THE VIETNAM QUESTION

Ron Rosenbaum thoughtfully re-opens a can of worms. And he asks the right question of the Kerry campaign:

If the Swift-boat vets who oppose Mr. Kerry felt betrayed by his anti-war stance, shouldn’t those who opposed the war feel betrayed by his convention’s glorification of it? But most are so blinded by Bush hatred that they don’t see how the retrospective celebration of killing Vietnamese may come to haunt us-and brand them as hypocrites.

I didn’t see it at the time – maybe because I was a child in England during the Vietnam war. But whoever decided to make Vietnam the centerpiece of Kerry’s convention appeal should no longer be working for the campaign.

IRAQ

In the last few days, close to 130 civilians have been killed by terrorists in a country occupied by coalition forces. If you adjust for population size, that’s almost half the American death-toll from 9/11. I just scanned two of my favorite websites, Instapundit and NRO’s Corner, and the only mention today is an honest piece by John Derbyshire calling for withdrawal after the election. That’s telling, I think. And a sign of how unhinged and divorced from the real issues this election has become.

RATHER SHOULD QUIT

My take on Rathergate at TNR (subscriber only). Money quote:

Rather can blather all he wants about the political motivation of some in the blogosphere–but what matters is not bias but accuracy. His attitude, moreover, has bordered on the contemptuous; and the blogosphere has chewed him up and spat him out. He has acted as if journalism is a privilege rather than a process; as if his long career makes his critics illegitimate; as if his good motives can make up for bad material. The original mistake was not a firable offense. But the digging in surely is. It seems to me that when a news anchor presents false information and then tries to cover up and deny his errors, he has ceased to be a journalist. I’d like to say that Dan Rather needs to resign from his profession. But, judging from the last few days, he already has.

The whole thing feels like Howell Raines’ last days.

THREE TRILLION DOLLARS

It doesn’t even sound better when Dr Evil says it. That’s what George W. Bush’s proposals for his second term would cost. Actually, that’s just the cost of keeping tax relief in place and privatizing part of social security. It excludes the costs of the war or the other fast-expanding parts of Bush’s Big Government. In terms of fiscal responsibility, it’s way worse than John F. Kerry; and if the Congress remains in Republican hands, there will be nothing to stop the president from trying to spend or borrow all of it. Medicare alone is a nightmare:

While Congress squabbles over whether the administration hid the new prescription drug benefit’s 10-year cost – pegged by the White House at $534 billion versus CBO’s $395 billion – the actual liability incurred by the new drug benefit is estimated at $8 trillion to $12 trillion.

I know I’m a broken record, but it seems to me that blogs should not only point out where mainstream media is wrong or blinkered, but also where leading politicians are being irresponsible. It is simply irresponsible either to propose vast new spending, while cynically knowing none of it will happen; or to mean it and have no good accounting for how we can afford it. I cannot understand how Bush is getting away with it: the destruction of fiscal conservatism for a generation.

REALITY CHECK

I found plenty to worry about in this Newsweek piece from Iraq, not least quotes from senior U.S. diplomats in the country, saying “We thought that there would be a reprieve after sovereignty, but all hell is breaking loose.” But this was new to me:

The Defense Department counted 87 attacks per day on U.S. forces in August – the worst monthly average since Bush’s flight-suited visit to the USS Abraham Lincoln in May 2003. Preliminary analysis of the July and August numbers also suggests that U.S. troops are being attacked across a wider area of Iraq than ever before. And the number of gunshot casualties apparently took a huge jump in August. Until then, explosive devices and shrapnel were the primary cause of combat injuries, typical of a “phase two” insurgency, where sudden ambushes are the rule. (Phase one is the recruitment phase, with most actions confined to sabotage. That’s how things started in Iraq.) Bullet wounds would mean the insurgents are standing and fighting-a step up to phase three.

Look, I’d love to believe the good news – and some of it, thanks to our amazing soldiers, is good. But the broader reality is that we are losing this critical war right now. David Brooks has a sensible piece today defending the administration’s sensitive/gradualist approach to the insurgency. My worry is a deeper one: what if neither the hard-ass clean-Falluja strategy nor the softly-softly approach can work? What if one only goads further recruits for the insurgency and the other does the same in different fashion? Besides, the odds on a credible national election in January cannot be good right now. And if we pragmatically allow some parts of Iraq to gain democracy before others, won’t we be in danger of splitting the country apart? My fear is that we had a clear but narrow window of opportunity to bring about a real sovereign transition for twelve months or so after the fall of Baghdad. We missed it. All our current options are wrenching and bad ones. Doesn’t that count as an important part of Bush’s legacy?

FRANCE VS THE EU: A key French political figure comes out against the new EU Constitution. It’s doomed anyway, I’d say. Yay!

RATHER EMBARRASSING: It’s getting worse for CBS. Their forensics expert didn’t authenticate the Killian memos after all. The question now is not whether Dan Rather should go (of course he should). It’s how embarrassing it’s going to get while he clings on.

EMAIL OF THE DAY I

“I got a good laugh from your post on the “factual superiority of the blogosphere” because I did learn a lot of facts from blogs about the “CBS memos”.
From the right-wing blogs, I learned that the memo font matches MS Times-Roman, and nothing else. From the left-wings blogs, I learned that the memo font matches IBM Press-Roman, and nothing else.
From the right-wing blogs, I learned that small horizontal variation in spacing is proof of “kerning” and therefore computer generation. From the left-wing blogs, I learned that small vertical variation in alignment is proof of mechanical action and therefore typewriter creation.
I learned that the right-wing facts are certainly true, as noted by Washington Post experts, and the left-wing facts are certainly true, as established by the Boston Globe.
From the right-wing blogs, I learned that a trusted expert is one who writes to Glenn Reynolds, offering to withhold any opinion on any topic if only the good Professor will end the stream of right-wing e-mail abuse. This guy’s pleading uncertainty proves to Mickey Kaus and a waiting world that the Globe is full of crap.
From the left-wing blogs, I learned that a trusted expert is a long-time Kevin Drum poster who suddenly reveals (without evidence) that he was an IBM typewriter salesman and therefore has knowledge that apparently belongs to no other living human. This guy’s self-proclaimed certainty proves to Dailykos and a waiting world that the Washington Post is full of crap.
From all blogs, I learned that the low resolution of the documents nullifies all supposed “facts” that contradict any locally favored facts.
From all my reading, I learned the comforting fact that we can all choose our facts as we please and yet still go to bed at night sure that all of our facts have survived the rigorous scrutiny that only the blogosphere can provide.” More feedback on the Letters Page.

EMAIL OF THE DAY II: “Andrew, Look, like you, I am aghast at the GOP and its partisan plays to the social conservatives. I’m a New York Republican, whose main focus is foreign policy. Like you, I’m a hawk. Like you, I’m a fiscal conservative (so neither party gives me a home on this issue). On social policy, I’m closer to a San Francisco Democrat, and I RESPECT you for not allowing your self-respect to continue to be co-opted by the Republicans playing footsie with the haters. Yet, from my perspective, if you don’t get the foreign policy right, the economic and social issues won’t matter. So I reluctantly, with teeth gnashing, support the GOP — this round, while in this awful war, the fact that there are many areas to legimately criticize on the conduct of this war, notwithstanding.
But Andrew, re: “Klein on Kerry,” you can’t have it both ways. You can’t propose that Kerry challenge Bush to be more forceful in taking on the Sunni triangle, AND recognize that this would sound completely alien coming from Kerry. Everything Kerry has ever said and equivocated upon in foreign policy eliminates any plausibility or credibility in him challenging the President to be more forceful. Speaking from a reluctant partisan’s perpective, I’d like to hear Kerry say just that. The laugh-track from the public at large would raise Bush’s ratings a couple of points.
Get a grip, Andrew! I understand the lonely and principled place you find yourself in, but don’t abandon your usually sensible analysis.” Fair enough. I have been longing to hear something strong and credible from Kerry on the war, but you cannot get past his own record, his obvious instincts, his meandering mind. All of which, of course, makes me more despondent about this election. The incompetent versus the irresolute. God help us. More feedback on the Letters Page.

EMAIL OF THE DAY

“I caught ‘Shattered Glass’ on cable this weekend. It occurred to me that there is no way that any of Glass’s bogus stories could have survived the scrutiny of the blogosphere. All the inconsistencies and non-existent sources would have been discovered in hours.
It’s not an accident that a new online journal broke the story, but it took them a while to nail down the facts, and a dozen counterfiet stories made it through before Glass was discovered. How long would it take now for the blogosphere to discover that there is no “Jukt Micronics Corporation” or that the Omni hotel does not have minibars in its rooms? 30 minutes? An hour, tops?
In the film, Glass speaks of a ‘hole’ in the fact checking system relied upon by traditional media: much of the ‘fact checking’ consists of nothing more than ensuring that the final story is consistent with the reporter’s notes. Well, it seems to me than in the 6 years since Glass was fired from TNR, this hole has been filled by bloggers like you.” Well, I deserve no credit for this (my first hunch was that the Killian memos were probably real), but the point is well taken.

KLEIN ON KERRY

Joe Klein has a good and tough column on Kerry this week. I too found Kerry’s recent attempt to make the fiscal case against the Iraq war almost comically awful. But then I find most things about the Kerry candidacy almost comically awful. But Joe makes a really good point about how Kerry should tackle Bush’s incompetence in war-management:

Bush has chosen not to fight in the Sunni triangle, and the war cannot be won until he does. “You can’t allow the enemy to have sanctuaries and expect to win,” John McCain told me. “You have to go in and dig them out.” Kerry could have challenged Bush: “Fight the war, Mr. President, or bring the troops home.” It would have been blunt, strong, simple-indeed, simplistic, just as Bush often is-but it might also have put the President on the defensive for a change. Kerry wouldn’t even have to say what he would do: he could legitimately argue that would depend on the situation on the ground in January. It would also, I suspect, reflect Kerry’s true feelings: that Bush has waged an incompetent war in Iraq, which he is in serious danger of losing.

The only trouble here is that this would sound far more convincing from someone (like yours truly) who has always been an enthusiast for a well-managed war to democratize the Middle East and rout terrorists in their lairs. Kerry has a credibility gap on this, to say the least. But it’s still the right message: Mr president, you have the courage to launch vital wars; you just don’t have the competence to win them. Get out of the way before we lose this battle – and make things even worse than before 9/11. (Hat tip: Noam).