Hillary, The Neo-Neocon? Ctd

Larison pooh-poohs (and rightly, I’d say) any future collaboration between a president Clinton and someone like Bob Kagan:

Clinton is as reliably hawkish as major Democratic politicians come, and I assume she wouldn’t be opposed to working with Hillary Clinton Awarded The 2013 Lantos Human Rights Prizeneoconservatives in the future on certain issues. That said, Clinton wouldn’t need to include neoconservatives in her hypothetical future administration, and they wouldn’t want to join. Her own party already has more than enough interventionists of its own, as her career and the careers of many of her allies and supporters attest. After all, why would she stir up controversy by bringing in neoconservatives when she can get very similar policy results and much better press by bringing on, say, Anne-Marie Slaughter and other liberal hawks? Supposing that a Paul nomination caused neoconservatives to endorse Clinton, that would be their ideologically-driven act of protest and not something that Clinton would feel any need to reward. Democratic partisans would spin such endorsements as “bipartisan” validation of Clinton’s foreign policy views, and they would find the display of Republican factionalism very entertaining at least until the election was over.

(Photo from Getty)

Quote For The Day II

“Before God and his people I express my sorrow for the sins and grave crimes of clerical sexual abuse committed against you. And I humbly ask forgiveness. I beg your forgiveness, too, for the sins of omission on the part of Church leaders who did not respond adequately to reports of abuse made by family members, as well as by abuse victims themselves. This led to even greater suffering on the part of those who were abused and it endangered other minors who were at risk,” – Pope Francis.

She’s Just Not That Into Anyone

Julie Decker identifies as an “aromantic asexual woman, meaning I’m not sexually or romantically attracted to anyone.” It’s not an easy thing to explain:

“Sexual attraction is not something that is said verbally. It’s a vibe—something you communicate to me unconsciously. Sex is an instinct, not a choice.”

The above horrifying quote was uttered by a fellow I met when I was nineteen years old. There I was in college, uninterested in the sexual experimentation and freedom the away-at-university experience often brings, fairly inexperienced in my “career” as an outspoken asexual woman. Back in high school, I’d never developed any sexual or romantic attraction to anyone, but despite that I did date a couple of people. Peer pressure and consistent “you don’t know until you try it!” messages made me think I needed to investigate before I was sure I didn’t care for it, but what I was really looking for was a magic switch to shut everyone up. I wanted to fill the quota; I wanted to experiment “enough” to make everyone else agree that I’d given it a fair try and could legitimately be believed now.

That never happened. It turns out that for asexual people, there is no threshold we can cross that’s “enough”; if we are not converted by sex, then surely we did it wrong, or with the wrong gender, or with the wrong person, or ruined the experience by expecting to hate it. We find ourselves trying to prove a negative—a scientific impossibility—and ultimately either cave to expectations or live in defiance of them, secure in the hard-won knowledge that we are qualified to describe our experience and we deserve our boundaries respected.

Previous Dish on asexuality here.

This Is A Refugee Crisis, Ctd

Michelle Garcia turns to international law to argue that the Central American children pouring over the US-Mexico border deserve our protection:

report released in March by the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees, which deserves wider mention in the press than it has received, found that of a representative sample of 404 Mexican and Central American child migrants interviewed, 58 percent “were forcibly displaced because they suffered or faced harms that indicated a potential or actual need for international protection.” 

In other words, an unspecified number of these children could be eligible for refugee status, meaning refusing the children could be a breach of U.N. Conventions.

Honduras regularly ranks as the “murder capitol of the world.” Violence in El Salvador has in recent years rivaled the levels of the civil war period. The link between violence and displacement was recently explored by Insight Crime, which noted that about 2 percent of the population of El Salvador and Mexico have been driven from their homes in recent years. In El Salvador, “Out of these approximately 130,000 individuals, nearly one-third felt compelled to leave their homes two or more times.”

Apart from the tough standards to qualify for refugee status, a 2008 law extends protections to children fleeing abuse. Between those rules and the refugee and amnesty guidelines, immigration lawyers believe up to 80 percent of the unaccompanied minors from Honduras, El Salvador, and Guatemala may be eligible for a Special Immigrant Juveniles visa, according to a Fox News Latino report.

Meanwhile, Marc Siegel worries that the children being detained at the border aren’t being screened rigorously enough for communicable disease, noting apparent cases of scabies, TB, measles and chicken pox:

A physician working to take care of any infected child must treat that child with compassion and appropriate medication. He or she should never provide substandard care or weigh in on the political issue of whether a child should be in this country or how he or she got here.

At the same time, immigrants in poor health or suffering from a communicable illness who enter this country illegally create public health risks. This is why we have such an extensive system for screening the health of legal immigrants in the first place before they are allowed in. It is not a political statement to say that the effectiveness of these screenings is being undermined if hundreds of thousands pass through our borders without them. Whatever the partisan arguments about how this crisis erupted, the most urgent question right now is how to prevent a public health crisis.

Previous Dish on the Central American refugees here, here, and here.

Just Your Standard Democratic President?

Jonathan Bernstein claims that “Obama has done no more or less than what any Democratic president in his circumstances would have done.” Chait takes exception:

It’s surely true that any Democratic president would have pursued health-care reform in 2009. But as the health-care bill dragged on, while it, Obama, and Democrats in Congress grew increasingly unpopular, many Democrats would have pulled the plug and tried to get out with a small, incremental bill. In late August of 2009, Jonathan Cohn later said in his deeply reported reconstruction of the bill’s passage that both Joe Biden and Rahm Emanuel wanted to pull the plug on comprehensive reform, but Obama overruled the. … Now, the logic of passage was always clear to those who paid close attention to the legislative dynamics, but not everybody did. If [after Scott Brown’s win in Massachusetts] Obama had given up on health care, most analysts in Washington — and even many Democrats — would have deemed it a sensible, or even perfectly obvious, decision.

On most issues, Obama simply used his power the way any member of his party would have. On climate and health care, he bucked significant pockets of intra-party disagreement — not about policy goals themselves, which the whole Party shared, but of the prudence of accepting political risk to achieve them. And these two episodes where Obama’s own intervention proved decisive happen to be the two largest pieces of his domestic legacy.

I simply cannot imagine, for that matter, a Clinton backing marriage quality and military service with the same intensifying momentum as Obama, or a more liberal Democrat defending the NSA as strongly as Obama has. In some of these areas, perhaps, Obama is less an out-of-the-box Democrat than merely a Democrat of a certain generation. Which makes the looming ascendancy of someone well into her sixties seem such a strange leap forward into the past.

Kurdistan’s Moment? Ctd

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Ranj Alaaldin has the latest on the Kurds, who, in taking and holding Kirkuk against the ISIS onslaught, “may have won a historic battle for what has been described as both the crown jewel and Jerusalem of Kurdistan”:

It can now secure its economic independence from Baghdad. Control of Kirkuk also means the Kurds have the economic lynchpin for an independent state, should that be a desired option in the future.

Arab Iraq may still try to retake the province, but it is too focused on turning Baghdad and the Shia south into a fortress. Its preoccupation with Isis and the broader Sunni Arab insurgency means that, at best, Arab Iraq can hope the Kurds will still settle the status of Kirkuk through Article 140 of the Iraqi constitution, which provides for a referendum on the status of the province. That would be wishful, as well as futile, thinking. Baghdad not only has a weakened hand, but the demographics in the province and realities on the ground considerably favour the Kurds.

Some might argue that the Kurds no longer share a border with an internationally recognised sovereign state but with a dangerous coalition of jihadists and unpleasant Sunni Arab militant forces. That misses the bigger picture.

The Sunni insurgency is occupied with powerful Shia enemies to the south; their resources are limited; they are divided among themselves and they lack the capacity to fight the experienced Peshmerga. Furthermore, Baghdad was never really in control of the Sunni Arab heartlands that border Kurdistan. Long before recent events, those heartlands constituted a safe haven for militants and jihadist groups. The threat is real, but nothing new for the Kurds.

Simon Tisdall considers how regional actors might respond to Kurdish statehood:

[O]il exports depend largely on a pipeline through Turkey, which opened this year. Faced by political developments in Irbil it dislikes, it would be an easy matter for Ankara to turn off the tap. Turkey has been fighting Kurdish insurgents in its south-east region for decades. It has always been assumed it would oppose Iraqi Kurdish independence, fearing a knock-on effect at home.

But that perception has gradually changed since 2003 amid heavy Turkish commercial investment in northern Iraq. High-level political contacts with the KRG are now routine, while Ankara’s relations with Baghdad have soured. It may be that Turkey will ultimately prefer a stable, friendly new border state free of extremists (of any hue) that is also an energy supplier and trading partner. “If Barzani does push for independence, he’s gambling that the Turks will concede that, one, KRG oil deals are more valuable than KRG statehood is dangerous, and two, that Kurds are still a valuable buffer zone vis-a-vis Iran,” said analyst Lee Smith.

Set against this prospect is the likelihood that, assuming he survives the civil war, Syria’s president Bashar al-Assad will revert to his former anti-Kurdish policies. Iran, similarly fearful of domestic unrest, remains deeply hostile to Kurdish aspirations.

Meanwhile, Dov Friedman and Gabriel Mitchell investigate the sketchy Kurdish-Israeli oil transaction that came to light a few weeks ago:

If Israel received Kurdish oil with the intention of storing it, two scenarios are plausible. In the first, Israeli companieswith government consentpurchased the oil because the price was simply too good to pass up. Currently, Israel receives most of its 280,000 barrels-per-day from Azerbaijan, Russia, and some undisclosed sources. Since Kurdish oil arrived at a substantial discountdue to the Kurds’ eagerness to sell and the shallowness of the marketIsraeli companies may have purchased and stored the oil for domestic consumption. If Kurdish oil develops into a reliable source, Israel gains negotiating power in its future energy contracts. And if Kurdistan’s relations with the Iraqi government continue to devolveor if Iraq continues its descent into violent chaosthe Kurds may substitute access to Basra’s ports for an Israeli route to the Red Sea, via the Trans-Israel pipeline between Ashkelon and Eilat, and onward to the lucrative, energy-thirsty markets of Asia.

In the second scenario, the sale of Kurdish oil may be technically correct yet effectively misleading. Israel may be storing the oil because the Kurds have not yet found an end buyer. The money transferred to KRG accounts at Halkbank would then mean Israel has either informally loaned KRG money or Israel has assumed the liquidity risk of the Kurdish oil shipment. Both scenarios suggest that the Kurdish-Israel relationship has matured significantly.

Previous Dish on the prospect of an independent Kurdistan here.

(Photo: A peshmerga NCO directs soldiers to their guard posts at the headquarters in Khanaqin. By Matt Cetti-Roberts, from this photo essay on the Kurdish fighters.)

Choose Your Own Religious Adventure, Ctd

A reader pushes back against Dreher’s and Wieseltier’s fretting about millennials and religion:

You quoted Dreher:

It would drive me nuts because I would build an argument based on official Catholic teaching…and get nowhere. Though identifying as Catholics, these folks felt not the least obligation to yield to the teaching authority of the Catholic institution. They believed that because they were Catholics by birth and baptism, whatever they wanted to believe didn’t make them any less Catholic. It was impossible to have a meaningful discussion with Catholics who didn’t feel bound by the basic teachings of the Catholic Church. No connection to the traditions or the thinking of the Church. Wieseltier’s right: truth and falsity on these questions really don’t matter to Americans anymore.

I don’t think that completely captures what’s going on. I don’t think that people have stopped caring what’s true or false; they just think that their institutions have. And who can blame them? The Catholic Church plainly thought it was more important to maintain power than to care about whether or not children were actually being raped. And it’s not just the Catholic Church; similar revelations have been made about other institutions. Other churches have clung furiously to new-earth Creationism, and done an excellent job convincing people that Jesus was all about preventing abortion and ensuring that men maintain dominion over women.

I’d go further and argue that it is precisely because of a concern with the truth that so many have stainedglassnicholaskammafpgetty.jpgabandoned institutional religion. When a church teaches scripture in a way that simply ignores the huge amount of historical evidence about the sources of those scriptures, it is not interested in truth, but in its authority. When a church advances a version of “natural law” that is based in the science of the 13th Century, rather than of the 21st, it is showing contempt for the kind of truth-seeking Aquinas was engaged in, not respect. When it maintains utterly specious distinctions between men and women in which women are always somehow second-class, truth-seekers will go elsewhere. When its understanding of sexuality is concocted by failed celibates with profound sexual dysfunction and with histories of sexual crime and abuse, who can blame truth-seekers for looking elsewhere? It seems to me that it is because the churches have shown such profound contempt for truth that they appear crippled by modernity, and therefore have less appeal and traction. And their suppression of debate about these areas is ipso facto a flight from truth.

This does not mean that divine truth is the same as that derived from science or observation or experience. It is merely to argue that divine truth has to be consistent with these, and cannot actually assert untrue things – like the ridiculous new earth creationism or the unnaturalness of homosexuality – as part of the whole. Only in one area does it seem to me that the Catholic church has actually integrated science into teaching – on abortion, to some effect. Which may be why the orthodox position on abortion has not collapsed as swiftly as the stigmatization of homosexuals.

A millennial reader offers Dreher and Wieseltier some franker advice: “perhaps you shouldn’t have made shitty institutions”:

Dreher and Co. imagine religious institutions as a place open for debate, a place outside the dog-eat-dog political world where there can be civil disagreements. Tell that to Jews who aren’t Zionists! J Street, hardly and extremist organization, couldn’t even get into the Jewish Federation.

Millennials grew up watching one of histories grandest institutions, the Catholic Church, be taken to task for literally decades of covered-up child rape. We saw the financial sector, worshiped with a religious fervor, kick us in the balls and ovaries without a second thought.

Here’s a question none of these hand-wringers can answer: what’s in it for us?  Why should we try to join institutions that have repeatedly, for as long as we have been alive, rejected us? The joy of civil disagreement? Please. I’d much rather take to Twitter or Tumblr for that. I’ve learned just as much from those mediums than I have from any religious experience in my life, and I went to Orthodox yeshivas for over a decade.

(Photo: Supporters of gay marriage demonstrate in front of the Mormon Church in New York City on November 12, 2008. By Spencer Platt/Getty Images.)

Michelle Obama’s Enduring Appeal

First Ladies

It breaks with recent history:

[W]hy did the president’s unpopularity drag down Laura Bush’s and Hillary Clinton’s numbers but not Michelle Obama’s? In-depth polling about perceptions of her by The Washington Post/Kaiser Family Foundation suggests that broad segments of the public hold positive views of Michelle’s personal qualities that transcend partisanship, gender and race. Supermajorities of men and women, blacks and whites, Republicans and Democrats alike see Michelle as intelligent, a good role model for women and a good mother.

And even though Republicans, white men and conservatives have held only mixed views of her overall, her strong positive image has prevented a sharp downturn in attitudes among groups that have become super critics of the president.

Good Luck Finding A Lesbian Bar In Portland, Ctd

A reader is bound to get some heat for this email:

Good luck finding a lesbian bar in Boston too. There are a few lesbian theme nights around the city, but they seem to travel around and disappear, or at least drop off my radar. As a long-time bartender in the city, I can say two things about lesbians:

1) They don’t tip (at least not to male bartenders)

2) Lesbians cause fights. Lots of them.

In gay bars (male), the bartenders don’t want lesbian patrons for reason number one and the owners don’t want them for reason number two.

In a city like Boston, in the event of a fight, a bar is supposed to call the police when somebody is assaulted. That call results in a hearing at city hall where the most likely result is a fine or suspension of license. The fine is usually based on your daily sales – three-day suspension or a fine equal to three-days sales, that kind of thing. Plus you need to factor in the attorney fees for the guy you need to hire to represent you. It’s just not worth it.

Gay men typically don’t get into fist fights. But I’ve seen some nasty lesbian fights at Randolph Country Club in Randolph, MA. From my experience, the ladies have nobody to blame but themselves for the lack of bars.

Another reader points to an interview with Jean, a former employee at Phase 1, “Washington, DC’s (and some might argue the country’s) oldest lesbian bar.” She has some insight into the tipping stereotype:

What has Phase meant to you over the years?
Home. It’s always been home. I’m always in awe of the fact that it’s still open. There’s only one lesbian bar that’s been open longer and it’s in Chicago – I think it may have actually closed by now. Lesbians are not real supportive so I’ve always been pleased that Allen and his partner Chris (who recently passed) kept it open no matter what.

Is there such a thing as a profitable lesbian bar?
I doubt it. Interestingly, when Tracks first opened in the early 80’s that was supposed to be a lesbian bar. And actually Zeigfeld’s was supposed to be and they just evolved into other things because you just can’t count on women to bring in the money. So the Phase has ebbed and flowed over the years and there was a point in the mid-80’s where we would have 300-350 women come through here in a night. It was intense, it was awesome and it was packed. But once lesbian nights started, people had choice and that made a difference.

Now Angela brought in energy that hadn’t been here in a long long time. But it gets frustrating even with all the people she’s bringing in here. Women are notoriously bad tippers. This generation is better but with older women you’re talking about a generation who had to make it on their own and had lower paying jobs than men, especially in the working class and whatnot.  You never do get a lot of the lawyers coming in here…

Update from a reader:

It’s funny what working in the hospitality industry can do to even the most politically correct liberals. Once your income is dependent on tipping, it’s impossible not to start stereotyping certain groups even if it’s unfair to the outliers. And I’ll back up the male bartender from Boston; in over 10 years in the business, lesbians were by far my least lucrative demographic (beating out Europeans, Southerners, and old people).

Another:

Hmm. I’m genuinely trying to open another lesbian bar in the District – I have a lawyer, an application for a liquor license, the works – so this discussion is fascinating. Stereotypes aside. Thanks for having it. I’ll let you know how it goes.