recorded interview since the election and linked to some footage of Palin's heretic hunter in action.  Brauchli lied.

In blog commentary, Reihan amended his Rove praise defense, McWhorter slammed the black Family Guy, Frum sized up the right punditry, and Stephen Dubner defended himself. The Dish got more DADT insight from servicemembers here and here. Another reader passed along footage of a 32-year-old Andrew talking to Brian Lamb.

In home news, the inimitable James Bennet was just named Editor of the Year by Ad Age. Andrew shared his thoughts here. Fallows here. Subscribe here.

— C.B.

The Feds And The Weed, Ctd

Here is the memo. Greenwald's take:

Criminalizing cancer and AIDS patients for using a substance that is (a) prescribed by their doctors and (b) legal under the laws of their state has always been abominable.  The Obama administration deserves major credit not only for ceasing this practice, but for memorializing it formally in writing.  Just as is true for Jim Webb's brave crusade to radically revise the nation's criminal justice and drug laws, there is little political gain — and some political risk — in adopting a policy that can be depicted as "soft on drugs" or even "pro-marijuana."  It's a change that has concrete benefits for many people who are sick and for those who provide them with treatments that benefit them.  So credit where it's due to the Obama DOJ, for fulfilling a long-standing commitment on this issue.

Video above from 2008 via Nick Gillespie who describes the memo as "the most compassionate and sensible policy to come out of Washington in a very long time." Jacob Sullum isn't so sure. Earlier Dish coverage here.

Twisting The Afghan Rubik’s Cube

Renard Sexton runs the numbers on electoral fraud:

Using our conservative affected-vote estimates, the situation remains fairly damning for Hamid Karzai. Assuming that the results are equal to or less favorable than our estimates, it seems likely that a runoff will ensue. With just four percent of cushion, it would take a miracle for him to walk away with a majority after this, where 20 percent of the vote is fraudulent, much from his tally. Dr. Abdullah Abdullah is in the strongest position he has been in thus far, and could conceivably win a run-off held in strict conditions.

Of course, strict conditions we do not have in Afghanistan, where winter is rapidly approaching. If another round of voting is ordered, it could be difficult or impossible to complete before the freeze brings movement around the country, outside of major cities, to a halt. Perhaps a coalition government or tribally negotiated solution is in store?

Further thoughts on the situation by J Alexander Thierat of Foreign Policy.

The Return Of Coughlinism, Ctd

A reader writes:

Several months ago I read Paranoid Style in conjunction with All the King's Men. I now worry about Peronism in this country…the offspring of Palin and Dobbs.

Another:

This part of the quoted passage from The Paranoid Style gave me my own memory flash:

The two-party system as it has developed … hangs on the common recognition of loyal opposition: each side accepts the ultimate good intentions of the other. The opponent's judgment may be held to be consistently execrable, but the legitimacy of his intent is not … his Americanism is not questioned.

It was this: Bush Sr. protesting that he wasn't questioning Dukakis' patriotism, just his judgment.

He had to protest thus because he had built his campaign on questioning Dukakis' patriotism. As Bush Sr. now waxes solemn about incivility, we should remember that he kicked off the modern era or what we now call Rovian tactics — and that, when asked about the swiftboat attacks on Kerry, he stuck the shiv in a bit deper, saying, to paraphrase, there must be something to these allegations or these people wouldn't be making them.

Fox Goes Viral

Jacob Weisberg unpacks the Fox effect:

That Rupert Murdoch may skew the news rightward more for commercial than ideological reasons is somewhat beside the point. What matters is the way that Fox's successful model has invaded the bloodstream of the American media. By showing that ideologically distorted news can drive ratings, Ailes has provoked his rivals at CNN and MSNBC to experiment with a variety of populist and ideological takes on the news. It's Fox that led CNN's Lou Dobbs to remodel himself into a nativist cartoon. It's Fox that led MSNBC to amp up Keith Olbermann. Fox hasn't just corrupted its own coverage. Through its influence, it has made all of cable news unpleasant and unreliable.

Chart Of The Day

Majijuana

American support for marijuana legalization hits a new high:

Public mores on legalization of marijuana have been changing this decade, and are now at their most tolerant in at least 40 years. If public support were to continue growing at a rate of 1% to 2% per year, as it has since 2000, the majority of Americans could favor legalization of the drug in as little as four years.

Taking The Shine Off

Ryan Avent lays out why geo-engineering looks attractive:

Geoengineering seems like the easy approach [to climate change] now, because it’s not on the table. There is no hysterical battle between proponents and opponents, no op-ed bickering between scientists and faux scientists, no global debate on who would and should bear which costs associated with whatever solution is agreed upon. But as soon as it became a real possibility, a fierce debate would rage.

And, if one major geoengineering solution were tried and it failed, it is difficult to see how another attempt could win support, and at that point, of course, we’d have lost the ability to address climate change by reducing emissions when it would have helped.

I think it would be irresponsible not to continue studying the issue and looking for potential geoeingineering fixes, but I think that anyone suggesting that we should abandon the effort to cut emissions in favor of a geoengineering approach has not thought the matter through. It should be considered the last ditch effort, only pursued seriously when it is clear that emission cuts will not prevent catastrophic warming.

Tyler Cowen is also wary.