Glen Bolger weighs Obama's strengths and weaknesses:
Given the demographics and the map, it is very unlikely for Obama to lose big. However, given the economy and the political environment, it is increasingly unlikely for Obama to win big. The 2012 election is shaping up to be a very close contest — one in which demographics and the political environment collide.
Alan I. Abramowitz, on the other hand, thinks Obama is likely to be reelected.
The Dish 