Is OWS A Conservative Movement?

Frank Pasquale itemizes the many reasons he thinks it is:

Must a conservative suspect all government, or merely the ossified and corrupt Washington of today? Perhaps the former view is a hallmark of actually existing conservatism. But to consign government programs like Medicare, Social Security, and the EPA to the scrapheap of history would itself be more the province of radicalism than conservatism. Thus one final sense of the conservatism of OWS is the protesters' insistence on the endurance of a social contract that emerged in the New Deal. If conservatism is to be more than a categorical rejection of collective action, it has to articulate something worth conserving. OWS, at its best, does that.

Indeed it does. Of course the left is, currently, in part a conservative force. They are resisting radical change: the privatization of social security, de-regulation of the financial sector, globalization of finance and labor, the explosion of lobbying and crony capitalism since the last real tax reform in 1986. They are hippies for the era of Eisenhower! Which is a little mind-blowing when put so starkly.

The Real Threat To Marriage

Reality TV stars:

While Kim and Kris may now be without love, they won't be without money. The two-part, four-hour television event and subsequent sale of wedding photos earned them an estimated $18 million — or $250,000 per day from the wedding to the divorce filing.

To put the 72-day marriage in perspective, Buzzfeed made a list of things that lasted longer than Kim Kardashian's marriage to Kris Humphries.

The View From Your Window Contest: Winner #74

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A reader writes:

Awesome! It's clearly from the East Bay looking across the bay! Mt. Tamalpais, housing style, and of course the fog all support that. Cranes and tall office buildings: it's on the outskirts of Oakland, looking over the harbor.  This is an easy one, so I'll have to hurry to beat the hordes of correct answers that will be pouring in over the next hour or so.

Another isn't as confident:

OK, I'm convinced this is Portland.  But I can't pin it down because… where are the pine trees??  But if it is, I'm going to say NW Portland. But then, I kept thinking … let's try someplace in the news with few evergreens: Nashville?  Does Nashville even have a mountain nearby? How about Denver?  No, the mountain is too small.  I'm lost, but I'm taking a stab. Oakland? Nah, too few buildings and no palm trees.  OK, Portland, yes … Portland.  Final answer.

Another:

It was either the Pacific Northwest or Scandinavia this week, and I didn't think the buildings looked old enough for any of the classic Viking towns. Having lived in Seattle for a brief time a while back, I immediately thought of Puget sound. I went ahead and scanned around for red-roofed houses in the vicinity. This is the part where someone is always better than me, having missed out by a few houses in the past (or a few towns over, in the case of Libya). So I'm going to go with 344 N 4th Street in Tacoma, Washington. And now I'm suddenly thirsty for an Oly stubby

A sharp detour:

I lived for three years in Almaty, Kazakhstan and this looks a lot like the view from the Kok-Tobe area of the city.  With the oil boom, there has been a ton of construction since I left in 2004, so it is hard to recognize for sure. However, the sloping terrain with mountains, old-Soviet style buildings and new construction lead me to think the photo is taken from one of the bedroom communities that have sprouted up on the slopes of the Ala-Tau mountains south of Almaty.

For what it is worth, Almaty was a delightful place to live.  It is a very livable city with quick access to outdoor activities.  We used to have a Niva, a Russian jeep, that we would take up to the mountains for skiing in the winter and hikes in the summer.  The people are wonderful as well – a very nice mix of Kazakh and Russian populations.  The government is corrupt as hell and autocratic to boot, but you can't get everything!

Another:

I have no idea how people find the energy for long searches for their answers, though they may get closer than me since I's stabbing in the dark.  But, it seems like Astoria, Oregon to me … near the home where Mikey and the other Goonies are trying to save when they find Chester Copperpot's treasure map.

Here's a teaser of the house where the photo was taken, which many readers sent similar images of:

Newmanwindow

Exact address to follow. Another guess:

My guess is Hobart, Tasmania, Australia. The houses look NZ or Tasmania-ish, and the cars appear to be driving on the left. The mountains in the background look like Mt Wellington. And it's raining, which is pretty typical for Tassie.

Another:

Piece of cake! Wellington, New Zealand. Photo taken from the suburb of Thorndon.  That's Mt Victoria in the distance. The Law School, with its distinctive architecture, is the building with the red roof beyond the park.  To the left of the cranes in the distance is one of the lights from the "Cake Tin", as the local rugby stadium is known.

I would guess that this was taken near Grant Road and Wadestown Road, just below the town belt.  I could spend more time improving on this, but I'll content myself with looking forward to Tuesday, when I can read all the interesting anecdotes about the city that I was lucky enough to call home for three years.  I left two and a half years ago to go on my "OE", or Overseas Experience, as we Kiwi twentysomethings call our working holidays abroad, but while I am loving my adopted home of Berlin, Wellington, despite the short period of time I lived there, is the place I call home. Oh to be sitting in a cafe on Cuba St right now enjoying a long black!!

Dozens of readers correctly answered the New Zealand capital. One labels the sites in sight:

VFYW1

Another:

This is obviously Wellington, given the terrible weather. Wellington is an absolute nightmare of a place, with appalling wind and rain and a dreadfully grim microclimate, perhaps because it is the nations capital and someone didn’t want our politicians staying there too long.

Unfortunately the deluded in Wellington believe in the unbelievably trite "You cant Bustedtees.2b1fc809c6ff7b2f73e3dff68822e232beat Wellington on a good day" – which happens about twice a year, and can easily be beaten by numerous other places in New Zealand. Wellington’s marketing slogan is Absolutely Positively Wellington, and they spend an awful lot of money on it trying to convince themselves Wellington is not terrible. Wellington conforms nicely to the theory that a place has to spend money promoting itself in amounts inversely proportional to its quality.

Apart from the grim, grey weather, the photo easily identifies Wellington by the stadium on the left, Westpac Stadium, known as the Cake Tin, or Wellington Regional Stadium by the clowns at the International Rugby Board during the recent world cup where all stadia had to be handed over to them clean so they could make a killing on reselling commercial rights to other companies. By the looks of things the photo is take from Newman Tce, Thordon, Wellington. The view is across thordon to the CBD, and you can see the Beehive, a hideous monstrosity of a building that serves as part of parliamentary complex.

Another:

Wellington houses are all built from weatherboard because right at the foot of this street is the Wellington Fault, which one day will move giving Wellingtonians the earthquake they have been expecting for a while, and wooden-framed and clad houses have a lot better chance than brick or similar. When Wellington does get shaken up, people are expecting all the flat land down below to tilt back under the water  taking with it the NZ Parliament and most government departments.  Some New Zealanders would not be too upset if that happened.

Another:

So this is either really embarrassing and I am so homesick that I am superimposing my home country on your view of the day, or it's hilly Wellington. I am writing from rural West Africa (yay Nigeria!) where internet bandwidth is very 2002. Fun Wellington fact: This city is earthquake central. The Terrace, which is banking HQ of our tiny country, is ON the fault line. And fun Auckland fact: that damn island in the harbour is a LIVE volcano. New Zealand is lovely – come buy a house and run away from the recession … but insurance might be recommended.

Another:

Damn this is a picture that everyone from Wellington will get in a moment and it shows beautiful New Zealand at its ugliest and shabbiest. The main clue that this is Wellington is the dismal weather. In the background you can see the southern end of the Wellington regional stadium where many games were played during the recent Rugby World Cup, won by New Zealand's awesome All Blacks:

Behind the stadium are the Hurry Cranes, named after the local rugby team, the Hurricanes, who are based at the stadium, and whose players are the best All Blacks.

Another:

I was in Wellington in December 2007, and stayed in the downtown area near the National Library of New Zealand and Parliament, in Pipitea.  I believe this view is from just north of there, looking southeast across Wellington and the harbor to Shelly Bay. I could sure go for a flat white and a lamington's right now.

Another:

There's something very special about a hilly city on a bay.  Places like Capetown, Valparaiso, and San Francisco all have their magic.  From what I can tell, Wellington has a similar atmosphere and I've always wanted to visit.  It's supposed to be a vibrant place for its size.

On to the exact address:

The trees look like a temperate climate but the leaves show no signs of yellow so it must be spring rather than fall. The combination of the English style houses and the dramatic Screen shot 2011-11-01 at 8.59.50 AMhill across the waterway made me start with New Zealand. I tried Auckland first but it looked too flat. Wellington had the hill across the bay but I couldn't find the right view at first. I could see the shipping area and light stanchions from the stadium but I couldn't get the view to line up with the high-rises pictured. I was looking from too far south at the larger neighborhoods uphill from downtown. Then I finally found Newman Terrance and new I had the right location. Then the power went out. It was Saturday evening, now its Tuesday and we just got it back on, just in time!  I'm scrambling a little but I'm sure it was taken from #36 Newman Terrace, the white house with the blue roof at the top of the hill. The house with the red roof is #34.  Here's the google earth view from that location that matches the VFYW.  Whew.

Another:

Googling 36 Newman Street, Thorndon, Wellington brings me to this real estators page, with the bottom image showing the living room and the orange-tiled house in front, so this week's image has been taken from: The right-hand living room window from the last house on the right (number 36) at the top of Newman Terrace which may also have zig-zag (stepped footpath) access to Wadestown Road above. If I'm lucky enough to be close to a tie-break, I hope that my birthday falling on the Tuesday 1st of November (the closing date of the competition) is enough to sway someone's heart!

Happy birthday!  But the address was just a hair off. From the submitter:

Thanks for using my photo for this week's competition! I thought it might be useful to flesh out the details of the photo, so you can select a winner.  The picture is taken from Piri Weepu_Bvlthe 1st floor (2nd if you are American) of 34 Newman Terrace, Thorndon, Wellington – my in-laws' house.  It is looking out across the city and the harbour towards Mount Victoria, which is shrouded in mist in the background.  Not untypically for Wellington – one of the four windiest capital cities in the world – the weather is not great.

My wife – whose home town it is – and I lived there in the 1990s.  (Originally I am a Brit of Andrew's vintage from Abingdon, now based in DC.)  We were visiting there last week for the rugby world cup, and I took the shot on the morning of the 23rd, before flying to Auckland to see the All Blacks narrowly edge out France in the final.  Here – completely gratuitously – is a shot of Piri Weepu, New Zealand's scrum half; that is some impressive beardage.

Of the dozen or so readers who correctly answered "34 Newman Terrace", two have gotten difficult windows in the past without winning, so two readers get the prize this week. One writes:

Although I've never been south of the equator, this scene looked antipodean to me, and as there seemed to be dockside cranes in the background, I checked out the harbour areas of Sydney, Melbourne, and Auckland, none of which turned out to have hills like the one seen in the background of the competition image. When I looked at Wellington, I spotted the stadium as well as the hill with the correct profile. The satellite dish pointing towards the photographer near the centre of the image indicated that if it was in the southern hemisphere, the view was looking south. Taking this clue, by lining up the stadium and dock cranes, I narrowed it down to a rough area and then looked for an orange roof of the correct shape with a blue-roofed house nearby, which I found after a short search on Google Maps.

The identification of the specific window was more challenging. It's clearly high a elevation, but Newman Terrace appears to be on a very steep slope. With Google Maps, Bing Maps, and Google Streetview, I believe that I've identified the window, as labelled in one of the attached images. I ruled out the ground/street level windows, and believe that it's taken from the upper floor. Sightlines of features that were aligned in the competition image were found to converge on quite a small spot. Although it's tempting to go for the prominent bay window visible in Google Streetview, it appears that the photo was either taken from the extreme right hand edge of that window as seen in Streetview, or from the window directly under the roof's ridge line. Because of the alignment of the roof tiles on the adjacent house, I've decided to opt for the smaller window, labelled.

In the distance on the left can be seen the Westpac Stadium, at which key games of the recent Rugby World Cup took place, including Wales's quarterfinal win over Ireland on October 8th.

A schematic from the other winner:

34_NEWMAN_ANNOTATED

(Archive)

Cain On Israel

His positions are what you would expect from someone whose political identity has been formed in the fever swamps of Fox and talk radio. I.e.: the Palestinians do not exist as a people; the US should support any Israeli government in any circumstance because the two divinely exceptionalist countries are indistinguishable; the West Bank settlements, far from being frozen or dismantled, should be aggressively expanded on Biblical principles. The combination of neocon fanaticism with evangelical literalism means that Israel does not just have a special relationship – it is the United States, as far as the GOP is now concerned.

And what on earth is an American candidate doing giving an interview to a foreign newspaper, deriding his own president as "weak" and backing the foreign government over his own? (A foreign newspaper owned, I might add, by an American). This has now become so routine for the Likudnik GOP we don't notice how offensive this, how, if a Democratic candidate addressed a foreign country in order to foil his own president's foreign policy, we'd never hear the end of it.

But then, increasingly, Israel-Palestine is no longer a foreign policy question for the GOP. It's a domestic question, related primarily to how to channel religious devotion, and to demonstrate one's own theological cred. Like running for office in Tunisia.

“A Floundering Naif”

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There's one other facet of George Will's eruption of dyspepsia at Mitt Romney on Sunday that's worth noting. Conor is right that it was a nihilist column, with no real endorsement of anyone else. But what I also notice was the initial credentializing Obama attack:

Obama, a floundering naif who thinks ATMs aggravate unemployment, is bewildered by a national tragedy of shattered dreams, decaying workforce skills and forgone wealth creation.

Let's first note what this "floundering naif" has handled since arriving in the Oval Office: the worst recession since the 1930s, a mass revolt in the Arab world, a nuclear threat from Iran, two wars we had lost or were losing, a debt that, even if he had done nothing, would have been record-breaking, a global and domestic economy in the midst of tectonic changes. Let's assume the worst: that the stimulus only stopped the bleeding; that our influence in the Arab world had been decimated and he has not been able to turn it around, that healthcare and financial reform were too compromised by Congressional cooptation of them, that he has dropped the ball on tax reform.

I think you can make all sorts of legitimate criticisms, but none of them make Obama a "floundering naif". Compared with Bush on 9/11? Compared with Clinton's first chaotic two years? A man with Clinton, Gates, Panetta and Petraeus on his team? And note Will's only evidence for this is that Obama "thinks ATMs aggravate unemployment". But when you look up the source of that, you find Obama was only using an example of how technology and automation is indeed wiping out whole sectors of employment with dizzying speed. Does Will think that automatic banking at ATMs or online has created employment? Does he have a proposal for tackling mass unemployment at a time of technological acceleration that is wiping out job after job?

I'm still waiting for a truly interesting or cogent critique of what Obama has done wrong from the right. A critique that intelligently cites the historical context in which this poor fucker is working. Here is the "floundering naif"'s Inaugural address:

Our nation is at war, against a far-reaching network of violence and hatred. Our economy is badly weakened, a consequence of greed and irresponsibility on the part of some, but also our collective failure to make hard choices and prepare the nation for a new age. Homes have been lost; jobs shed; businesses shuttered. Our health care is too costly; our schools fail too many; and each day brings further evidence that the ways we use energy strengthen our adversaries and threaten our planet.

These are the indicators of crisis, subject to data and statistics. Less measurable but no less profound is a sapping of confidence across our land — a nagging fear that America's decline is inevitable, and that the next generation must lower its sights.

Today I say to you that the challenges we face are real. They are serious and they are many. They will not be met easily or in a short span of time…

With hope and virtue, let us brave once more the icy currents, and endure what storms may come.

Naif? Really? He never saw this coming?

The Mark Of Cain? Ctd

A reader quotes me:

He really had no idea that his own organization had arranged compensation in the five figures to two women claiming harassment? So who did authorize this? And how did it get by Cain himself? Was he that off-hand a manager?

Do you realize the conflict of interest involved in directing a company to make settlement on case in which you are personally a plaintiff?  Wouldn't happen in the real world. And I don't know the specifics of this case, so I can't tell if his lack of knowledge in terms of the amount is credible or not, but such a scenario is not unheard of.

I now understand that. A lawyer backs that up:

Under Title VII, the federal law that governs sexual harassment claims, any individual alleging harassment can only sue her or his employer – not the individual that allegedly committed the action. The individual harasser has no role in process except as a "witness."

A claims coordinator lends her expertise:

Most employers buy insurance for harassment claims. Once the insurance company gets the claim they will interview the parties involved and start an investigation. At that point the employee that has been charged with harassment will likely be out of loop. The insurance company and their lawyers will deal directly with the claimants and their attorney. Any settlement would be up to the insurance company. As a reader pointed out, a lot of claims are settled with little or no evidence of wrong doing. This is due to the fact that it costs a lot of money to go to trial, so insurance companies settle whether than go to court.

So, Cain should know if allegations were made against him. But he may not know what if any outcomes of those allegations as the insurance company makes all settlement decisions as per policy language.

Another lawyer:

It is certainly true, as the management-side lawyer asserts, that the simple fact of payment to settle the charges against Mr. Cain do not establish that he did whatever he was accused of doing – or, if he did do it, that his conduct amounted to sexual harassment as defined by law (and I say all that as a lawyer, a liberal, and a strong feminist).  It's also normal for there to be a confidentiality provision as part of such the settlement. 

But a key point was missed in the discussion: the Politico piece reported that the National Restaurant Association "gave [the women] payouts to leave the association."  If the story is accurate, this strikes me as an acknowledgement that something more was going on here than "baseless" claims that the association decided, for business reasons, should be settled for a smallish sum in order to avoid the costs of litigation.  That is, instead of changing the women's job duties such that they didn't have to come into contact with Cain - a prudent and common response by employers in these situations, even where the claims are baseless - or settling the claims for cash and allowing the women to continue in their positions, the parties decided that the best option was for the women *to give up their jobs*. 

Absent some information that the women were troublemakers before bringing these charges such that the association would want to push them out before causing even more headaches, it seems to me that the benefit of the doubt should be given to the women's claims at this point.  If the Politico story is wrong and the women left of their own volition, the implication is no better (and probably worse), as it means that two women independently determined that what they experienced was serious enough that they needed to leave their chosen jobs, because it was clear the boss wasn't going anywhere.

Of course, the drip-drip-drip nature of Cain's changing positions only adds more support to the Politico story.  In less than 24 hours, Cain moved from a flat denial that any sexual harassment charges were lodged against him, to having a "vague" recollection of some charges against him, to a specific memory of a specific gesture he made towards one of the women that he claims was determined to be baseless - implying that the woman's remaining claims had some plausible basis in fact. (And it seems to me that if Cain is now talking about some of the charges against him, he has opened the door to the women coming forward to discuss the charges.)

I don't know what happened, but one thing is certain: while Cain will not get the nomination for many good reasons independent of this story, he and his followers now have the perfect excuse for his inevitable failure in the primaries. It won't be because the lack of any campaign organization shows that he had no plans of running a serious presidential campaign, or that his tax plan made no sense financially or politically, or because he used campaign funds to buy his own books and put the profits in his own pockets, or that his abortion position is both inconsistent and incoherent (not to mention cruel), or, as we are just learning, that funds may have been illegally spent for his benefit before his campaign began. 

No, it will be because he is the victim of a liberal media (Politico??) on a "witch hunt" to dredge up that old liberal saw of sexual harassment charges, which, as we know, are always unfounded. Sigh.

Where On Earth Is Cain’s Wife?

You'd think she'd be needed at a moment like this. But Gloria Cain, thus far absent from her husband's campaign, will soon meet the press "in an exclusive interview that we are currently planning and anticipating." Alex Pappas tried to profile her last spring:

It’s hard to find much of anything about Gloria Cain on the Internet. Her only mention on Herman Cain’s campaign website is in his biography, where he says, "the paramount joys in my life are my wife, Gloria, our children and our grandchildren." "She’s very private and classy,” said Martha Zoller, a Georgia-based talk radio host who often talks about Cain, but admitted she’s only met his wife once.

Cain said his wife is a native of Atlanta who graduated from Morris Brown College in 1968. He graduated from Morehouse College in 1967. "One month after she graduated from college, I swept her off her feet — we knew each other — and we got married a month later," he said. They have a 39-year-old daughter and 33-year-old son. They also have three grandchildren. Though she has worked as a teacher and a librarian, Cain says his wife — who sings in the choir at Antioch Baptist Church North in Atlanta — has been a homemaker for most of their marriage.

GOP consultant Anthony Del Pellegrino underscores the need for Gloria's presence right now:

[P]olitics is much like a courtroom. A prosecutor may reveal a point that can plant a seed of doubt in the mind of those in the jury but the Judge may ask the juror to disregard those remarks. Does anyone believe that those remarks are erased from the jurors minds? If you do, you are not very realistic. The same thing applies in politics.