Busting Rudy

The press is getting its act together. But why were we so negligent with Bush’s factual errors? Brendan Nyhan suggests:

(a) Rudy’s bluster invites more critical coverage — he _seems_ like more of a dissembler than the supposedly straight-talking Bush;
(b) Bush’s statistics were carefully parsed to be half-true, making them harder to debunk within the framework of supposedly "objective" journalism (this is the argument we make in ATPS), while Rudy’s are often just wrong;
(c) Reporters are becoming more skeptical about the use of statistics of the Bush administration;
(d) The political environment is pushing reporters toward more critical coverage of Republicans;
(e) All of the above.

Yglesias Award Nominee

"I know the conservatives who can’t stand Hillary have their reasons and their minds will never be changed. But does this woman have to be demonized so much? Listen; let’s not get caught up in all this biblical talk coming from all the candidates. A relationship with God is a personal one and it should be left there. From a public policy perspective she clearly sees an intersection of the way she views her faith as it relates to fighting AIDS and many other causes. The pro-life community sees faith and the abortion issue intersecting on the other side. It’s a different perspective. But when those Evangelicals rose to their feet at Rick Warren’s Church, it wasn’t just a sign of respect for a woman who has made it this far. It was an appreciation for her commitment to fighting AIDS. Is there anything wrong with that?" – David Brody, Christian Broadcasting Network.

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Romney vs Huckabee II

Some interesting new ARG data in Iowa:

56% of those saying they support Romney say their support is definite. 89% of those saying they support Huckabee say their support is definite.

Then this:

Among men, Huckabee is at 34%, Romney 15%, and Thompson 17%.
Among women, Huckabee is at 19%, Romney 43%, and Thompson 11%.

In South Carolina, Huckabee has gone from 5 percent to 18 percent in a month. Romney has gone from  29 to 21 percent in the same period. New Hampshire is critical to Romney now. But one gets the feeling that he is sitting atop a souffle. If he loses Iowa, it could drop suddenly. And the South will never vote for a Mormon. That’s awful; but it’s true.