Who Will Take Snowden In? Ctd

As the NSA leaker continues to linger in the Moscow airport and seeks asylum in Ecuador, Max Fisher profiles a dissident that the South American country once sheltered, a Belarussian whistleblower:

Belarus is the last remaining dictatorship in Europe. Alexander Barankov was a policeman in the capital city of Minsk, in the financial crimes unit. He uncovered what he believed to be systemic government corruption.  Barankov saw evidence that top Belarus officials, including the president, were illegally smuggling energy resources to fund their personal bank accounts. When state security caught on to him, he fled, first to Russia (sound familiar?) then to Egypt and, finally, Ecuador. Like Snowden, he started spilling his country’s secrets online and, eventually, won asylum.

Here’s the hitch: unlike Assange, who was sheltered by Ecuador’s London embassy as soon as he fled there from house arrest, Barankov had to push for three years before he won asylum.

That’s actually not unusual for non-famous asylum-seekers, including those who land in the United States. What’s unusual is that in June 2012, Ecuador’s government arrested Barankov and held him for 84 days as it considered Belarus’s long-standing extradition request. The timing was strange; Barankov had been in the country for years at that point. But Time’s profile points out that he was arrested just three weeks before Correa met with Belarus’s president, the same man whom Barankov had publicly accused of corruption. The Time story suggests that Correa’s government may have used Barankov “as a pawn” to ease tension with Belarus.

But Ecuador’s foreign minister just said Snowden has to get into the country in order to get asylum. Allahpundit reacts:

That’s a problem for Snowden.  So far, Russia has parried US demands to extradite Snowden on the basis that he hasn’t officially entered the country yet.  Even if he did, though, the US and Russia don’t have an extradition treaty in place.  Besides, Vladimir Putin is having far too much fun at the Obama administration’s expense …

Realistically, the Russians could seize him in the airport if they desired, but it might be a little embarrassing for Putin to do so now after he and Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov stood on the technicality for the last couple of days.  If Snowden officially enters Russia — which he would need to do in order to get to the Ecuadorian embassy — then all bets are off.  However, even that’s problematic, as his American passport is no longer valid. Ecuador could supply him with a new passport, of course, but they’d have to do that before he got to the embassy.  It doesn’t sound as though Ecuador is in any rush to do that, even if it would make Snowden feel a little more at home in Ecuador if he arrives there at all.

Recent Dish on Snowden on the lam here and here.

The Marriage Equality Population, Ctd

Global Marriage Map

Fisher makes a map:

The list of countries that grant full gay marriage rights is pretty short: 14 countries in all.

Most of those are in Western Europe: France, Spain, Portugal, Sweden, Norway, Iceland, Belgium and the Netherlands. They’re joined by two other Western countries: New Zealand and Canada. Also on the list is South Africa, famous for its progressive (but politically controversial) gay rights laws. And in South America, perhaps the most gay-friendly part of the world outside of Europe, both Argentina and Uruguay allow gay marriage. Brazil also looks like it might be on the verge.

He also highlights the 76 nations where homosexuality is criminalized:

Most of them are in Africa and the Middle East, although they’re joined by some Caribbean and Southeast Asian nations. Five of those 76 countries include laws permitting the state to hand out the death penalty for homosexuality: Mauritania, Sudan, Saudi Arabia, Yemen and Iran.

The IRS Inspector General Must Resign

US-POLITICS-TAX

A reader writes:

Did you see this new development?  It has come out that the Inspector General’s report on the IRS was deliberately limited to only discussing Tea Party groups, and the IG says it was Congressional Republicans who ordered this limitation.  In other words, the whole “scandal” was ginned up from the start. It’s not just that the IRS was targeting progressive groups also, but that the entire IG report was deliberately skewed, with undisclosed parameters, to create the false impression that Tea Party groups were being singled out.  Now the IG and the Republicans are pointing the finger at each other, and the only scandal concerns the investigation itself.

Garance has a great post about the IG himself. It seems to me that the more we learn about this, the clearer it is that Bush appointee J Russell George should resign. We have no evidence whatever that the White House was involved in any way, and we now know that the IRS scrutiny included left-liberal groups, and yet the Inspector General, fully aware of these facts, testified under oath:

This is unprecedented, Congressman …. During the Nixon Administration, there were attempts to use the Internal Revenue Service in manners that might be comparable in terms of misusing it.

Did he ever cop to the fact that progressive and liberal groups were also targeted?

In May, George declined to answer questions about whether progressive groups were targeted, a kind of cageyness that now raises questions about his impartiality in presenting findings about what went on at the IRS.

At the May 22 House Oversight and Government Reform Committee hearing “The IRS: Targeting Americans for Their Beliefs,” Chairman Darrell Issa asked George point-blank about “be on the lookout” orders: “Were there any BOLOs issued for progressive groups, liberal groups?”

“Sir, this is a very important question,” the courtly George replied. “Please, I beg your indulgence …. The only ‘be on the lookout,’ that is BOLO, used to refer cases for political review were the ones that we described within our report.”

That’s either perjury or incompetence. But almost certainly perjury. He should resign.

(Photo: J. Russell George, Treasury inspector general for tax administration, speaks during a hearing of the Senate Finance Committee on Capitol Hill May 21, 2013 in Washington, DC. Acting IRS Commissioner Steven Miller and others appeared before to committee to testify about the targeting of politically conservative 501(c)(4) groups applying for tax exempt status. By Brendan Smialowski/AFP/Getty Images.)

“It Was The Economy, Faggots”

ISRAEL-US-PERES-CLINTON

David Graham takes stock of Clinton’s “PR blitz,” as the man who signed DOMA celebrates its downfall:

In March of this year, the former president wrote a column in the Washington Post calling for overturning DOMA, but while his policy suggestion was clear, he didn’t dwell on his own role. Clinton resorted to the old “it was a very different time” line and simply suggested he’d come around; there was no emotional expression of regret, all the more notable from a president known for emoting so well. Still, Clinton’s PR blitz hasn’t been fruitless. GLAAD, one of the nation’s largest gay-rights groups, named him an “Advocate for Change” in April. And as one of the nation’s most popular public figures, his advocacy does matter for LGBT rights.

But in 50 years, what will be remembered? Clinton’s late-career conversion, or DOMA? As more and more gay-rights victories like the Supreme Court’s DOMA decision pile up, the major milestones of discrimination will loom larger still, icons of the bad old days. Those who lived through the 1990s may well remember the complicating factors, the mitigating circumstances, that went into Clinton’s compromise on DADT and cave on DOMA. They will protest that gay marriage wasn’t even something anyone beyond a choice few (notably Sullivan) talked about seriously in 1996. They will point to his support for AIDS research and employment nondiscrimination laws. They will insist that a stronger gay-rights stand would have been untenable.

That may be true; it’s also a defense that some politicians who did nothing to stop segregation used to absolve themselves. Regardless, those shades of gray will be increasingly faint as history recedes and the past looks more black and white. The clearly defined policies will be remembered in a way the qualifiers won’t be.

The man has never fully owned the damage he did to gay people and to the cause of equality. As for GLAAD, please. I saw Clinton’s hypocrisy and callousness up close in trying to persuade donors and HRC and the rest at the time.

The Clintons wanted marriage equality to go away fast; and HRC and all the major donors went along. Bill Clinton’s sociopathic side was never better illustrated, in many ways. Years later, Dick Morris actually asked me out to lunch to apologize for DOMA. Weird, but at least honest. Clinton can never accept he was a true fighter against civil rights as president. But he was. He’ll now say what he can to get back into power via his wife’s candidacy – including all the right things on marriage.

But he wasn’t just a fair-weather friend as president; he was our enemy – and more lethal because he was a Democrat and gave legitimacy to the opposition like no one else. I’m happy he’s for us now; but he sure was against us then. Clinton administration official Bob Hattoy once summed up Clinton’s views on the entire subject in his presidency: “It’s the economy, faggot.”

Equality Before The Taxman

Roberton Williams looks at the tax consequences of the DOMA decision:

Edith Windsor sued the federal government because her wife’s estate had to pay more than $363,000 in estate taxes. The estate would have paid nothing if the federal government recognized her marriage.

The estate tax provides only marriage bonuses. An estate may claim an unlimited spousal exemption for inherited assets—and thus pay no tax—while the total exemption for all other heirs is limited, currently to $5.25 million. And any unused part of that limited exemption carries over to the estate of the surviving spouse, thus guaranteeing that $10.5 million of the couple’s combined assets will go to heirs estate tax-free. DOMA’s demise can thus result in lower estate taxes for same-sex couples, although very few will be affected: less than 0.2 percent of decedents leave estates big enough to owe tax.

But he notes that for “many same-sex couples will find that federal recognition of their marriages means higher income tax bills.” TNC, who writes that “the right to marry is the right to protect one’s family,” reflects on the estate tax money that will be refunded to Windsor, in the context of slavery:

The state repossessing a couple’s wealth because it finds them icky, is wholly unjust. It recalls a particularly horrible aspect of slavery–the assault on the families of people deemed to be outside the law. There is a particular war here, which better people than me can speak to. But power is at the core of the long war which began sometime in the mid-17th century with the passage of the first slave codes. The prohibitions against same-sex marriage are not simply about witholding the right to be pretty in a dress or dashing in a tux (though I would deny no one their day.) It is about ensuring that only certain kinds of people, and certain kinds of families, are able to amass power, and with that power, influence over the direction of our society.

To Which States Will Today’s Decision Apply? Ctd

HRC has a primer on what the DOMA decision means for same-sex couples in various states:

Brian Beutler explores the implications of the SCOTUS’ decision to leave Section 2 of DOMA, “the section that says states don’t have to recognize marriages from other states,” intact:

Marriage equality supporters are understandably ecstatic that the Supreme Court has declared section three of DOMA unconstitutional. But for a subset of same-sex partners, the ruling won’t truly guarantee them equal treatment under the law. The nature of the court’s DOMA decision, combined with its decision to punt the California Prop 8 case about whether there’s a constitutional right to gay marriage, will ultimately create a sort of three-tiered status for same-sex partners. …

“As a general rule, a person who legally married a different-sex partner will be considered married in all states,” [Shannon] Minter [the legal director for the National Center for Lesbian Rights] said. “But that is not true for same-sex spouses. Many states have enacted constitutional amendments that prohibit the state from respecting the marriages of same-sex couples who validly married in another place. It is not yet clear whether same-sex spouses who live in states that do not respect their marriages will be eligible for federal benefits that turn on whether a marriage is valid where the couple or surviving spouse lives. At least in the short run, there are some federal benefits that same-sex couples in these states likely will not receive.”

Allan Brauer, who married his husband in California in 2008, explains what the ruling means for him:

The DOMA decision means that my spouse and I will now be able to file joint Federal income tax returns as well as state ones, my spouse will no longer pay Federal taxes on the value of my health insurance, and the tragedy of losing a spouse will no longer be exacerbated by unequal treatment of our estate and Social Security benefits. Hooray!

But… If we were to relocate to a state that does not permit SSM or recognize such marriages performed elsewhere, some of those Federal benefits may simply disappear. Poof! Current Federal regulations vary across departments in whether they look at your legal status based on where you live, or where your marriage was performed.

Linda Beale predicts more litigation in the near future:

[T]here is a huge problem looming because of the failure of many states to recognize same-sex marriages performed in other states even though they recognize all other marriages performed in those other states.  Section 2 of DOMA–which allows states to refuse to recognize sister-state marriages–in flagrant violation of the normal rules of comity between states–was not at stake here and thus its repeal remains for future cases. This means that there will be considerable uncertainty –and much bigotry and discrimination against gay couples for some time as those states that have enacted discriminatory constitutional or statutory provisions against gays continue to deny marriage rights to gay married couples when they move  into them, and perhaps prevent them from retaining custody of their children or being able to legally divorce their spouses or will estates to their spouses.

These problems will be resolved, at least for now, under each states “conflict of laws” provisions, with the overlay of the state’s constitutional prohibitions, where existing, on recognition of same-sex marriages.  This will cause harmful suffering to gay couples, so one would expect that there will be litigation on this issue soon.

A Win For Federalism?

That’s how Randy Barnett sees yesterday’s DOMA ruling:

For now, federalism wins out in theory as well as in practice. States are free to define marriage as they wish (subject to Equal Protection and Due Process clause restraints), and the fight over “gay marriage” will continue in the states for years, as other litigation winds its way back to the Court. So far, this process of federalism has been beneficial to the cause of same-sex marriage in a number of respects, not least of which is the perceived legitimacy of same-sex marriage in states where it has been adopted by legislation or popular initiative. But whether this bodes good or ill for same-sex marriage, it is a visible demonstration that federalism need not be just for conservatives.

How Rick Hills feels that federalism on marriage is a mixed blessing:

Well, now that Windsor has given us the gift of federalism with respect to Fifth Amendment rights, should the Left look a gift horse in the mouth? Or should they welcome a little federalism with respect to marriage and family matters?

I think the answer to the question depends on risk aversion and discount rate. If you are a Lefty with a strong stomach for risk, then you should be no friend of federalism: You should favor the winner-take-all, high-stakes game of having the SCOTUS define “basic civil rights” in family matters in hopes that the votes will break your way. If you are a Lefty with a high discount rate, you will also discount future risks that a future SCOTUS will define “basic civil rights” in a conservative direction and try to nationalize your preferred definition of “basic civil rights” right now with the current Court and not worry about whether encouraging judicial creativity about nationalizing rights will injure your interests down the road.

Drum believes that the Justices don’t really care about federalism:

Taken as a whole, this ruling was as pure a defense of federalism as we’ve seen in a while. So why did all the conservative justices oppose it? Answer: Because no one actually cares about federalism. It’s merely a convenient veneer when you prefer one outcome over another.

The GOP’s Collective Action Problem

Chait watches Republicans put themselves in a bind over immigration reform:

Immigration reform seems to be a simple problem of Republican Party organization. The interests of the party as a whole dictate passing a bill, but the people who need to do the passing — Republicans in Congress — have an interest in voting immigration reform down.

He wonders if recent statements from Paul Ryan will prove helpful:

There are still plenty of House Republicans who want the bill to pass without having to cast a vote for it themselves. Paul Ryan is enthusiastically stepping forward to pitch immigration reform to his party. Ryan, of course, would very much like to be a Republican presidential nominee one day. And Ryan gets his way within the party more than anybody else.

Caren Bohan notes Ryan’s past efforts on immigration:

Ryan is not a new convert to immigration reform and he says politics are not driving his embrace of it. His work on it goes back to his days as an aide to Jack Kemp, the late congressman who saw immigration as part of a free-trade agenda. In April, Ryan teamed up with his friend, Democratic Congressman Luis Gutierrez, who is a staunch supporter of immigration reform, to tout the issue at an event in Chicago. He has also co-sponsored immigration reform bills in the past.

Paul Mirengoff is skeptical:

Ryan proposes that we grant illegal immigrants a “five-year probationary status” essentially immediately, before anything new and concrete is done to secure the border. If after five years, Congress isn’t satisfied that the border has been secured, the probationary status supposedly will be revoked. Otherwise, the formerly illegal immigrants can proceed towards full citizenship. …

It’s almost unimaginable that the status of former illegal immigrants would ever be revoked. Do you see Republican politicians mustering the courage to pull that trigger? I didn’t think so. At most they might add more years to the probationary period, but I don’t see that happening either. Ryan — I wish I could say this nicely — is conning us.

Civil Unions ≠ Marriage

Governor Christie, who vetoed marriage equality in New Jersey, disapproves of SCOTUS’s ruling:

Zack Ford counters Christie:

Besides the fact that a referendum continues to be a costly, offensive, and unnecessary option, Christie could not be more wrong; in fact, Wednesday’s DOMA decision probably has a bigger impact on New Jersey than on any other state. In the 2006 case Lewis v. Harris, the New Jersey Supreme Court unanimously ruled that the state’s constitution guarantees “every statutory right and benefit conferred to heterosexual couples through civil marriage.” The Court left it up to the legislature to determine how those rights are conferred, and lawmakers at the time passed a civil unions bill. An investigation that concluded in 2008 found that these “separate but equal” unions were inferior and did not meet the Supreme Court’s expectations, and a lawsuit is already pendingto challenge their unequal status.

With Wednesday’s ruling, the case against the civil unions becomes much more significant. Now, not only are civil unions inferior in how they’re respected in the state, they also deprive same-sex couples of all the federal benefits of marriage — the only union the federal government recognizes. A state judge has already scheduled a hearing for August 15 to fast-track Lambda Legal’s lawsuit in light of these new legal circumstances.

Barro looks at Christie’s past rhetoric on marriage and civil unions:

[Christie] said in a statement at the time he issued his veto: “I have been just as adamant that same-sex couples in a civil union deserve the very same rights and benefits enjoyed by married couples—as well as the strict enforcement of those rights and benefits.”

At the time, gay rights advocates disputed the notion that civil unions were equivalent to marriage. After [yesterday’s] decision, they are inarguably right. People in same-sex civil unions in New Jersey lack access to federal benefits that are available to straight New Jersey couples and will soon be available to same-sex married couples in states like New York. The only way to rectify that is to legalize gay marriage.

David Link also notes that, after yesterday’s ruling, it’s impossible to argue that civil unions are “marriage in all but name”:

The dynamics of marriage lite have now shifted. Only full marriage comes within the court’s ruling, a point made by both majority and dissenting justices. States will still have the ability to take half-measures, and I expect some will. But by doing so, they will be enacting laws they cannot expect to be fully equal to marriage. If they have any doubts, they can refer to Windsor.

So if the political argument continues to be about equality (and it should), anyone promoting civil unions as a political compromise will explicitly be compromising that.