The Zbornak Effect?

It’s one of many theories about the polls. They did, however, predict the Obama result. What they missed was the older women vote that came out for Clinton. It’s not unlike 2004, when the pollsters got Kerry’s support right, but there was a hidden extra vote for Bush. There was a hidden extra vote for Clinton – fomr sympathetic women, in part.

McCain Won On The War

First Read:

He was the leader on voter judgments about his ability to handle international situations. Almost half of the GOP voters cited either the war in Iraq or terrorism as the most important issue facing the country. McCain led by a large margin among both of these groups of voters.

Of the Republican voters who said the war in Iraq was the top issue, McCain beat Romney 2-to-1. About two in 10 Republicans mentioned terrorism as their top concern. Again, McCain took those voters with 43 percent compared to Romney’s 24 percent.

Michigan will help:

Michigan will represent a last stand for Romney, who grew up in the state and whose father served there as governor. But his prospects are hardly sunny there, given that McCain won Michigan in 2000.

With no Democratic race to speak of in Michigan, the open GOP primary will likely attract droves of independent voters who historically have been drawn to McCain.

If it’s McCain versus Clinton this fall, he’ll be very hard to beat.

The Republicans Are Relieved

They still get a chance to run against Clinton in the fall:

What it actually does is breathe new life into the GOP. The Obama juggernaut was going to be tough to take on. The ‘change’ fever sweeping the nation is not going to want to see Bush-Clinton-Bush-Clinton… I, as an impure conservative, prefer the GOP to battle Clinton. Or at least I would like to see Obama take some hits before he wins the nomination. So a win for Hillary is a win for the GOP.

Hannity looked pumped too. A RedStater salivates:

We might just get our chance at Hillary if Obama can’t do it.